A study of research on the psychology of expertise in weather forecasting

Early weather forecasts were made by meteorologists, who laboriously constructed contour maps of temperature and other variables by hand, using experience and tradecraft to fill in between sparse observations
However, the skill of computer forecasts has improved steadily over time, and modeling is now the primary approach for making operational weather forecasts.

from Nation Academy of Science (USA) https://doi.org/10.17226/23650.

SoftTalker• 3 years ago

Beyond today's forecast at best, it's all bullshit and guesses, to be honest.

I was watching the weather for the last few days for any chance of rain to determine how much I might need to water my garden. There was no rain forecast yesterday. Then overnight we had a downpour out of nowhere, a couple of inches total.

This is how it's always been. It's a game of guessing the future based on observations of the present. Like picking stocks, it doesn't work very well.

Ylpertnodi• 3 years ago

Tldr - No actual content, just a link to a book that costs $55. Am I missing something?

hggh• 3 years ago

https://annas-archive.org/md5/8afc3aa4a5e5dd7a5b6bd463a77acb...

rajandatta• 3 years ago

Personally - I'm waiting for the research on the research on the psychology of expertise in whether forecasting.

brizii• 3 years ago

did you mean the research on the study of research on the psychology of expertise in weather forecasting?

A study of research on the psychology of expertise in weather forecasting

Related Stories