Ask HN: What do people think of FIRE (Financial Independence, Retire Early)?

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=19794232

by devlife • 7 years ago

20 27 7 years ago

news.ycombinator.com

dredmorbius• 7 years ago

Clearly, a passing fad.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/FIRE_economy

NotSammyHagar2• 7 years ago

I see lots of people saying they do this on the blind app but i've never met anyone yet who seems to actually be getting there. best way to get wealth as a software engineer is working consistently at high paying jobs, save your money and invest it, don't try for riches at startups.

rurban• 7 years ago

I'm doing it, my neighbor is doing it, many people I know retired already and are doing fine. You have so much more time doing more interesting stuff.

avichalp• 7 years ago

How much time it took you to get there once you consciously started working towards it? And what path you took? If you don't mind me asking :)

marketgod2• 7 years ago

Investing is crucial, all the rich people have their money in the market. It's the best way to retain/grow your wealth.

RikNieu• 7 years ago

I find it fascinating and very condusive to my personality.

However, the amounts of income you need to be able generate to truely get there seems to be... ambitious.

glun• 7 years ago

I think its stupid. Retirement is boring, youll end working anyway just to have something to do. Id rather have an enjoyable job and lots of sparetime now that im young rather than slave away my youth so that I can retire early.

justaguyhere• 7 years ago

I don't think it is stupid. Retirement in this sense doesn't mean "sit at home and do nothing all day" - it just means getting out of the rat race and stop working for money at the job one hates. Once the financial pressure is gone, we can work on things that actually matter to us and those that we enjoy.

I do get your point about slaving away the youth though.

world32• 7 years ago

There are different interpretations of what FIRE is. FIRE in the sense of saving money in order to be less reliant on potentially unfulfilling jobs is certainly a good idea.

However, FIRE as some kind of end-goal to be achieved by all means necessary is unlikely to make many people happy. Reading the financial independence subreddit, many people think of FIRE as some holy grail - like they will finally be happy once have saved up enough money that they can quit a job they hate. I dont think its healthy to obsess over some kind of medium-distant goal and put all your energy towards it thinking "I will be happy when I'm financially independent".

The old cliche "life is a journey, not a goal" really applies here. Some (though not many) even argue that you shouldn't have kids because they cost so much and will delay your FIRE.

airbreather• 7 years ago

Yeah, live for the day because you might be saving for the future that never comes, for all sorts of reasons.

Well, a bit flippant, but still that is the other side of the coin.

Aozora7• 7 years ago

youll end working anyway just to have something to do

I'd never work if I didn't have to pay bills. Spending my limited time on earth doing something for someone else's benefit on someone else's schedule makes me miserable. No such thing as an "enjoyable job". If there was, there would be someone willing to do it for free.

I've had a year of NEET life during college, and it was the best time of my life by far.

croo• 7 years ago

Retirement is not a factor of your age but your financial state.

It's stupid to think my country will be able to pay me pension - I'm skeptic about the current system will survive another 40-50 year and pay me back what I need to live comfortably.

So FIRE is just a sane provision for the future. The "early" part is different for everybody. If I can retire at 50 instead of 65 its early enough for me.

kojeovo• 7 years ago

Retirement is boring
now that im young

How would you know? You seem to have a warped view of retirement in the first place. FIRE is more so to get out of the rat race, not to stop doing anything and everything you're interested it once you stop working.

vram11• 7 years ago

Retirement is boring, youll end working anyway just to have something to do.

Hobbies, dude. Tons of interesting hobbies, available for the doing, many requiring little to no financial outlay.

And with some fields like programming, you can even do the same work post-retirement, just for fun or to teach others.

shoo• 7 years ago

I think some of FIRE's basic mental models provide a useful perspective to help make some decisions, but like many things in life, it's not great to focus on one perspective myopically, to the exclusion of everything else.

While accumulating and investing savings it is reasonably useful to keep in mind your savings ratio:

  savings_ratio := (income - expenses) / income

If you choose to focus on growing investments, make decisions to maximise the savings ratio, subject to other constraints. You can try to reduce expenses, or increase income. Or both. Sometimes you can find win-win decisions that increase your savings ratio while also giving you some other benefit (e.g. start riding a bicycle to work instead of commuting on public transport -- this saves money and can be more enjoyable, provided conditions for cycling aren't too foul and you live close enough).

