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edwardy20

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http://quant.am

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corpgov.law.harvard.edu 6y ago

Short Activism: The Rise in Anonymous Online Short Attacks (2017)

edwardy20
10pts0
quant.am 9y ago

Why You Should Always Guess on the SAT

edwardy20
2pts0
quant.am 9y ago

Proposal: a Volition Tax

edwardy20
2pts1
news.ycombinator.com 11y ago

Ask HN: What's the simplest way to integrate a blog onto my website?

edwardy20
2pts9
rrandomize.com 12y ago

Show HN: Rrandomize – get random things shipped to your door

edwardy20
1pts0
news.ycombinator.com 12y ago

Ask HN: What is the best major for a start up?

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1pts1
www.paulgraham.com 12y ago

What You'll Wish You'd Known (2005)

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2pts0
unqualified-reservations.blogspot.com 12y ago

Everything You Know About the American Revolution is Wrong

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2pts1
rrandomize.com 12y ago

Show HN: rrandomize - get random stuff shipped to your door

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7pts8
www.nytimes.com 12y ago

Does Media Violence Lead to the Real Thing?

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1pts0
news.ycombinator.com 12y ago

Ask HN: Startup founders, what degrees do you hold?

edwardy20
1pts0
news.ycombinator.com 12y ago

Ask HN: Tools to achieve your goals?

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2pts7
www.economist.com 13y ago

The Attack of the MOOCs

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3pts0
www.quora.com 13y ago

What are we not being told about PRISM?

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1pts0
wikitranslation.org 13y ago

Show HN: wikitranslation - free human translation

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1pts0
www.fincen.gov 13y ago

FinCEN Report on Bitcoin

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2pts0
forums.dropbox.com 13y ago

Dropbox is Down

edwardy20
1pts0
krugman.blogs.nytimes.com 13y ago

The Trillion Dollar Coin

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1pts0
www.startupbros.com 13y ago

How You Can Make Big Money Importing From China – The Rise and Fall of My Empire

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2pts0
www.quora.com 13y ago

Jimmy Wales: RE: Wikipedia Doesn't Need Your Money

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6pts0
online.wsj.com 14y ago

Mastering the Finer Points of American Slang

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2pts1
www.salon.com 14y ago

Our real first gay president

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5pts1
mashable.com 14y ago

Sergey Brin: I'm Worried About the Internet

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1pts1
mediadecoder.blogs.nytimes.com 14y ago

Justice Department Sues Apple and Publishers Over E-Book Pricing

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2pts0
www.youtube.com 14y ago

An Inside Look at Google's Self-Driving Cars

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8pts1
scaleofuniverse.com 14y ago

Interactive Scale of the Universe

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1pts0
en.wikipedia.org 14y ago

Errors in the Encyclopædia Britannica that have been corrected in Wikipedia

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41pts6
th3j35t3r.wordpress.com 14y ago

Steal SMS logs, call logs, and emails with Javascript

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9pts0
www.nytimes.com 14y ago

North Korea Agrees to Curb Nuclear Work; U.S. Offers Aid

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5pts2
www.telegraph.co.uk 14y ago

Stratfor: Osama bin Laden 'was in routine contact with Pakistan's spy agency'

edwardy20
6pts0

Professional quant here. I have to say I strongly disagree with the conclusions of the OP.

They were all found by using phrases like "predict stock market" or "predict forex" or "predict bitcoin" and terms related to those.

Yeah, searching for any finance papers with "predict" or "machine learning" is literally the lowest quality tier you can get. These papers are often written by grad students who can pump an easy paper out by "applying" some already known ML algorithm to financial markets. Of course it's not gonna work. It also kills me when I see ML models who need stationarity assumptions applied to non-stationary time series data. Yeah, good luck with that.

THAT being said, there is lots of high quality research which has been replicated over and over, showing that alpha does exist in the market (and which funds have made billions off of). I would like to see the OP try to replicate some of these instead. To give some simple examples:

1. Try searching for papers with the keywords "and the cross section of expected returns". For example, the momentum factor which can be tested and replicated with only linear regression. > There is substantial evidence that indicates that stocks that perform the best (worst) over a three- to 12-month period tend to continue to perform well (poorly) over the subsequent three to 12 months. https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=299107

2. Statistical arbitrage strategies which were known to work well until the mid 2000s. Also been replicated many times, furthermore, you can see the gradual decline in profitability pointing to the theory that "alpha decay" in this case is real. https://www.math.nyu.edu/faculty/avellane/AvellanedaLeeStatA...

3. High frequency strategies. No way OP or any retail trader can replicate this, but firms make billions of dollars per year consistently doing this.

In conclusion, to make a claim that there is no alpha in the market seems highly suspect, and perhaps just needs a more nuanced view of how trading firms make their profits.

Because the "points" have no intrinsic value except in comparison to your classmates

This is where your logic is wrong. The professor is not saying the class is graded on a relative scale (for example, top 10% of the class gets As). If everyone gets two points, and it bumps up everyone's GPAs, then of course it will benefit them all, especially in comparison to people who are not in the class.

This is an interesting concept. I suppose you could do similar things with USD as well. You could declare, "Anyone with a dollar bill with this specific serial number now has control of my company." I would argue that the dollar bill still has a value of $1 by itself, but you can assign arbitrary value to it by making it representative of another thing.

Bitcoin paradise 13 years ago

As opposed to your painstakingly thought out and intellectually engaging rebuttal?

I completely agree with you. And more to the point: does this hypersensitivity over gender issues ameliorate the problem, or only makes it worse?