ttyprintk

In game theory, he’s grim trigger and it shows in multiple ways. I suppose we’ve never seen him forced to play a game in which he’s not allowed to change the rules.

We are in the phase where influencers are jostling to be the one who controls the black list. Navarro and Musk hissed about it last week, but Loomer has stronger game.

No, it has a feature where it connects to your brokerage in order to execute the trades. That’s rather involved for me.

Turns out I was wrong and it has been submitted: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=42682786

I would say that they oversee the Pentagon and ensure that the military stays in civilian control. In the past, theories from war games percolate through the Joint Chiefs, who meet with SECDEF before presenting options to the President.

I was surprised Hegseth even desired a side channel that had the potential downside that he could accidentally text the coordinates of a carrier. Stuff like that gets Generals relieved immediately.

When not being a Florida politician, Mike Waltz has had this role since the early 2000s (for Cheney) and believes contact fields “get sucked” through invisible series of tubes. He’s never seen a Senate confirmation and I bet never will.

Oh the product offerings are way ahead of that. Until recently, you could invest in Inverse Jim Cramer. Plenty of passive and active funds for Nancy Pelosi.

I haven’t seen Autopilot posted on HN:

joinautopilot.com

A lot of Trump supporters would identify the super-rich as the right demographic to pay that.

Well, he wants to do business in Germany yet when the cameras are on, he can’t suppress Nazi salutes. He says he wants a trial.

The first three points:

https://www.foxnews.com/person/r/tanvi-ratna

It’s weird that Congress, the body constitutionally responsible for tariffs and their results, acts like they don’t know about it.

Layperson here. How can we tell if progress is made on this? Japan and China are the big owners, and haven’t blinked in recent trade wars.

Shibboleth for judgment of an economist’s loyalty.

Classical “tariff engineering” also includes a small, hidden pocket on some garments to make them into shirts.

Don’t know much about the guy. Nissan has been in Smyrna since 1983.

Since Nissan has built the Rogue in Smyrna, TN since 2013, this is a (smart) pattern of stating the status quo in a flattering way.

DOGE’s approach is much more of a “private equity play,” said Samuel Hammond, chief economist for the right-leaning tech policy think tank Foundation for American Innovation. “It’s sort of liquidation nation,” he said, referring to the way private equity firms strip companies down for parts. While he said DOGE isn’t “universally praised or condemned” among the conservative technologists he knows, he said more people in those circles are starting to “talk about the DOGE that could have been.”

Trouble in the swamp. This particular friction is between men who want control over who forms the first version of the black list.

There are already Trump NFT tokens, those could serve as tariff stamps whenever a phone crosses jurisdictions or during spot checks.

I’ve been thinking about your second point. Some speculation:

Assuming that Trump, Musk, and Putin each need something from one of each other. Assuming that the siloviki want to quietly rule Russia.

A mercenary uprising would be convenient cover for Putin to endure exile in, say, the Caribbean. Security by FSB, siloviki split up their rule across Russia, etc. Operating from Guyana, Putin could deprive ESA of access to the French Guiana spaceport, handing it over to Musk.

The entire Caribbean fell into 10% tariffs except for two: Guyana (38%) and Cuba (0%).

Under normal circumstances, the chair cannot be removed without cause. And appointments must pass the Senate.

But, fanatics can intimidate and stalk Fed employees, with the executive conveniently withholding law enforcement response.

Numerous times, he conflates debt and budget deficit. He has even confused the direction his budget goes in. These terms are just backdrops for the things he wants to talk about: immigration, lack of loyalty to whites from other races, etc.

I believe the forensic credit should go to James Surowecki:

https://xcancel.com/JamesSurowiecki/status/19075591892341969...

Lesotho, a small mountain within South Africa punished with a sudden 50% tariff, disproves #3 is evidence of an intelligent carve out.

Yet playing a mixed strategy means that—-to maintain unpredictability—-these deals to avoid venal retribution are not always offered. I predict less than 30% of the time; almost all his Pareto-optimal deals are very obscure. The biggest example is USMCA, which he wrote and negotiated. Yet, today he says it was signed by a fool. “The dumbest explanation is usually the correct one.”

Which is actually part of his strategy. You need fools that commit outrageous claims, threats and actions. Then he can play the good cop when it makes sense and just fire the fool. That is basically applied game theory on a meta- and psychological level.

Firings that support this: Flynn, McCabe, Esper, Bolton

Firings that support Trump’s Razor: Comey, Sessions, Tillerson, Nielsen, Krebs

“The dumbest explanation is often the correct one.” tells us that the increase in information from those moves is uselessly low for both him and us. Nevertheless, if Trump is able to influence the rules, the accumulation of side effects of high strategic value gives his advisers something to work with.

This is thoroughly studied. He’s grim trigger but fairly good at choosing close to optimal moves when we believe Trump’s Razor.

What I was trying to point out: his wealth is in real estate and one huge chunk of DJT. No blue chips, no managed funds; nothing that mainstream America and Barack Obama would choose. I contend he attacks the mainstream because of all that.

Trump only owns one stock: a major portion of the parent company of Truth social. Nothing he’s done has caused that stock to rise or steady.

There is a technicality in normal times, though: ratifying treaties negotiated by the President only need to pass the Senate.

Europe is openly talking about its own cooperative nuclear umbrella. Trump is correct that he deserves 100% of credit/blame for that, taking the heat for Putin.