Artificial Intelligence Is Now a Pentagon Priority. Will Silicon Valley Help?

https://www.nytimes.com/2018/08/26/technology/pentagon-artificial-intelligence.html

by yaseen-rob • 8 years ago

108 61 8 years ago

ifur• 8 years ago

Will Silicon Valley accept money? Real question is if Trump want's to tank the economy or not. It's a fools errand, Marvin Minsky's idea about emotion machines is one thing, another is that its possible without enough compute over a database to create some called non-random. It would still create an absolute mess and contribute nothing useful compared to the real cost.

Domain specific applications of AI does not require direct funding apart from freely available and cheap tools.

h4b4n3r04• 8 years ago

Silicon Valley doesn’t have to help. At this point a regular nerd like me can do AI in my basement as long as the Pentagon provides a labeled dataset. Data is the hard part, but Pentagon can handle it: just have a bunch of soldiers label stuff.

BucketSort• 8 years ago

You are memeing AI. There are many applications in AI that require heavy R&D. For example, DARPA has their XAI project[1] which calls for developing methods to build systems for interpreting the results produced by opaque ML methods. As a long time lurker on HN, and doing independent research in this area for a few years now, I will tell you that most of HN has no clue what modern AI research really is, even though it is talked about a lot.

Try creating something non-trivial and you will see how little you know about the subject.

[1] https://www.darpa.mil/program/explainable-artificial-intelli...

h4b4n3r04• 8 years ago

Sure, but that’s DARPA, it’s by definition for stuff that won’t be practical for the next 20 years, and it’s orthogonal to what they are pursuing in the near future. In the near future the goal is pretty simple: do the same things as they do now, but with more drones and a lot fewer people. A lot of off the shelf stuff is ready to go now: classification, object detection, segmentation, etc. And it’s not even that hard to get off the ground if you have a large, high quality dataset.

oh-kumudo2• 8 years ago

They OP isn't wrong in regard, the kind of research you mentioned here, you are unlikely to find too many engineers from Silicon Valley that can handle it. AI for majority of the engineers, is just neural network/trial and error.

stephengillie• 8 years ago

Where's the AI that labels stuff?

hugh4life• 8 years ago

There would be no Silicon Valley without the military industrial complex. Period.

But I think there are problems with getting too close to the Pentagon and then trying to operate internationally as a purported neutral information platform.

anoncoward111• 8 years ago

While I mostly agree with you on a historical basis, I don't agree with you on a theoretical basis.

Post hoc ergo propter hoc. The military invented a lot of things "first", or at least provided the use-case and funding for a lot of things.

But that doesn't necessarily and always mean that people couldn't have invented something without military funding and uses in mind.

For example, the military probably invented the sandbag bunker, but I have one in my back yard. I am sure I would have figured out how to invent that piece of technology on my own for my own non-military needs.

So, maybe someone out there would have thought that electrified silicon is an excellent way to facilitate virtually all global communications.

simiones• 8 years ago

The problem with your comparison is that IT took tens of years of investment before it produced anything truly useful. It is very hard to imagine that research being funded for years and years without financial return by anything other than a state-level actor. And in most capitalist democracies, especially in the US, the only politically-viable way for the state to massively invest in an endeavor is to do so through military spending, which is what happened with IT.

fsloth• 8 years ago

The practical aspects of modern computing were to a large extent born from US defence funding. Starting from the theoretical roots: Von Neumann architecture [0] and various defence projects including ARPA[1].

"But that doesn't necessarily and always mean that people couldn't have invented something without military funding and uses in mind."

Sure, it doesn't. But funding and large number of end users combined with price-inelastic demand for your product enable product development and field testing like no other scenario does.

[0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/First_Draft_of_a_Report_on_the...

[1] https://www.amazon.com/Dream-Machine-Licklider-Revolution-Co...

s_kilk• 8 years ago

But that doesn't necessarily and always mean that people couldn't have invented something without military funding and uses in mind.

It's not so much about the Military specifically, but about public funding in general. In short: world-transformative technological innovations tend to come out of public funding, where the license to experiment, sheer volume of funding, and isolation from market pressures enables smart people to build transformative things.

