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yyyk

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www.freepressjournal.in 22d ago

Breaking the Bird Barrier: Scientist Decodes Zebra Finch Language

yyyk
128pts44
www.gamingonlinux.com 4mo ago

The "video game preservation service" Myrient is shutting down in March

yyyk
5pts0
www.wsj.com 11mo ago

China Is Choking Supply of Critical Minerals to Western Defense Companies

yyyk
16pts5
www.wsj.com 11mo ago

Mark Zuckerberg Just Declared War on the iPhone

yyyk
4pts4
www.theguardian.com 1y ago

'Nowhere on Earth is safe': Trump imposes tariffs on uninhabited islands

yyyk
5pts0
neurosciencenews.com 1y ago

Marmoset Monkeys Use Unique Calls to Name Each Other

yyyk
5pts0
www.govexec.com 2y ago

Senators' latest telework legislation could imperil remote work

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2pts0
www.ft.com 2y ago

Here is what we know about generative AI's impact on white-collar work

yyyk
4pts1
www.pcgamer.com 2y ago

Fan outcry pushes Pathfinder dev to delete new data-sucking tool

yyyk
6pts0
www.theguardian.com 3y ago

Iran’s ‘morality police’ resume patrols 10 months after nationwide protests

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8pts0
www.science.org 3y ago

Journal declines to retract fish research paper despite fraud finding

yyyk
1pts0
newsrnd.com 3y ago

Prof. Lampel passed away – the inventor who made the MP3 revolution possible

yyyk
1pts1
arstechnica.com 3y ago

Windows 7 and Windows 8.1 reach the end of the line

yyyk
7pts1
otakukart.com 3y ago

Taliban Bans PUBG and TikTok: Says Its “Too Violent and Immoral”

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4pts1
transformer-circuits.pub 3y ago

Toy Models of Superposition

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2pts0
apnews.com 3y ago

EU court largely upholds $4B Google Android antitrust fine

yyyk
1pts1
www.wsj.com 4y ago

Volkswagen to Keep Factory Running in China’s Xinjiang Region

yyyk
3pts0
devblogs.microsoft.com 4y ago

Regular Expression Improvements in .NET 7

yyyk
2pts0
news.yahoo.com 4y ago

Medical oxygen running out in Ukraine as war rages, WHO warns

yyyk
9pts0
www.newscientist.com 4y ago

Chernobyl radiation spike probably from Russian tanks disturbing dust

yyyk
3pts0
foreignpolicy.com 4y ago

Biden Administration Debates Legality of Arming Ukrainian Resistance

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11pts1
www.scmp.com 4y ago

China-Lithuania tension: German firms may have to shut factories in Baltic state

yyyk
20pts0
blog.0patch.com 4y ago

Micropatching “Ms-Officecmd” Remote Code Execution (No CVE)

yyyk
3pts0
www.reuters.com 4y ago

U.S. builds new software tool to predict actions that could draw China's ire

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2pts0
www.globaltimes.cn 4y ago

Price of China's coal future drops as daily output reaches over 12M tons

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6pts0
www.wsj.com 4y ago

U.S. Companies Aid China’s Bid for Chip Dominance Despite Security Concerns

yyyk
6pts0
apnews.com 4y ago

Watchdog finds no misconduct in mistaken Afghan airstrike

yyyk
1pts0
www.cesifo.org 4y ago

Do Carbon Offsets Offset Carbon? [pdf]

yyyk
2pts1
www.cnn.com 4y ago

China tells mines to produce 'as much coal as possible'

yyyk
1pts0
www.wsj.com 4y ago

Apple is working on iPhone features to help detect depression,cognitive decline

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1pts0

If they're good enough at useful tasks and cheaper than any human, the economic and political effect is the same regardless of whether they are 'intelligent' or 'pretend-to-be-intelligent'. The philosophical debate does not change the practical effect.

in the name of personal power and wealth.

Technological innovation is perhaps enhanced by capitalism**, but is not dependent on it or a result of it. Development would have happened anyway given current technological levels, just in a different form, and the race between states would have led to deployment, even if possibly slower deployment.

** There's an argument that Google hindered AI deployment for awhile because the CEO was worried about its effects.

In my now long lifetime, I can't tell you how many times I've heard the phrase...

Russell's Turkey Parable:

"The man who has fed the chicken every day throughout its life at last wrings its neck instead, showing that more refined views as to the uniformity of nature would have been useful to the chicken."

We can all read the news and see AI constantly improving at a very quick pace. What's the barrier AI can't improve beyond? One that would last a lifetime? By all means (since you're such an accomplished person), explain yourself.

The problem is that he relies on a dubious Acemoglu estimate, without realizing that at best it's temporary. AI will be better than humans in doing tasks (the qualifiers don't matter in the aggregate). Any jobs then would be bullshit jobs, and everyone will know it.

There are several good points there, but there are also several points where I must disagree.

First, Acemoglu may have a Noble Prize (occasionally dubious data selection aside[0]), but even he does not pretend to have the information of a central planner nor does he think that central planning is good idea. If actual businesses, which have local information, believe AI helps them, I'll bet the actual businesses are much more likely to be right, no matter what calculation Acemoglu did or how many Nobels he has.

