robocat

I have more than a handful of decades personal experience which intelligently applied has value even if just a single sample of a voter.

+/-fortunately voters do matter.

I can't vote for much in the US given that I'm in New Zealand.

Perhaps Anthropic is indirectly paying to have their competitors sued...

My narritive is that the terms of the settlement would be full and final.

It was a class action, with payment going to authors and publishers, and the legal team will get paid too.

My guess is that funding is a major issue for the legal team. Authors presumably can't pay for lawyers unless a percentage of winnings, although publishers may have invested.

But the legal team will ask the beneficiaries to use some of the warchest to fund different campaigns against every other AI company. I would assume the legal team wants to win again. They've now got a good story to sell to rights holders, who presumably like money and don't like risks.

I haven't even got to my armchair yet this morning.

Hell gets Windows.

  Don't judge the dog's technique. The miracle is that it's dancing.

Are we best to assume an LLM is a blind programmer? Any HN comments from blind programmers tasked with creating SVG icons? Only relevant comment I could find from ctoth was about accessibility: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=7185771

Projecting how you think onto what the LLM is doing or should be doing, is probably a mistake on your part.

I recently spent a little time trying to understand exactly why Gemini was misexplaining $X. $X = {why the generated LaTeX visually didn't match what it was asked to do}. It was enlightening.

You're both reading tea leaves.

Settling just says that they expected the internal costs or risks to be more than 1.5 billion cashflow.

  In the $65B in Series H funding at $965B post-money valuation they said their run-rate revenue crossed $47B annualised.

Also if it ends up that other competitors also need to pay $1.5 billion, then maybe that does or doesn't have a competitive advantage.

Anthropic's business and legal strategies are not public. I would expect there to be multiple legs/reasons for settlement even for a decision below 1%. Trying to create a single narrative is what us spectators do.

Does asking for a dagger help?

day of the crash

It took 17 months for the 2008 crash to reach bottom.

For the dotcom, the market peaked in 2000 and reached bottom in 2002.

Timing the bottom is hard - plus emotionally nobody is keen to invest so you'd need to be contrarian too.

World Bank said exports in 2024 were about 20% of China's GDP. AI said 30% of China's petrochemical usage is exported as embedded energy. You're right that it is useful to think in terms of marginal generation, where it is marginally used. But that is more difficult to measure than just making assumptions at the level of the economy.

For context: Currently NZ roads are significantly funded from excise taxes on petrol - about USD1.55 per gallon (making a gallon about USD6.20 including government 15% sales tax).

Strangely in NZ currently the taxation per km is more for electric vehicles than for small efficient petrol cars. However it seems our government wants to move away from fuel excise taxes and charge all vehicles on a per kilometer usage basis so electric cars are just leading the charge.

2 brain cells, have you tried reading below the fold of https://hermit-tech.com/business-owners

Soy un loser

The most interesting part of the Dunning-Kruger paper was the "skilled and aware of it" subgroup.

Try to be aware that mentioning Dunning-Kruger is recursive.

Shades of Gattaca: "Society has categorized Vincent Freeman as less than suitable given his genetic make-up and he has become one of the underclass of humans that are only useful for menial jobs."

I imagine there are some choice concepts in US employee health "benefits" to filter out high-insurance-risk employees.

minority of people ultra sensitive to noise

misophonia can be severely disabling. Good overview: https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/misophonia-beyond-sensory-s...

I've personally had a friend with misophonia (about subsonics) commit suicide (making it difficult to find out from them what was cause or correlation).

updoots == upvotes

(slang from reddit)

Can you create a space people want to come to?

Over many years I've tried to work out where a positive vibe comes from (mostly at food and beverage places).

My current theory is that a good vibe is an emergent behaviour from the customers.

Obviously poor managers/owners can make a toxic place (but negativity is a completely different issue from creating positivity). I've witnessed many owners think they can create a vibe, but then crash and burn (especially when taking over somewhere with an existing vibe). They often don't seem to understand how they failed (maybe have excuses that don't ring true). Starting or buying a business requires ego, but too much ego leads to mistaken self-belief.

I'm sure a wise manager can encourage a vibe to grow, but actually it seems like the customers drive the process.

Maybe it's just a human thing that like-minded people create spaces for themselves.

I watched the vibe at one place radically shift from tradies to more gentrified customers. Same owners and staff. I also suspect I'm just not good at it myself, so I lack the skills to even see why someone is good (and might not even understand if they try and explain to me).

Anyone else tried to grok how a good ambience grows? Is there some standard for learning it?

Hopefully you can synch the light flashes to the ball rotation:

1: maybe make the ball look like it isn't rolling - or even backspinning

2: perhaps it could you make the amount of side-spin or other spin more obvious to help learning

Maybe hard to read the ball rotation accurately: even if the ball was marked with dots or bands that help?

Is your zigbee running at 2.4GHz? Everything interferes with that.

yacht money

Huh? Apparently Amazon has never paid dividends, has done much less than 1% buybacks, even as CEO Bezos was getting less than an engineer in total comp (but did get loans or something).

Apparently Bezos owns about 9% of common stock - no dual class shite.

So your yacht spending sounds like a hallucination: if I'm missing something, please correct me.