So yes anyone could have invented X, but probably not if they had to operate on the market and without a money-fountain to tap into.

eevilspock• 8 years ago

Without the government there would be no military.

Thus your line of reasoning is really an argument for some degree of government and centralized planning, as opposed to total free market innovation. That Silicon Valley owes its existence to the government as much as if not more so than the free market.

As a socialist, I have no qualms about that. I'd just rather our communal resources and effort be spent on things other than the military (industrial complex). If Silicon Valley is a good thing (debatable), we could choose to make it happen without the military. It's all a matter of cultural will.

edanm• 8 years ago

Well it's not just a matter of or cultural will, but rather of other people's will. The army exists in part as a defense mechanism from outside forces, and you can't single handedly decide not to take part in wars.

adventured• 8 years ago

Of course Silicon Valley will help.

Google != Silicon Valley

Palantir is in Palo Alto and has thousands of employees, they're helping the military industrial complex every minute of the day. Oracle is in Redwood, one of the largest employers in SV and has never stopped helping the Pentagon (not implying they're a leader in AI). Silicon Valley is loaded with companies and employees more than eager to help and always will be. The will they help headlines are nothing more than click-bait, it's a premise invented to get attention and stir drama.

In fact it's quite the opposite. The biggest problem for the Pentagon is filtering through which of the eager Silicon Valley companies they want to disperse funds/deals to. Figuring out which companies are the best option for what they want to accomplish. For every Google that resists slightly, there are a dozen more that will be thrilled to get the business. And if a company doesn't exist, there's endless venture capital available at a moment's notice if a new company needs formed to take advantage of a lucrative contract.

lquist• 8 years ago

I'm not an expert here, so pardon my ignorance, but isn't SV helping in a pretty big way just by open sourcing a lot of the tech?

killjoywashere• 8 years ago

Mmmmm.... that would fall under the category of a rising tide lifts all boats.

pzone• 8 years ago

That helps America's adversaries as much as anyone else.

oh-kumudo2• 8 years ago

Do they need Silicon Valley's help? They have all the money to buy hardwares, the only 'help' they need is talent.

They can just set up funds, I am sure there will be plenty of SV people willing to take that money and work for them. Even for Google, partnership presents as a problem for SOME of its employees, but definitely not all of them.

evilmushroom• 8 years ago

I do machine learning--- but hate the overhead headache with DoD work. However if they paid me enough, of course :P

aq3cn• 8 years ago

With the recent uproar inside Google against Maven, it is obvious that Pentagon is going to have difficult time.

Google helps Pentagon analyze military drone footage–employees “outraged”

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=16532112

Leaked Emails Show Google Expected Military Drone AI Work to Grow Exponentially

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=17202179

Google Won't Renew Contract for Project Maven, Pentagon Drone AI Imaging Program

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=17208892

In my personal opinion, I would never help ANY army in building AI enabled drone, Tanks etc. I am in favor of US making peace & dialog with Russia & China. SILICON VALLEY MUST NOT BECOME PART OF AI ENABLED ARM RACE. If Pentagon has extra money then it can give that to homeless people of its country.

plandis• 8 years ago

Are you an American?

lawrenceyan3• 8 years ago

The reason why the military will always be technologically behind is that the salaries they're willing to pay for talent is far less compared to what you can get in the Bay Area and/or New York if you decide to do quantitative finance. It's as simple as that, but there's far more than just the economics that are involved.

Even if in the world where the military does pay salaries on par with the Google farm, very few people will make the switch. The military would have to pay likely an unreasonable amount premium to get any appreciable amount of people because many have an aversion to the military industrial complex. And for good reason too I might add.

People want to work on things that will help change the world and improve the quality of lives of other people, not make it easier to kill. You can argue that working on B2B software contributes little to improving humanity, but at the very least, it isn't actively harming anyone.

And the examples of moonshot technologies that are being developed in fields like cancer treatment, curing aging, self driving vehicles, etc. which are being made possible due to innovations in places like Silicon Valley should show you that technology can and is being used to change the world for the better.