Focusing on maximising savings ratio assumes that your expenses while saving will be similar to your expenses once retired. This may or may not be true -- for example, maybe you have high-paying work in a higher cost of living area, but you can move to a lower cost of living area when you no longer need a reliable day job.

Once retired, we want our investment income to cover our expected expenses:

  cash_flow_in + cash_flow_out >= 0

  cash_flow_in = capital_invested * (expected_nominal_return - inflation) * (1 - effective_tax_rate)

  cash_flow_out = expected_annual_expenses_when_retired

We can calculate our progress by the ratio cash_flow_in / -cash_flow_out .

For example, let's plug some numbers in:

  expected_annual_expenses_when_retired = -20,000 USD / yr

  capital_invested = 200,000 USD
  expected_nominal_return = 6% (say we're 100% invested in the US stock market)
  inflation = 2%
  effective_tax_rate = 5% (complete guess, i don't live in the US)

  expected_investment_income = 200,000 * (0.06 - 0.02) * (1 - 0.05) = 7600 USD / yr

In this example, our progress to covering our expected annual retirement expenses with net real investment returns is 7600 / 20000 = 38% .

There are calculators to estimate the time until retirement. Here's a simple one: https://networthify.com/calculator/earlyretirement?income=70...

All that said, real life is unpredicable and complicated, it might be good to leave a bit of margin in there to handle unpredictable events such as stock market crashes, large one-off expenses to repair a house, contingency for emergency medical expenses, etc. It's arguably not a great idea to be 100% invested in stocks at the moment, let alone US stocks.

Potentially useful resources:

  http://www.efficientfrontier.com/
  https://www.bogleheads.org/

return1• 7 years ago

i don't get the "retire early" part. who wants to be a retiree for ever? But financial independence is sweet freedom

counterpig• 7 years ago

Think of retire early as a polite way of saying having fuck you money.

BjoernKW• 7 years ago

It's a reasonable approach.

From my perspective it's not so much about the "retire early" but rather about the "financial independence" part. Even if you don't intend to retire early approaches like FIRE are extremely useful for establishing or restoring financial sanity.

If you think about it it's really not (or at least it shouldn't be) all that novel an idea: Consistently spend less than you earn.

It's just that industrial societies at large have become used to a rampant consumerism that favours spending more than you earn.

More traditional retirement plans also disproportionately benefit banks and insurance companies.

chatmasta• 7 years ago

Employers love it because it encourages their workers to keep their head down and work hard. Retirement is just around the corner.

baccredited• 7 years ago

I'm actively pursuing FIRE. On pace to reach it in 2023. I think every software developer who wants to write code their whole career must actively be trying to reach FIRE by age 50. Ageism is rampant in this industry.

If you want to be a manager or founder or whatever I think you can work past 50 but FIRE is still worth pursuing.

And if you love working on projects that matter to YOU there is nothing better than achieving Financial Independence.

devlife• 7 years ago

You are so right about ageism. I am in my mid-forties and I am already feeling it. I have been rejected from positions because of my age. The feedback most of the time: I am not a good cultural fit.

I do not get lured by Pool table, office BBQs, bowling nights etc. I just want to write good software.

highhedgehog• 7 years ago

is it bad if i'm 31 and I don't get lured by office events either?

potta_coffee• 7 years ago

I don't come anywhere close to making enough money to attempt it. Sounds awesome though.

miguelrochefort• 7 years ago

Based on the salaries of people who comment here, I assume most can retire in about 5-10 years of work.

For the rest of us, I don't think we'll ever retire.

gubsz• 7 years ago

My interest in FIRE can really be boiled down to this scene: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rJjKP8vYjpQ

I'm on board and actively pursing FIRE. I'm not sure if I'll actually choose to retire when I hit the magic number (~20x your yearly expenses), but it does provide me with a sense of satisfaction and stability.

I think a lot of the FIRE community over evangelizes the "RE" portion of FIRE, but that may just be a reflection of the high stress/high pay types of jobs that many FIRE pursuers find themselves in.

Ask HN: What do people think of FIRE (Financial Independence, Retire Early)?

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