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bezmenov

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The Japanese Nuclear Commission had the following goals set in 2003:

The mean value of acute fatality risk by radiation exposure resultant from an accident of a nuclear installation to individuals of the public, who live in the vicinity of the site boundary of the nuclear installation, should not exceed the probability of about 1×10^6 per year (that is, at least 1 per million years)

Their one in a million-year accident occurred about 8 years later.

You can't trust theoretically derived probabilities, such as those used when discussing the safety of the nuclear field for which the effective track record is only 70 years.

It does mention that left-leaning users are twice as likely to block, unfriend or hide those posting political content they do not like:

Liberals are the most likely to have taken each of these steps to block, unfriend, or hide. In all, 28% of liberals have blocked, unfriended, or hidden someone on SNS because of one of these reasons, compared with 16% of conservatives and 14% of moderates.

The firm’s research also found that social media news consumers skewed young — 48% of those who mostly used social media for news were between 18 and 29, for example. They also tended to have lower levels of formal education, as only 26% had a college degree, versus 47% of those who read news websites or the 49% who turn to print.

So the only actual insight here is that younger people are less informed on average (big surprise).

Ludic Fallacy 6 years ago

Yes, it’s just a variation of don’t confuse the map for the territory, or the more general, don’t confuse the model for reality.