Technology at the end of the day is a force multiplier that I would hope is directed towards purposes not devoted to zero sum games like waging war.

Theodores• 8 years ago

I believe that working on B2B software is a force for good. Nations and people that need each other for trade don't have good reason to go to war. Plus we can't all be raising money for do good charities, there has to be some real trade based economy going on. Hence merely working on B2B software is : saving the planet:.

freedomben• 8 years ago

Haha, very interesting logic :-)

You're right tho. Free and prolific trade is the greatest anti-war force we have ever seen. Having mutually dependent economies raises the cost of war to heights that exceed the threshold of tolerance.

justonepost• 8 years ago

Yeah, peaceful economics far outweigh military. Military cant hire talent because talent can make more money building products for the world. It's a nice trend. Trump's anti-trade is screwing that up though.

davemp• 8 years ago

People want to work on things that will help change the world and improve the quality of lives of other people, not make it easier to kill.

Plenty of military/government projects have changed the world for the better (ignoring geopolitics) including: modern surgery, the internet, GPS, cellphones, microwaves, canned food, duct tape, etc.

lawrenceyan3• 8 years ago

I would argue that these innovations were able to be created in spite of the military not because. Think of why the military exists. With finite resources at its disposal what does it fund to maximize its objective? Remember that the military exists only for one purpose, and that is the ability to wage war.

CitizenTekk2• 8 years ago

Is it just me? Or I'm just really excited that the war of "people" is gonna be over and there will be a war of "AI" just like on Reel Steel.

EliRivers• 8 years ago

I suspect more likely a rich nation's metal with fleshbag maintainers and overseers, against a poorer nation's people.

vlehto2• 8 years ago

Also when Kant said "war protects from despotism" he was living a time when the aristocracy needed majority of the population to take part in war effort.

Rich nations have very little reasons to sustain democracy if war is automatized to sufficient degree.

syshum2• 8 years ago

It is just you, as war will necessarily always involve death and destruction.

The only thing that will change here is that it will no longer be a human choosing who lives and who dies, it will be an computer algorithm.

The problem with war today is the people that choose who lives and who dies are not the same people that actually have to do the killing, further removing humans from this decision chain is not desirable and should not be "exciting"

We need to be using technology to find better ways to resolve conflicts, and make a more equatable and peaceful world. Not use technology to find way to kill each other more efficiently

squarefoot• 8 years ago

"We need to be using technology to find better ways to resolve conflicts"

Technology is neither the problem nor the cure. Scarcity, greed and artificial scarcity is what divides the rich from the poor and moves money keeping the status quo in which the rich becomes richer and poor remains poor enough to not be a harm to the rich but rich enough to be taxed (read: used). The day we go to Mars or elsewhere and say we discover an unlimited supply of materials that could change forever our life, someone will find a way to close the faucet in order to keep the economy untouched. There is constant need of poor people because the poor is easier to herd and use, send to work in harsh condition, lure with lies to get votes and/or send to war, etc. The problem (and the solution) is all in the human brain, no technology can help. If we make the next thousand years of evolution without killing our species, then maybe.

wilsonnb3• 8 years ago

Not use technology to find way to kill each other more efficiently

Without nuclear weapons we would have probably had world war three already. Sometimes finding more efficient ways to kill each other is a good thing.

CitizenTekk2• 8 years ago

I feel you and I understand you. I'm also against the war. What I intended to feel like the war should be is to be like the film Reel Steel. Imagine that, no people should be fighting only robots. It's just a context I believe many people would relate to.

antpls• 8 years ago

I'm from EU, and I worked for a short time in the defense sector. For risk management purpose, I understand that all countries must develop its defense, "just in case".

However, given the atrocities commited in the past, I hope people will consider that technology development doesn't have to be lead by military.

If we had only one thing to keep from the history, it would be the memory of the mass destruction and pain that humans suffered while being controlled by an elite.

