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aston

6,573 karma

@__aston__

[ my public key: https://keybase.io/aston; my proof: https://keybase.io/aston/sigs/-Wfz_5UlE591PWUmtc4fNLY0OYxOW-QiyEvnOMRMstI ]

Posts102
Comments1,455
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www.musubilabs.ai 2mo ago

We Tried to Detect Bots in Comments. We Found a More Interesting Problem

aston
10pts0
neo.substack.com 4y ago

Neo Reimagines the Accelerator

aston
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medium.com 5y ago

Building at the Early Stage

aston
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medium.com 5y ago

Building at the Early Stage

aston
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www.economist.com 5y ago

Death of the Calorie

aston
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github.com 6y ago

Spoke - Open Source Text Messaging [Elizabeth Warren Campaign Fork]

aston
1pts0
www.netflixparty.com 6y ago

Netflix Party – Watch Netflix Together

aston
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www.daniellemorrill.com 6y ago

Results of Sam Altman's Bubble Talk Bet

aston
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techcrunch.com 7y ago

Index, Stripe back bookkeeping service Pilot.com with $40M

aston
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fortune.com 7y ago

Stripe backs $40M investment in AI accounting service Pilot.com

aston
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keybase.io 7y ago

Cryptographic coin flipping, now in Keybase

aston
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help.quora.com 7y ago

Quora User Data Compromised

aston
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usehooks.com 7y ago

React Hook recipes every day

aston
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keybase.io 8y ago

Keybase Exploding Messages

aston
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pilot.com 8y ago

Financial pitfalls to avoid with your startup

aston
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techcrunch.com 8y ago

Pilot.com raises $15M to bring bookkeeping into the modern era

aston
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www.motherjones.com 8y ago

California does not have the highest poverty rate in the USA

aston
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keybase.io 8y ago

Keybase launches encrypted Git

aston
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blog.sourced.tech 9y ago

Kallax: Why we built yet another ORM for Go

aston
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keybase.io 9y ago

Introducing Keybase Chat

aston
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medium.com 9y ago

LHC’s latest results: victory for the Standard Model

aston
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medium.com 9y ago

Riding the Emotional Startup Curve

aston
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keybase.io 9y ago

Keybase chooses Zcash

aston
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a16z.com 9y ago

When Is a “Mark” Not a Mark? When It’s a Venture Capital Mark

aston
120pts37
openai.com 10y ago

Concrete AI Safety Problems

aston
221pts94
m.signalvnoise.com 10y ago

Signal v. Noise moves to Medium

aston
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keybase.io 10y ago

Keybase's New Key Model

aston
187pts79
thelig.ht 11y ago

An Apple Push Notifications Debugging Story

aston
54pts5
aten.co 11y ago

Apple Watch – The Three Killer Use Cases

aston
5pts0
ayesimo.com 11y ago

Practical Micropayments for Digital Art

aston
13pts1

I don't think you want this, but just in case you do :)

    def encapsulate(mod):
        import types

        out = types.SimpleNamespace()

        def replace_global_scope(f):
            # via https://stackoverflow.com/a/1144561, but tweaked for py3
            return types.FunctionType(
                f.__code__,
                out.__dict__,
                f.__name__,
                f.__defaults__,
                f.__closure__,
            )

        for name in dir(mod):
            val = getattr(mod, name)
            if callable(val):
                val = replace_global_scope(val)
            setattr(out, name, val)
        return out

This is like when you walk into a super complicated legacy code base and immediately have the one magic architectural change that will simplify everything...once you rewrite it from the ground up.

The music metadata situation is pretty bad, but the source of the problem is not really carelessness or greed or avoidance of responsibility (although those are all true). The true source of music metadata complication is the insanely complex copyright regime that music operates under. It's a legacy codebase about a century in the making that is constantly being patched up by congress, mostly by trying to change who is being protected from whom. (Among the folks favored at different times: labels, publishing companies, performing artists, song writing artists, radio stations, streaming music services, live venues, ...).