Second, it is likely that AI will eventually be better than (nearly all) humans in most economically useful things. We can debate the timeframe but it will happen and likely not that far away. That Federal Job Guarantee would generate bullshit jobs, and he won't be able to hide that from people. Ultimately, we'll reach an economy which objectively does not need humans and everyone will know it. He needs to face that reality and overcome it, and not hide behind temporary and dubious estimates.

Third (admittedly a minor point), while the criticism against EA etc. is very justified, it's not quite fair to blame them (overwhelmingly STEM people) for not reading where the humanities did many of the same errors earlier (the author points out some of these) and discredited themselves. The people who could have taught them to not do it failed to teach themselves.

And fourth: I'm pretty sure a lot of company would be able to charge AI agents themselves. The new economy will not be dead, it just won't involve (many?) humans.

[0] https://xcancel.com/joefrancis505/status/2059340591490552054...

While the argument is probably right, the author may notice he's asking AI websites on AI water usage. Perhaps he should consult more neutral sources, at least to introduce the habit of critical thinking.

It looks like that by simply reducing use in welding, lifting, and purging gas (all with clear alternatives) and maybe also 'leak detection' and 'other' (not expounded on in the article), they can fill in for the entire Qatari output, and that's without including extra production and recycling which is quiet possible.

But without a nuclear weapons program, the entire sanctions regime wouldn't have started (yea, I know today half of those are anti-terrorist sanctions, but that's not how it started, it was morphed later on). It should be considered as part of the losses.

A treaty whose key articles would start expiring in.. late 2025. Which Iran had no motivation whatsoever to extend had it being kept (imagine this Iran but with 2-4 trillion dollars more, more than a few going to drones and missiles). You'd have this war but on way worse terms.

Yea, the US joined in in 2025, what should it imply about a future war? The assumption that Iran doesn't know who's bombing it sounds rather dubious. If anything, it should be very much in their interest to assume away US involvement unless 100% proven, given fighting an additional enemy tend to be very bad and US is so powerful. Unless...

Maybe the strategic balance creates a situation where it's advantageous for Iran to pull US in regardless of non-involvement. They don't do well against Israel alone (see rather low damage of 4 separate large scale attempts at attacking Israel directly), but US is so much easier to pressure via the Gulf. Indeed, this scenario doesn't quite need Israel.

So US risked getting pulled in not due to attacking in June 2025, but because the cheque given to the Gulf was starting to expire, the power balance was objectively swinging in favor of Iran at the location where Devereaux sees as the most important part of the Middle East. Now, say there are powerful states who feel they are in a decent position now but also that the strategic balance would slip away. What do they tend to do? Devereaux can consult his WW1 history.

We saw regime collapses in the Arab Spring - it's not a simple or short process, most regimes survived (either directly or via reversion). Even when a regime was overthrown, the replacement was usually not more hostile to Israel. e.g. Syria isn't more hostile than it was. Thing is there isn't all that much 'fury' since Arabs already assume the worst of Israel, while reasons for relative peace remain as is or are actually strengthened by the revolution process (e.g. economy, desire for quiet following violent revolution, new regime wanting to establish itself, etc.)

Look, it's a done deal. Some of the choices Wayland made are not to my liking, there will be a long term cost (even static linking won't save you from differing protocol implementations). But it's done and there's no point in complaining.

(Running X11 right now, I'll switch when the distro forces me to, in hope I'll get a bug free experience after everyone else runs it)

Nobody forced Iran to bomb gas and oil fields that aren't even of their enemies, and to start doing it before Pars was bombed (e.g. Shah gas field was targeted 2 days ago). Place the blame on Iran who is actually 'wrecking Asia' and not the ones fighting it.

I think the idea behind a prediction market is pretty interesting...

But we're in an era of less and less responsible government oversight

The era doesn't matter. The incentives are so bad, eventually you'd get a horrible result even with oversight. These markets are prone to this and shouldn't exist.

An ode to bzip 4 months ago

continuous compression

'Solid compression' (as WinRAR calls it) is still optional with RAR. I recall the default is 'off'. At the time, that mode was still pretty good compared to bzip2.

An ode to bzip 4 months ago

Even then, there were better options in the Windows world (RAR/ACE/etc.). Also, bzip2 was considered slow even when it was new.

First, JCPOA restrictions would have started to end this year, the 2031 situation was just extra bad.

Second, had NPT been enough, why was JCPOA necessary? Because NPT was not near enough to stop a determined state. NPT 'limits' do not limit enrichment. They just state enrichment must be done for civilian purposes and leave no enforcement mechanism. JCPOA also had no real enforcement mechanism starting in 2026. Iran could have simply taken all the money, buy weapons (legally), reach the legal max (which is basically infinity in 2031, a bit less earlier), and pressed forwards immediately. There was simply no way to enforce (some people think _this_ operation is too risky! Now lets give Iran over a trillion dollars and years to prepare).

Third, you're just wrong about current negotiations. Iran explicitly demanded 20%[0], beyond the JCPOA and with no civilian use.

Look, JCPOA debates always end in the same way. The advocates are asked how the original deal was enforceable in any way past 2031 (or even 2026) and they have to deploy word salad because the actual answer is 'Iran could have easily built a nuke, inspectors just allow us to see it but they would have been no way to do something about it'. It would be more honest if many of them just admitted they wanted to allow Iranian nukes.

[0] https://xcancel.com/laurnorman/status/2028050672583618946