HN user

Zigurd

11,081 karma

Information about me is at zigurd.com

I'm not sarcastic. I practice Effective Ambiguity.

I make tiktoks about project management and tech: https://www.tiktok.com/@zigurdmednieks

I wrote a 5G guide that helps people who are not deeply familiar with mobile networks cut through 5G industry hype: 5ggui.de

I wrote parts of these books: http://amzn.com/dp/1118183495 http://amzn.com/dp/1449316646 http://amzn.com/dp/1449389694 http://amzn.com/dp/8184047339

Posts80
Comments7,761
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www.latimes.com 14d ago

First recorded Tesla Semi crash kills two people in Nevada

Zigurd
4pts0
www.sciencedaily.com 20d ago

Investment risk for energy highest for nuclear plants, lowest for solar

Zigurd
4pts0
substack.com 4mo ago

The most SHAMELESS structural manipulation of a index I've ever seen

Zigurd
67pts8
www.businesstoday.in 4mo ago

Amid xAI co-founder exits, Elon Musk hires key engineers from AI startup Cursor

Zigurd
4pts1
autonews.gasgoo.com 5mo ago

Behind a Potential $2.5B Deal: Hyundai and Waymo Tackle Scale Together?

Zigurd
3pts0
www.reuters.com 5mo ago

The sale of xAI comes with tax, financial and legal benefits for investors

Zigurd
2pts2
seekingalpha.com 6mo ago

Teslas claims of unsupervised Austin robotaxi challenged

Zigurd
4pts0
www.caranddriver.com 6mo ago

The Waymo Ojai Will Soon Offer Autonomous Rides Around the U.S.

Zigurd
44pts58
wlockett.medium.com 7mo ago

Blue Origin Might Make Starship Obsolete

Zigurd
2pts0
www.nytimes.com 11mo ago

The AOC Deepfake Was Terrible. The Proposed Solution Is Delusional

Zigurd
5pts1
news.ycombinator.com 1y ago

Ask HN: Facebook account hack

Zigurd
2pts0
www.cnbc.com 2y ago

Fuselage maker Spirit Aerosystems surges, Boeing could buy it back

Zigurd
3pts2
fortune.com 2y ago

Elon lost a fortune but Cathie Wood says 'intensity of his brain cells '

Zigurd
2pts1
www.wsj.com 2y ago

Elon borrowed a billion from SpaceX to buy Twitter

Zigurd
4pts1
www.fastcompany.com 2y ago

Tesla’s Cybertruck has a serious problem that only a complete redesign can fix

Zigurd
3pts0
developer.apple.com 2y ago

Section 1.2 Apple App Store requirements for social media

Zigurd
2pts0
www.independent.co.uk 3y ago

$44B and eight months later. It’s finally all over for Elon Musk

Zigurd
6pts1
news.ycombinator.com 3y ago

Ask HN: Twitter is up for auction, what do you bid?

Zigurd
1pts9
www.semiconductors.org 3y ago

Global Semiconductor Sales Increase 0.3% Month-to-Month in April

Zigurd
1pts0
finance.yahoo.com 3y ago

Elon Musk gets blowback saying a ‘certain inevitability’ China will integrate it

Zigurd
6pts2
en.wikipedia.org 3y ago

Why hasn't VW made an electric version of the 1 litre car?

Zigurd
3pts4
ktla.com 3y ago

Tucker Carlson bringing show to Twitter

Zigurd
30pts38
www.engadget.com 3y ago

SpaceX's Starship didn't immediately respond to a self-destruct command

Zigurd
39pts93
blog.esghound.com 3y ago

SpaceX's Texas Rocket Is Going to Cause a Lot More Damage Than Anyone Thinks

Zigurd
206pts162
finance.yahoo.com 3y ago

Tesla downgraded to Peer Perform on growing macro concerns

Zigurd
1pts0
www.thedailybeast.com 3y ago

Bodyguards Follow Elon Musk Everywhere at Twitter HQ, Even to Restroom

Zigurd
16pts2
www.npr.org 3y ago

Videos show Turkey's Erdogan boasted letting builders avoid earthquake codes

Zigurd
274pts89
www.businessinsider.com 3y ago

I was a Tesla fan but I feel like I've been duped by Elon Musk's claims

Zigurd
13pts1
www.nytimes.com 3y ago

Sympathy, and Job Offers, for Twitter’s Misinformation Experts

Zigurd
1pts0
electrek.co 3y ago

Ford snags CR crown from GM in driver assistance, Tesla ‘falls behind’ to 7th

Zigurd
2pts0

It's interesting to see a competitive landscape shift out from under the early adopters. Anthropic appears to have anticipated this, but everyone else is going to get caught out by the major platform providers' multitude of distribution channels and use cases. Meta might also be an exceptional case if they can find a way to goose up ad effectiveness.

I've been using 3.5 flash in Android Studio on a Dart/Flutter project, some of it pretty complex and using brand new API's and native code for agentic tool calling in the app.

It used to be that you could find the edges of the training set pretty easily. No longer.

Interviewed there early in my career. The vibe was very much off. Ran into the same vibe many years later when a company that acquired a company I founded got bought by Computer Associates. Places where doing good work and making good things seemed way down the list of priorities. I get the feeling I was pitied for naïveté.

Making the concept a little more abstract can help: if you have personal access to capital because you've got collateral, that has numerous beneficial effects, as some of the other commenters here have pointed out. This effect might be less strong in the US because we have relatively well run capital markets that you can invest in. This would be a book length post to dive into all of the details of it but the net effect is plain to see. It's one of those things that looks a little irrational but in practical terms it's a proven benefit.

It was easy to imagine Amazon scaling to Walmart scale. Whether you believed they could execute or not is another matter.

Do you actually believe in orbital data centers, or that 15 starship launches to refuel one starship will ever happen? Or, on the topic of Elon's other bubble, do you believe Tesla will make 1 billion human eye robots? Ever?

I grew up in Oak Park and I've been in the home and studio several times. It's a remarkably homey home, in contrast with Wright's reputation for art over practicality. It's also what you'd expect from a tech nerd's work at home home: it has a whole house audio system in the form of a player piano built into a central stairway.

Everybody wants a platform but nobody wants to spend what it takes to make a platform. That includes things like Windows Phone, Fire Phone, all the glasses, Humane, etc.

As much as everybody hates on OpenAI for chaotic management, they did buy Jony Ive and are presumably giving him everything he wants to build a platform for them. Even though it probably only buys them a 20% chance of success, they haven't doomed the project by underestimating what it takes budget-wise.

And they blew it. Maybe they blew it by not realizing that even long time Apple employees could get arrogant about security. Or maybe it was a loose ethical environment in general. Whatever is it the root or the problem, they set billions of dollars on fire maybe tens of billions, by being unnecessarily cute about Apple proprietary information when they could've been above reproach. They had the resources to hire all the right people with the right knowledge and probably already had them on board.

One of my first gigs as a consultant was to write a project management system for a company that didn't really need a custom project management system. The CEO pulled me aside and told me the only important feature of the project management system was that you couldn't assign the same priority to two features. I would be blamed for making such a crappy project management system, but that's what I was there for. Once I was done, I was told to make myself hard to schedule and expensive.

Over in the past three months I've posted two polls on HN asking if one or both of the OpenAI and SpaceX IPO's would fail, with the definition of failure being dropping below IPO price by the end of the year, or the IPO failing altogether. The votes were against both IPOs succeeding. Albeit with a small sample, the results indicated skepticism early on.

Anthropic could go either way. My guess is that if the financials aren't Enron scale flaming garbage, they'll be fine.