Amazon's weight: about 3.7–3.8% of the S&P 500. So he isn't even that overweighted (especially as the market doesn't like owners selling down - bad optics).

Bezos has spent about 28 billion for Blue Origin by selling Amazon stock - not using shell games. He has comparitively spent a few percent of that amount on superyachts.

China produces over 2x the CO2 of the US.

Although China is also the world's largest exporter of CO2 (embedded in products and services), the US is still behind.

Current climate change really depends on cumulative historical CO2 emissions, where the US still leads.

Unfortunately, VCs seem to avoid speaking the truth. I liked the comment in the article:

  Capital goes somewhere. It shapes what gets built, who gets a chance, what the world looks like in a decade. I'd rather be one of the people directing it with a conscience than stand outside throwing rocks and achieving nothing. Voting with capital and currency and allocation of investment is ultimately the most impactful vote one can make, far more critical than a vote for a political candidate. That's not even a heroic position either.

Preemptive: Anthropic intends to distil from Kimi, for a model Anthropic has yet to develop and complete.

Any similarities between their new model and Kimi, are because we all know that the Chinese copy. We know US AI companies never stoop to anything immoral.

Longer HN discussion: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=45364329

Technical term "pointer assisted reading" (which I don't think includes the repetitive ADHD behaviours).

My google-fu failed to find a good article about it.

Appently the behaviours are best described within the comments of nerdy sites that have more mouse-users.

Edit: obsessive "highlighters" please: what do you do on your mobile devices? What do you do when using a keyboard without a mouse? Do you do it with trackball devices or laptop trackpads?

RGBC

C is Cyan (~+½G+½B)

don't mess with your sleep or you might start a murder cult

Or: don't select members that are really into bicameral mind ideas

In my extremely limited experience, some crazies are into split brain thinking, and some crazies have symptoms of split brains

HN discussion and link:

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48939524

knowing what questions to ask in the first place

That's my 2nd hardest skill when trying to use AI. 3rd hardest is better filtering.

I keep having flashbacks to learning how to use Google effectively.

I'm an arthiest, but I'm in a historically christian society so bible stuff comes up and I often delve in.

Whenever I do look into the bible, it amazes me just how extremely bullshitty vague the bible actually is. I don't understand why people argue about it, or pay attention to past arguments (many famous examples). If I wanted to argue about vague shit I'd be into philosophy or psychology or I could choose any of the many other branches of argument. Humans are not very logical. At least capitalism has a clearer scorecard.

Last nerdsniped look was about Angels due to Scott Alexander:

  (The Bible describes very clearly what angels look like. [snip] This is the highest-grade antimeme I feel comfortable using as an example; if you don’t see the fnords they can’t eat you.)

The police are just part of a broken system: they seem to be as constrained as I am.

In my very limited experience, individual officers seem well intentioned. They are extremely well trained in the privacy rights of crooks: I'm guessing crooks use that to their advantage. Tht outcome feels like gaslighting if you're a victim trying to understand what is going on.

I assume it is possible to get involved in politics to make some systemic change. But that costs too much (selling my soul to become a politician, not just time and money).

I'm an engineer type that at least sees solutions to systemic flaws. I have worked on enough broken software in enough broken businesses to know my limitations to effect change.

Intelligence is knowing that a tomato is a fruit

Intelligence is learning to avoid using childish cliches, unless your intention was to mislead. Categorisation and understanding dependencies are hard enough problems already.

At the supermarket or taxation (Nix v. Hedden) tomatoes are a vegetable.

I am part owner of a plain SaaS company, and our financial motivation is very very strongly to keep our business customers happy. Churn is highly expensive for us.

Churn is even more expensive for growth SaaS companies, due to equity multipliers.

I remember working for old-school software companies and the incentives were drastically misaligned in the past before SaaS. Existing customers were treated awfully - new customers or updates were where the money was.

Your opinion is a tad too cynical. Although perhaps warrented for twilight products like Evernote getting sold to Bending Spoons. Or the VMware/Broadcom debacle.

marginally higher petty crime rates

And what is a petty crime these days?

Within the last year in Woolston Lyttelton and Brighton: I've been assualted unprovoked, I've had the outer unit of my split heatpump stolen (for Al, $$$ to fix), I've had outdoor plumbing damaged (for Cu, $$ to fix), I've had the rim stolen[1] off the back of my parked car, last week my friend had tools stolen that they can't afford to replace.

I'm not sure what the answer is, but the above petty crimes are unacceptable to me or my friends.

Nothing has been reported because that just costs time and doesn't resolve the problems.

In small groups of people society is surveillance (yes, often detrimentally). I've lived in small towns and the surveillance is extreme. Society has got worse at encouraging/enforcing good society.

I loath surveillance capitalism, but systemically I'm unsure what the answer is.

I finally gave in and installed a Eufy brand camera (my security friend used that brand and installed it, although I can't recommend the UI). I don't think that it will even help. Ironically the security friend was broken into recently and had their security camera stolen.

None of the above was motivated by hunger or good reasons: it was real scumbags for the situations I know the perp, and likely drug users for the metal thefts (or perhaps kids - two brass taps are not worth it).

[1] https://www.stuff.co.nz/nz-news/360962317/its-bit-epidemic-m...