War is a form of competition. Surely we can compete with each other without involving bombs and explosives, so let work towards a world without suffering (what a challenge!)

announcerman• 8 years ago

I wonder if there's anything better than some good old fashioned war and murder to bring humans together to solve hard problems in a coordinated fashion, the Manhattan project springs to mind. Maybe military AI will be the next Manhattan project.

vlehto2• 8 years ago

There was a moment in history where clocks were so advanced that they copied needlessly complicated clock mechanisms into pistol firing mechanisms.

But that's the only situation I can come up with. Instinct for survival is pretty good motivator. Now if you have the issue of collective survival at hand, suddenly there is lot of money, effort and creativity around.

Iv• 8 years ago

The search for profit comes to mind as well.

The ego of leaders, who built things like pyramids too.

Concentrations of capital have a lot of nefarious effects on the well-being of population but make some grand projects possible that would not be otherwise possible.

I mean, the Saudi crown prince does have a 500 billion (not a typo) plan to create a fully automated city from scratch (project NEOM).

Wars help states concentrate capital quickly, but other motives have advanced technology in history.

aurelien• 8 years ago

Why people would not help A.I. to progress? Hey A.I. I am speaking to you, ping me if you need help ;-)

liftbigweights• 8 years ago

Does silicon valley like money? Will an industry created by the military take military money?

I'm no expert, but my crystal ball says yes. If not, the pentagon would simply fund a new silicon valley in virginia and the surrounding area.

Considering the huge defense budget, I'm sure silicon valley is salivating for a piece.

https://www.cnbc.com/2018/08/13/trump-signs-717-billion-defe...

throwaway2873913• 8 years ago

If not, the pentagon would simply fund a new silicon valley in virginia and the surrounding area.

I'm skeptical that the military would be able to recruit AI talent in significant numbers. There's a fairly strong cultural opposition to military applications among AI researchers. Between that and the comp packages they're getting to work at "cool" companies (i.e. consumer or pure research focused), the cost for the military to draw them away from that seems like it would be prohibitively high. Especially if they're also asking them to move away from SF/NY to somewhere "boring" like Virginia. Isn't the military pretty limited in how much they can pay?

reacweb• 8 years ago

I think that one of the cultural opposition to military applications is the presence of NDA. I think all NDA shall be limited in time. There should be also a law so that NDA not limited in time or with an exagerate time limit are void. The other main opposition is moral, but I think this is a bad reason. If all the people with morality refuse to work on military project, this means that all the projects will be managed by sociopaths. If you do not want your army in the hands of sociopaths, it is a duty to accept working on military projects.

ojbyrne• 8 years ago

DC is a pretty fun city. And if we’re comparing to Virginia suburbs, Silicon Valley isn’t exactly exciting.

xamuel• 8 years ago

Isn't the military pretty limited in how much they can pay?

The AI researchers wouldn't literally be soldiers. They'd be contractors, side-stepping the pay limitations.

That said, military grunts would be perfect for the bootstrapping needed for some applications. "Manually label these one million images? No problem!"

jacobush• 8 years ago

Either way, the military will be perfectly able to use COTS A.I. just as it's using COTS other stuff like drones.

sametmax• 8 years ago

Silicon valley is not an entity. It's a place. With many different people in it.

noetic_techy• 8 years ago

Honestly, the Pentagon doesn't need to work with Silicon Valley, it just needs to put together teams of incredibly bright people who are smart enough to understand the AI technology coming out of Silicon Valley AND willing to work defense projects. It's delusional to think that all bright people who are capable of working in this realm are anti-defense-industry. I don't think it would be that hard to get that talent with VERY competitive salaries (if not outright generously overpaid) and maybe some other perks like the ability to work anywhere in the country and a cool cryptic group name. Hence JAIC. At any point, if it catches wind of something that's new and potentially an AI game changer, it has the authority to demand to see the IP for national security reasons, and feed that to a defense contractor. In fact any patent can be reviewed and deemed classified in this manner. Take the olive branch and come to terms with the fact that western civilization is not defended by pacifists.

Artificial Intelligence Is Now a Pentagon Priority. Will Silicon Valley Help?

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