zpeti

Unfortunately this is not what 95% of HN wants to hear, even though its the truth. But you have my upvote.

Because writing a headline with 90% miss in it will get more clicks than actually thinking through business strategy and realistic projections.

That's ridiculous, you think when we were tribes in the jungle mother's didn't have something to do? Gather berries or cook etc? Even 50 years ago it wasn't phones, it was probably household chores that mother's "chose" over playing with their kids.

I really think people who want to feel guilty always find a reason to. Yes, don't avoid your kids over your phone, pay attention to them if they ask and need it, but you can still do other things (including looking at your phone) when around them.

Without doing a google search - optical fibers factories and pharma factories can deliver higher quality products when built in space. And I bet there are hundreds of other examples.

Just because launch costs were high and these weren't viable before, doesn't mean they won't be viable now.

Composer 2.5 worked just as well for me as opus 4.6, and was faster and actually worked better for quick bugfixes and reporting back to support. And is much cheaper.

I'm not saying HN should be super supportive of everything, but the level of hate and complete loss of reality for a lot of people is quite sad to see, for a community of supposedly intelligent people.

If I vibe code an app, and make $1m, and people willingly paid me for it, who am I exploiting? How did I "extract" $1m from a market. Who did I take that away from?

I didn't even exploit my workers and make a margin on their labor. Please can someone who believes billionaires are evil explain this to me.

What if - evolutionarily we just haven't evolved for birth control?

What if - given a choice, women just don't want to have 2.1 children on average?

No one wants to touch this topic, because it's super offensive and probably political, but it seems like the most plausible to me.

And clearly we're not going back. No one is going to ban birth control, and they probably shouldn't. But then where do we go from here? Basically all genes of non enthusiastic parents will die out over the next 100-200 years, and we will get more enthusiastic parent genes succeeding, and population grows again? Or we literally just die out...

I built the very first prototype of petrolprices.com almost exactly 20 years ago I think.

One man job, 2 weeks I think and we launched.

Nice project :)

I also used it for advice on a massive personal decision, but I specifically asked it to debate with me and persuade me of the other side. I specifically prompted it for things I am not thinking about, or ways I could be wrong.

It was extremely good at the other side too. You just have to ask. I can imagine most people don't try this, but LLMs literally just do what you ask them to. And they're extremely good and weighing both sides if that's what you specifically want.

So who's fault is it if you only ask for one side, or if the LLM is too sycophantic? I'm not sure it's the LLMs fault actually.

There’s no democracy in being mostly beholden to a few companies which own the largest and most powerful models, who can cut you off at any time, jack up the prices to inaccessibility, or unilaterally change the terms of the deal.

LOL. Maybe you are referring to OpenAI and Anthropic? Yes they have codex and opus. But about 1-2 months behind them is Grok, Gemini, and then 2-3 months behind them are all the other models available in cursor, from chinese open source models to composer etc.

How you can possibly use this "big company takes everything away" narrative is ridiculous, when you can probably use models for free that are abour 2 months behind the best models. This is probably the most uncentralised tech boom ever.

(I mean openAI is in such a bad state, I wouldn't be surprised if they lose almost their entire lead and user base within 6-12 months and are basically at the level of small chinese llm developers).

shed partisan tendencies and critically review policy initiatives

You could take a good will attitude to DOGE then. I think many (including Elon) genuinely believed they could cut fraud and waste. But by their own admission, they were only mostly an advisory committee.

You can only do so much. Congress still has authority, and that's how it works, that's how the system is intended. And the reason DOGE hasn't done much is exactly because congress isn't willing to cut spending. It NEVER will. It didn't under any president including Reagan.

So basically you have an ever increasing deficit and spending because the way the political system is setup drives this. In fact, it happens in basically every democracy, so maybe it's just something that happens in democracies.

So - you could call the promise of DOGE lies, but I think they were a lie from Trump and not Elon. I think Trump promised Elon cuts, to get his help in the election, then backtracked, and that's exactly why Elon stormed out, he didn't get what he wanted.

And the US government is still massively overspending. Trump didn't really cut anything.

Starlink will have competition from Amazon Leo in the next few months

Amazon Leo will have 14k satellites in space in a few months? Wow! Amazing!

Yeah, I remember people saying that about making 1m model 3s per year, landing rockets, getting 10k+ satellite privately into orbit, and getting millions of subscribers using internet via those satellites.

Maybe just maybe the guy does actually get things done, and if you didn't hate him you'd see that?

