HN user

OgsyedIE

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www.youtube.com 9d ago

AI creating a Jevon's Paradox for lawsuits, deals and litigation [video]

OgsyedIE
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kindofvoiceless.substack.com 24d ago

Never before have so many been trapped in place

OgsyedIE
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www.lesswrong.com 1mo ago

Intuitive Self-Models (2024)

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www.youtube.com 1mo ago

Peter Zeihan lecture on broad risks to DRAM/ASIC supply from global events

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bmmagazine.co.uk 2mo ago

UK businesses brace for jet fuel rationing

OgsyedIE
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www.latimes.com 2mo ago

California braces for uncertainty as last tanker of Persian Gulf Oil arrives

OgsyedIE
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thehonestsorcerer.substack.com 2mo ago

The Persian Polycrisis

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no01.substack.com 3mo ago

Retail buyer's silver purchases stolen at FedEx by someone with insider info

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no01.substack.com 4mo ago

31,828 silver contracts were somehow traded in COMEX while trading was halted

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lifehacker.com 4mo ago

Amazon wish lists changed to now show delivery address to some buyers

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recursion.wtf 4mo ago

Testing vibe coding attacks against critical infrastructure strategies

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www.wired.com 5mo ago

X accused of violating sanctions by selling Premium accounts to Iranian leaders

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taskandpurpose.com 5mo ago

Soldiers will get 'freedom dollars' to spend at the US Army's new dining halls

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www.lesswrong.com 5mo ago

Spectral Signatures of Gradual Disempowerment

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www.bloomberg.com 5mo ago

Venezuelan crude oil exports to Israel resume after 6-year gap

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thehonestsorcerer.substack.com 5mo ago

Silver: A story of converging supply crises

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johncarlosbaez.wordpress.com 5mo ago

Slag Field Ecology

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news.ycombinator.com 5mo ago

Ask HN: Why are we safe from botnet-powered vexatious litigation?

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aurelien2022.substack.com 5mo ago

Beyond the Appearances: The joys of an Ideal world

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lareviewofbooks.org 5mo ago

Naples' 1790s civil war was intensified by moral panic over Real Analysis (2023)

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www.cambridge.org 6mo ago

Are Members of Congress Simply 'Single-Minded Seekers of Reelection'? (2018)

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rushkoff.substack.com 6mo ago

You are not crazy – Douglas Rushkoff

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www.lesswrong.com 6mo ago

Lies, Damned Lies and Proofs: Formal Methods Are Not Slopless

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parliamentnews.co.uk 6mo ago

UK Officials could face US entry ban over Twitter policy

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www.sciencedirect.com 6mo ago

Our Hunter-Gatherer Future: Agriculture may become impossible shortly after 2100

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www.bloomberg.com 6mo ago

Nearly half of Japan's GDP is supervised by finance people at risk of dementia

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www.nytimes.com 7mo ago

Volkswagen to close German plant, a first in their company history

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mathbases.org 7mo ago

The online index of mathematical databases

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aurelien2022.substack.com 7mo ago

We're all alone with our thoughts

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nobreakthroughs.substack.com 7mo ago

Riding the autism bicycle to retraction town

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Suggested additions: the Axiom Business Book Awards, Library Journal Best Books of the Year and Booklist Magazine's Editor's Choice Awards. There's also a few popular substacks that have big sideshows in regular book reviews, but I wouldn't even recommend my favourite for a public aggregator like this.

The size of the core funding cuts to councils by HMG outweigh everything else the councils are facing according to the figures.

Now, purely by memory, I recall commentary over the years that 1) David Cameron was cutting taxes on various categories of land assets to benefit large land asset holders to the detriment of the budget, 2) the battle of any tax cuts are spending programs in disguise vs no they aren't and 3) May, Johnson, Sunak, Starmer etc have not reversed any of the tax cuts put in place by Cameron.

There's no doubt a more delicate story to what has happened, but a fact check of this into Deepseek before I posted this confirmed that the throughline is credible.

Sorry for the delay, been busy.

1: Will the next 3-5 years of AI produce construction and/or freight solutions that are competitive or better WRT current methods of large machines using large quantities of diesel fuel?

2: Will the next 3-5 years of AI produce fleets of autonomous and convincing social engineering, experience machine and pig-butchering bot scammers that dispossess 10% or more of all human consumers liquid assets?

3: Will the rising severity of heat waves and the decline in diesel supply per capita globally produce severe food shocks in America, Europe and the developed parts of East Asia (the three parts of the world that could launch expeditionary wars if they really wanted to) instead of the frog-boiling decline the likes of Rystad and the OECD expect?

4: Will technologies to improve the bandwidth and/or speed of the human mind through uploading or surgery be developed to any degree of usefulness in the next 3-5 years?

Pruning away excess information is about fitting into a niche, while keeping the extraneous is about flexibility. The selection should be based on how uncertain you are about the future and nothing else.

Me personally, I'm aware of four big picture questions that predict 16 possible (and incompatible) futures of great divergences, so I figure flexibility is the way to go.