Perfect compliance with these laws is effectively impossible, so everyone is just doing the best they can. And any attempts congress makes to change how things work end up being gigantic legal battles because it's a zero-sum game and the more money in the "right" hands (e.g. these artists being ripped off) is less money in the other "right" hands (e.g. the unprofitable streaming service we all love).

Here's the simplest way to understand where your money goes (assuming you're a subscriber, otherwise where the ad revenue earned on your eyeballs goes): For each song you stream, that artist gets a fixed fraction of a cent. Unless you listen to an atypically large number of hours of music each month, there will be leftover money. That remaining money goes into a pot allocated across every artist on the streaming service in proportion to their total number of streams.

So, roughly, the policy as it stands pays the biggest artists—or, really, the labels of the biggest artists—more money. Those big artists and labels are powerful enough that the chance such a change will be made is basically nil.

The reality is a little more complicated because the fixed per-stream rate is set based on the total number of streams, but to a first order approximation this is it.

The distribution by batch is pretty interesting:

   S2011 10
   W2012 10
   S2012 9
   S2014 7
   W2013 7
   S2013 6
   W2016 6
   W2015 6
   S2016 5
   W2014 5
   S2010 4
   S2015 4
   W2011 4
   S2009 3
   W2008 2
   W2007 2
   W2017 2
   S2006 2
   W2009 1
   W2018 1
   W2010 1
   S2008 1
   S2005 1
   S2007 1
The top three batches were consecutive starting from summer 2011 through summer of 2012. That period happens to also be when the seed and venture capital ecosystem started its recovery from the 2008 crisis [0].

What I wonder is, which way does the arrow of causation point? Did the success of these companies lift the entire ecosystem? Or were macroeconomic factors the dominant driver of capital entering this market, and those three batches happened to benefit?

edit: There's another possibility here, which is that there are two curves that may have maximized for companies around that time period. The first is the batch size, which has increased from ~10 companies to ~100 over the years. And the other curve is that companies take something like 5-10 years to mature. Maybe it's just that the companies of that vintage are just old enough to be really valuable, and that there were enough companies in the batch to push them to the top of this ranking.

My money is on macro effects, though.

[0] https://medium.com/the-mission/state-of-seed-investing-in-20...

Louder is not really worse when it comes to music. In fact, try turning up whatever you're listening to right now--it'll actually sound better!

The loudness wars (mass application of massive compression that reduces dynamic range) are the music equivalent of adding salt to savory foods. People like it better even though it's technically "worse".

Think about Equity 8 years ago

Another way to frame this is that it's easier to get rich via your investments than your direct labor. Working at a company that is willing to give you equity is a funny sort of investing: you're investing your time rather than your money.

That the world pays off equity in a company orders of magnitude better than labor for a company is the real thing that will complicate a young person's worldview.

There are actually two big questions here that seem fairly tied together, but practically speaking are totally separate when it comes music online.

  1. How much money should consumers/advertisers
     be charged for access or proximity to music?
  2. How much money should artists, publishing companies,
     record labels and other rightsholders be paid for
     that access?
Those two definitely seem related. As a theoretical floor on #2 the rightsholders have lots of leverage and so should be able to negotiate for fair (or better than fair) payouts from #1. As a theoretical ceiling on #2 you shouldn't be able to pay out more money than you make from #1.

In reality, the actual floor on how much rightsholders get paid is only up for negotiation if the music comes as a result of interactive streaming from music provided by the rightsholders (read: Spotify). If it's internet radio, where the user doesn't choose what they hear (non-interactive, read: Pandora) the rate is set by Congress regardless of the business income or rightsholder desires. And if it's user-generated content subject to the DMCA (read: YouTube) there's no clear need to pay anything to the rightsholders (see Grooveshark). So, there are tons of arguments about #2.

As far as #1 goes, there's never been a music company that got to million-user scale and was long-term profitable, so clearly companies (and their investors) are willing to send more money out the door than they make. Fixed-rate subscriptions have a perverse property that your best users by engagement metrics are your worst users financially--they cost you the most with all that listening. Advertisement-based monetization matches consumption to revenue, which is nice, but as Pandora and Spotify will both attest, the revenue from ads thus far is way short of what they or the rightsholders would like.