(yes, there are some things he hasn't gotten done. That doesn't take away from what he has gotten done)

I actually think the public markets have a lot less faith in openai than softbank does. They need these crazy investors. Public markets would not value openai at $1.4trn. So they can't go public. It would reveal how bad things are.

I remember Elon saying in an interview recently that the only piece of the vertical stack he doesn't own is chips.

I strongly suspect some sort of fab built by Elon associated companies will be announced soon. Almost all supply can be bought by Tesla and xAI.

It makes sense, IF he can get the tech to work at the bleeding edge. But he seems to be quite good at this.

As far as I know gemini and chatgpt will also create these images, they just won't post them automatically as social media posts.

You know how the NHS reduced waiting lists a few years back? If you had waiting lists of say 100 for a surgery, they basically said - the list is maximum 15 people, after that it's whoever books first who gets the surgery. So basically you had to be lucky and be the number 15 on the list once a spot was open.

But! Magically NHS waiting lists got shorter! The government could say this on Question Time on the BBC, woohoo!

I imagine this is the kind of thing that's happening now with petty crime reports.

age rating is not how I would categorise shows.

It’s also extremely hard saying no to certain shows to my kids, and it would be much easier to just not have them there.

I’m pretty sure the politically oriented people at Disney want this to your kids watch as much of the content as possible, and especially the new ones.

Last time I checked disney plus doesn't have any option to hide specific shows. None. You either let your child watch everything, or nothing.

At least netflix allows me to hide certain shows...

Has he made billions? He's obviously done well but I'm not sure he has been able to capture any value from openai except for publicity, and what else does he have? A few $10m from loopt and ycombinator?

Is it just me or did nutella go from almost solid to much more fluid about 5 years ago? And it got slightly darker? Anybody know what happened? The texture definitely changed.

The answer is fairly obvious, humanity is always more obsessed with potential value than actual value. Elon sells that potential very well, but he does actually follow up in a decent way.

Turning the impossible into late is a legitimate business strategy, because you create markets that weren't there before (like cheap satellite launches).

And he has a history of doing this, and he's trying to do it again with optimus and robotaxi. There's massive potential in humanoid robots and robotaxis, which is why people are willing to take a risk. You might think that's irrational, and that's fine. Others do not.

Compare this to other car companies, they don't offer any vision of changing the future in any major way or bringing new products to market. That is boring and predictable. Still valuable, but not as much as Tesla.

So someone needs to make a substack for music basically. That's what we are talking about here. Question is, do people think a certain artist or song is important enough to pay $5/month to individually? My sense is no, but perhaps...

Considering the amount of threats and hate jewish people with no connection get about Israel vs Palestine, you don't think there's at least some legitimacy for his position?

Considering there was literally just an attack on a UK synagogue by an arab, after which many people protested on the side of the attacker in London, you don't think there's a tiny legitimacy to his views?

Of course this is a rhetorical question, because your obviously don't think his views has legitimacy.

Cruelty is your perceived behaviour of people on the other side sticking up for their values.

I can both argue that it’s cruel to not have housing for everyone,

while also arguing it’s cruel to tax away 40-50% of an entire country’s productivity (people’s actual work) to pay for houses for people who have never worked or paid taxes in their life.

Who’s right? Who’s cruel? Both sides and both. This is why I find this cruelty argument so bad.

Realistic is a very broad term, but do you think they don’t have an effect?

And where you are from matters a lot, you will probably answer very differently if you are from California or if you are from Birmingham UK.

Came here just to see comments like this. Still my favorite game by far and I wish I could forget about it so I could replay it without remembering :)

What people fail to understand about dynamics between countries, is ultimately there is no supreme court or arbiter of truth. The UN doesn't have authority over any powerful country (or non powerful country for that matter).

People seem to have this concept that there is some supra national legal system, or even moral system that can hold a higher truth than what powerful countries want, but there isn't. When it comes to geopolitics, the biggest and most powerful sets the rules and lives by them (or not). The USA has zero motivation to do something the UN wants it to do, if it doesn't itself want to do it. No one is going to hold it to account.

Ultimately - whoever controls the violence can set the rules. For the last 80 years that's been the US. Maybe that is changing, but not quite yet.

The UN isn't an international democratic institution. For the last 20-30 years it's been a powerless theatre. And it didn't have much power before then either. Because ultimately, whoever has the most nukes and the biggest army rules the world.

If a human brain can tell the difference between sun glare and an object, machine learning certainly can.

It’s already better at X-rays and radiology in many cases.

Everything you are talking about is just a matter of sufficient learning data and training.

destroyed as much of the company's value as Musk has

Please, post numbers to back this up… please…