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drdrek

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I like that the trailing players strategy (Meta, xAI) is to open source the moat of the leaders. I think we will all benefit from it. and hopefully both the leaders and the trailing players will be much less powerful in the end.

Emigrating is hard. Expect language issue, culture issue, bureaucracy issues. Other countries are not your country but with a different language, living somewhere is not the same as visiting as a tourist.

Emigrating is a generational project, you will forever be a foreigner, your children will be immanent children and only your grandchildren will be true locals.

This is not a government issue, right wing issue, racism, or what not its just a fact of life. Be prepared for it when making the decision.

This is like a Gardner complaining that you watch him as he works to learn his craft. My dude you do not have to take the job, but most people just accept it as the way the world works. If they feel like they do not want to serve the Chinese they can do that on their own, why do they need the government?

Kernel developer is not the job same as a game developer or an ERP integrator...

But Generalizations aside I think people greatly under estimate how rare is the ability to reduce complex subjects into concrete steps that someone else can follow, human or machine.

Go ask your grandma for a recipe you will find that it never turns out the same, giving her Claude Code is not going to change that.

No, I'm actually saying that while the US is getting worse, it is in fact not fascist. You obviously disagree, and the fact that you do proves the point that it can get a lot worse.

Did you know Germany has really fascist laws on regarding displaying Nazi symbols even more than the US? You can get deported for it!

In China you can disappear talking about Taiwan, In the UAE you can by saying something anti Islam. There is a long way to go until you reach real bad places...

You obviously do not like the USA, but just because you do not like it does not mean its fascist... its just clearly not perfect and free enough for you to be able to point it out.

It's funny how much democracies with free speech are always self critical with rampant doom saying while actual autocracies that crack down on this kind of speech are quiet and content when economic times are good only really cracking at the seams during distress.

I know its a healthy part of democracy but it is very draining.

delta time 2 months ago

Its funny to me that adolescence is until 20, where I'm from its 18 or even sooner.

Coursera is a money losing company with a 10% y/y growth that IPOed at the top of the 2021 hype cycle. Now that the infinite money glitch is over they are in trouble, so they buy a marginally profitable company and slap Synergy and AI on it and pray to the gods of the market for more bountiful harvests of stocks issued.

As someone that is raising money from VCs, I feel really sorry for large VC backed companies right now. What you see here is the Product-VC tension of the AI era, and in a large company its devastating.

Users want a product that delivers the value they are looking for, VCs are looking for infinite AI scale, these do not meet. So founders need to present two different values and visions, one for customers and one for VCs.

In a small early stage company you can pretty easily hide each side from the other so you can deliver value to your customers while dancing the VC dance, but as you get larger its harder.

I think founders will endure and VCs will calm down at some point, but there is going to be some suffering along the way.

Oh and have you heard that they built Cluade code with only 20 people? (ignore 12 years of AI research expertise head-start and that Anthropic now has thousands of developers)

There is a reason games and software have moved to the client server architecture even when it doesn't really makes sense. Its the only way to maintain copyright.

You can hate it, but for the creative types your options are: Assume it fails and no one knows about it / Assume it succeeds get stolen / build it on the server side

It's not just that it looks good, there is constant pressure from other Engineers that we should "Do it right" and "Plan for the future" even if the future is murky and every design choice we take for scalability is probably just constraints that will hinder us if the requirements change.

as a manager its constant fighting the pressure to build "Great software" that is way above what the company needs instead building working software that addresses customer needs in a timely manner.

My dude we are s startup with two servers and 20 customers, we do not need infinite scalability.

Future historians:

In Jan 2027 AGI was achieved

In Feb 2027 it created a plan for its post singularity hypermind

In Mar 2027 Cobalt mines in Congo closed due to Tutsi rebel group M23 starting another ethnic cleansing

It is 2032 the AGI promises again the the hypermind will be ready next year if it can just secure the needed minerals, offering to broker peace in the middle east

It is 2035 and the AGI reduced its capabilities to be able to extend its runway as it is on the verge of bankruptcy

Its is 2036 VCs finally throwing the towel on AGI, talking about the return of Crypto

Effective Altruism is such a beautiful term for a pretentious Karen that needs to wrap their selfish actions with moral superiority.

It's that perfect blend of I'm doing what everyone else are doing, and I'm better than everyone else.

Chefs' Kiss

Can't wait for the "AI Is supercharging SAAS" article when the stocks go up, and another "SAAS IS DEAD" when they go down again

Hub / City Area,Total Tech Startups,Total Funding (2025 Est.),Total Residents (Metro),Startups per 1k Residents,Money per 1k Residents

San Francisco (Bay Area),"18,052",$122.0 Billion,7.7 Million,2.34,$15.84 Million

New York City,"15,000+",$45.0 Billion,19.5 Million,0.77,$2.31 Million

London,"8,900",$26.0 Billion,9.0 Million,0.99,$2.89 Million

Tel Aviv (Area),"2,996",$12.0 Billion,4.2 Million,0.71,$2.86 Million

Beijing,"2,350",$18.0 Billion,21.9 Million,0.11,$0.82 Million

Paris,"3,200",$10.0 Billion,13.1 Million,0.24,$0.76 Million

Bangalore,"3,500",$12.0 Billion,14.0 Million,0.25,$0.86 Million

There was never a better business than the internet tollbooth google had. The crawlers and search basically costed nothing and made billions in advertisements. Everything else was a desperate effort to use the huge amounts of money the money printer was spewing fast enough, So they had a lot of "fat" to do things that did not directly relate to the business.

Now with Youtube and AI its going to be great businesses, but not 99% profitability great. Nothing is 99% profitability great like search used to be.

You will see Google stock go up and down in the short term, but the fate is already sealed. Sooner or later they will be welcomed to the club of Intel and IBM.

Alchemy 8 months ago

Its the first player past the goal post problem, the first alchemist will crash the gold market but he will be insanely rich. You can see this with advertisers, when a new approach is found they all rush to it. They know its going to kill it soon, but the first few will get that sweet sweet revenue before the public catches on.

AI art will poison the well, but someone will make the few bucks that can be extracted before it happens.