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keebEz

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For new technologies, adoption curves can vary wildly, and for different reasons. When it comes to clean tech, PV and wind specifically, the adoption is dominated by sunsetting investments over a long horizon.

Other types of tech have much faster adoption cycles due to the lower cost of substitution. For each peak-hour kWh from PV comes at an increased cost of non-peak-hour kWh from non-PV (whether storage or generation).

VIX attempts to measure volatility but it is not volatility itself. The lowness of VIX has been driven by the relative increase of the denominator (total asset value, which has surged in the last few years) not by a decrease of the numerator.

In general, it's usefulness as an indicator of volatility has decreased lately.

I had a stewardess dump a tray full of water on me and my laptop about an hour into a 5 hour flight. She couldn't give me more than a $50 credit, and I had to go to the customer service rep desk after the flight.

First thing he said after I explained to him the situation was "Do you have twitter?". Confused, he explained to me that it was the first thing he had to tick off on the customer resolution checklist. I get it, but a bit of insult to injury.

I haven't used Facebook in a long time, deactivated my account. I had 2 factor auth on with my phone and they just pinged me twice, back to back, yesterday from their 2 factor auth number asking me to reactivate.

Spamming me from a 2 factor auth number to use your product is a new low I've never encountered elsewhere.

With the 1980 chart: if we should be ensuring high income growth to people according to their income percentile alone then gradually you'd assume they'd move up along the curve (since its income, and not wealth, and income*growth over time would move to the right then).

In this world, everyone would slowly move up the curve according to their tenure/age.

However, if we believe that people should have income growth more dependent on their willingness to work (rather than just income percentile) then over time, with high income growth on the low end, those most willing to work would move up.

In this world, then the income growth is a dependent variable of 'willingness to work' and logically would move up the income percentile over time as labor re-sorts itself into higher income growth percentiles based on that willingness to work.

One simple chart doesn't tell you much. It'd be best to see cohort effects across this time period to see if the bottom percentile is a bunch of 18 year old kids now (millennials), versus a bunch of prime age baby boomers itching to work hard.

Having said that, the cohort effects I've seen are reassuring, but there are still big issues. The main point is that this chart isn't that great at saying anything conclusive.

The main divergence between California and the rest of the US is around the time of Rosenfeld's work... but also the same time as mass adoption of AC. Since half of California has a cooler coastal climate (such as the Bay Area) AC is not nearly as prevalent as almost any other state that experiences a typical hot summer.

Estimates of the impact of this climate seem to claim the majority of the 'energy efficiency' gains claimed by Rosenfeld.

He still did great work, just lets ensure we have the right features in our mental models.

Or easy. When you reduce your options to the beef jerky, or maybe the nuts, you often realize you aren't that hungry and actually are just bored.

There are two types of growth, one that should irk, and the other that should not:

1) Growing for the sake of growth - buying users, anti-user lock-in features, dark patterns, etc.

2) Growing as technology improves - the cost of creating/publishing videos has decline massively in the last few years for the average user, thus products that utilize video to create better experiences should be built.

Re: How this forms addiction - the levels prescribed are for a 12 hour period, but since the drug only lasts 8 hours, a patient is getting a dose above the recommended level that it should last.

Marketed: 120mg over 12 hours or 80mg over 8 hours

Reality: People that take the 120mg over 12 hours realize it only lasts 8 hours thus they are taking 40mg more than they should be on the schedule that makes sense to them to avoid pain.

Not sure but the media during the crack epidemic sure focused on non-white people... And that just further perpetrated the idea and image that non-white people do drugs and thus are bad.

This seems like a way to raise awareness in a more responsible way.

Same could be said for solar? The sunbelt is/was heavy on coal for energy production. Solar is a great fit for the sunbelt. The federal government subsidizing solar adoption is a direct transfer of money to southern states as well as a direct negative on WV/WY economies.

What is the relative value of marginal votes from those different areas...

As incomes rise in the US (mostly in high productivity sectors), child care costs increase even though the productivity of child care stays stagnant. As a result, per dollar spent, the quality of child care has been getting worse. On top of that, the best nannies/day cares/schools are being bided up by more market forces in those sectors. As a result, the point at which increasing family income by a secondary earner is no longer net positive (especially when considering tax implications.. someplace where unpaid household labor majorly wins).

Improved educational attainment may have just made Millennials act more economically 'rational' than their previous versions.

The clearest way to think of AI and automation is in terms of a person, or multiple people, but it can also take the form of partial people. AI is already helping middle and upper management make better decisions.

Instead of removing the need for any of them it has instead increased their productivity. That is a partial driver for the increasing wage gap between occupations, and makes complete sense from an automation as personal productivity improvements.

More demand does not always result in higher prices. Price depends on the elasticity of supply for all of the different goods as well. Some might increase, while others wouldn't.