Growth Rates Don't Matter: How Userbases Don't Always Confer Profit

http://techgeist.net/2009/04/growth-rates-dont-matter/

by mklurfeld • 17 years ago

16 14 17 years ago

techgeist.net

foulmouthboy• 17 years ago

Quality > Quantity.

Big Quantity of Quality > Small Quantity of Quality

proee• 17 years ago

Big Quantity of Quality >> Small Quanity of Quality (much much greater)

aston• 17 years ago

Good point re: Youtube, but the fact that eBay thinks they can spin Skype off into an independent company implies that it's profitable or near to it.

edit: A little digging confirms it -- http://www.pehub.com/37158/is-skype-profitable-now-we-know-y...

ewjordan• 17 years ago

Talking about Twitter in the same breath as YouTube just doesn't make sense - YouTube's troubles stem from the fact that its costs are through the roof, being a streaming video site and all. In order to come out of the red, they have to make a pretty large amount off of each viewer, and that's tough to do when advertising rates are depressed.

Twitter, on the other hand, sends 140 character messages back and forth. Yes, they've had scaling issues, but that's because they blew up from a tiny operation into a major success overnight without the manpower to handle the growth, not an indication that their costs are too high. If they flip pretty much any monetization switch, they'll become profitable quickly.

utnick• 17 years ago

given the current txt message rates, the cost of sending a txt message might be on par with streaming a video

diego• 17 years ago

Who still uses Twitter via SMS? Out of those people, who receive tweets via SMS (the ones Twitter would have to pay for)?

mattmaroon3• 17 years ago

"Good for Twitter, but this will not translate into any money for Biz Stone, one of the site’s founders, until the microblogging platform is monetized."

Umm, tell that to the YouTube guys (ironic given that that is the example he uses to make his point). There's no law that says your company has to turn a profit before anyone can buy it.

LargeWu• 17 years ago

Except we're not talking selling a site, we're talking about actual operating profit.

mattmaroon3• 17 years ago

Actually we're talking Biz Stone's bank account.

mixmax• 17 years ago

In the microeconomic sense you're right, in the macroeconomic sense you're wrong.

Selling off a company based on users that aren't monetizable is basically a ponzi scheme that just passes the buck to the next idiot in line until it all collapses.

mklurfeld• 17 years ago

This might be the truest statement I've read all day

mattmaroon3• 17 years ago

It's not really a Ponzi scheme because the next guy down the line might find value in it. Ever since Madoff, everyone has inaccurately referred to everything as a Ponzi scheme. It's not.

And even if it were, that quote would still be stupid because founders who don't monetize get rich all the time.

gojomo• 17 years ago

Uninformed choice of examples: Skype is very profitable. (See the link aston provided.)

Growth Rates Don't Matter: How Userbases Don't Always Confer Profit

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