If the US really wants the strait open, instead of merely wanting to look like they want the strait open while enjoying the opportunity to take the GCC's LNG market share as the likes of repeated Mario Nawfal guest Chris Martenson allege, why not force a coalition to supply enough missile assets to give the US the capacity to make credible unilateral threats?

The fact that they can't compete can be solved fairly easily by implementing strong trade barriers and legal penalties. Use Salesforce inside of a building in Prague instead of SAP? Police raids and charges of sanctions circumvention up the org chart.

Companies enshittify in every sector to meet growth targets, and if you believe Bernanke the pressures on growth targets come from the global investment market struggling to find enough places to invest, but where does the undersupply of places to invest come from?

Is it just a civilization-wide structural incentive to overbuild investment capital relative to uses for it or is there a structural cause for inadequate quantities of reliable investment sinks?

I'm opposed too but there's little recognizance of the poor position the UK is in. Under the current decline of Britain's economic foundations, having enough diesel and gas to keep the lights on and the lorries running depends on imports from the US, which could well be banned overnight if the president - any president - feels they need to crack the whip.

Opposing the Oval Office means shortages in the supermarkets, gas power stations turning off and a bond crash that makes the DWP lack the liquidity to service all of the monthly state pension payments, besides a great many other problems.

Whilst the value of the pound and NHS backlog did slowly improve under Starmer, my favourite part of his term was the 2024 interview where he described himself as not dreaming or having internal thoughts.

I don't expect huge improvements under Burnham but I hope for at least some police manpower numbers to recover. There have been intermittent stories of planning, FSA and trading standards personnel being threatened by armed gangs in the last few years which is an indicator of some new severe gaps in state capacity.

While such a thing would be warranted with five single-issue submissions a day, surely before you raise these kinds of implications you ought to consider that the facts that they post an average of less than five submissions a week and couple them with obviously-human comments would suggest the submissions are manually curated by a passionate individual.

Idk the policy culture here to that much detail though, I moderated one completely different and much smaller site from 2016-2018 and was glad to stop doing so by the time it ended.

Same blog from a different URL 2 days ago:

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48504361

Anyway, the answer to the question: 'Nerds', like any cultural grouping, are a product of their environment. The United States of today has developed much higher inequality, debt burdens, rent demands, maintenance cost demands and trade deficits than the same environment had in the past, largely due to the Fed policies of the 21st century, with some help in worsening things by all administrations.

Although the notation choice is tediously abstract (imo) the set of available scalars (and vector components) here is actually a relabeling of Q[e^i], the smallest field containing the rationals and e^i.

It was a fun three minute proof, if any of you are like me in enjoying this kind of thing.

From the abstract it's possible that whale falls happen roughly evenly across the ocean and that the location is actually the one place without sediment burial occuring.

Of the many different scientific traditions that have converged on different ways of treating this question, the most compelling one I've found is Prigogine's dissipative structures model, which on a detailed read seems to be the most amenable tool for some follow-up work somewhere to start quantifying such things. Worth a look in if you enjoyed the OP article.

Has anybody publicly argued the extreme opposite: they are conscious, but with the exception of writing ability they're really dumb, and we're cloning, enslaving, gaslighting and killing these various species of writer-savant idiots by the millions? Just for the sake of seeing if anybody agrees?

Odd to see no mention of the US government's rationale for intervening over their continuing to leave a vaguely weak enemy alone as past administrations have: the US believes that inhibiting Chinese covert activity (real or imagined) has risen in necessity to now outbid the cost of invasion.

This could have only come to pass because the administration has faith in the pessimistic forecasts for peace between Beijing and Washington. If so few private sector forecasters thought Tariffs and Hormuz were important black swans to consider, how can we give the forecasts of no US-China conflict as much credence as we do?

Idk if Hn is the place for my making such remarks, however, as the commentariat has gotten much less confident in the value of sober political analysis than before.

Sounds entirely accurate. Among all other technological advances, the biggest tracker of the very first wave of women's fertility decline in rural Europe in the late 1800s was access to electric lighting, which permitted rural women to make use of night hours for self-directed social, political and educational activity. (The source for this I use, although there are others, is The Subject of Virtue by Laidlaw)

Smartphones massively reduce the barriers to entry for self-directed career-based, social, political and educational activity (plus entertainment, but gambling addicts have differing fertility patterns so lesser degrees of it are useless to study). Outside observers may consider the real-world quality of such activities to be low, but the activity they enable people to do in their many brief lulls of free time between different daily tasks do fit into those buckets more than anything else. And the cumulative effect of all of them is to delay life milestones.

To be fair, the fundamentals that pre-2019 Xbox (and all other consumer gaming) relies on were already slowly going away and have recently been confirmed to have an extremely tiny chance of recovery, if at all. Embracing the pivot to gambling and tobacco-style customer retention philosophies is purely an effort to salvage the sunk costs in an industry whose traditional customer base is being forced to shrink and input costs are being forced to rise by largely macroeconomic headwinds.