So what to do? Talk about it in the press and see if you can get public outcry to force someone to pay your company more?

Unnecessariat 10 years ago

And who elected those filibuster-threatening senators? Were the senators acting of their own accord, or on behalf of their constituents' desires?

Unnecessariat 10 years ago

Well, in this particular case, there was no popular vote for any part of Obamacare. But there were a very large number of congressmen elected before the bill passed, during its negotiation and even now well after it's been cemented as law by the Supreme Court who had a major policy platform of reforming or completely rolling back the ACA.

Unnecessariat 10 years ago

This is a pretty great personal account, and it helps me tremendously in my goal of understanding this group of people who feel left out and overlooked by their government. However, it's also a good demonstration of how people find ways to rationalize acting against their own self-interest.

One example: The author observes that the unnecessariat is having lots of economic value extracted from them, e.g. from required, high cost healthcare plans. She implies things were better when there was no requirement (and thus no coverage). I think that's a common sentiment among conservatives, which is why they have voted continually against Obamacare. But as she points out, these are people for whom even moderate healthcare costs can be devastating financially. So why didn't they all vote for Obamacare and for the public option, subsidized by higher taxes? And why didn't she consider that a reasonable enough future to even mention it?

I worry the answer is that they've given up on using (representative) democracy to improve their lives.

AsicBoost is hypothetically an easy 20% win for any miner to implement, but it's patent encumbered, so there's now an attempt [1] by the core developers to fork Bitcoin in order to nullify its effect.

Why fight it? Not just because it's patented. The bigger fear is that because it's patented, no one in the US will be able (willing?) to implement it, while folks in other countries with lax enforcement of IP laws (read: China) will. Since mining is a competitive race, a 20% boost should ensure only patent infringers will ever mine blocks.

[1] https://lists.linuxfoundation.org/pipermail/bitcoin-dev/2016...

This is a proposed 3:1 stock split which would take the per-share price for Facebook down to the $30s and also give Zuck the ability to donate 2/3rds of his resulting shares without any change to his percentage control of the company.

The key change for Uber when we have completely autonomous cars is that we will go from a two-sided marketplace matching drivers to riders to a much simpler retail model: riders buying rides. Whatever mindshare and network effects Uber has in the marketplace model will fall in importance, and the new king in the space will be the company that can deliver rides cheapest and fastest.

Uber is way behind Google and even Apple when it comes to calculating the best routes from place to place...

This is very poorly set up. What are even the facts of the case?

0. We're instructed to forget what we know about these characters, but then through hints we're supposed to recover the details of these characters' relationships to each other and the world?

1. Is this a real sheriff?

2. Did Robin Hood and Little John do anything deserving of being locked up?

3. What was the previous relationship between Maid Marion and Robin Hood? Were they truly lovers or something less?

4. What was the previous relationship between Maid Marion and the sheriff? Were they necessarily citizens with a power differential?

5. Would the sheriff have released his prisoners the next morning regardless of Maid Marion's actions?

6. Was Robin's "abuse" verbal or physical in nature?

7. What was the previous relationship between Little John and Maid Marion? Were they necessarily unlinked except via a mutual tie to Robin Hood?

8. What was the previous relationship between Little John and Robin Hood? Were they friends with some obligation to each other, or merely cellmates?

9. Was Little John truthful in his promise of devotion?

Many different rankings can stem from differing understanding of those facts rather than differing moral standards. Not to mention the conflation of Honesty with Morality.

Are there actually folks out there willing to pay a 10%+ a year interest rate to take a loan denominated in BTC? Bitcoin's price is all over the place, and often moves up very quickly, so even if the loan were at 0% it would be a bad idea. But at 10%, you have to ask, are there any ways to invest your loan such that you could beat that rate? Consistently? The default rate is going to be sky high.

The only rational explanations here are 1) these people are actually intending to short Bitcoin and don't realize there are cheaper ways or 2) these people don't exist, and this is a Ponzi scheme.

The latter seems more likely, especially since this site claims to be covering losses on defaults (an even crazier idea than taking a BTC loan in the first place).