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PhaedrusV

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[ my public key: https://keybase.io/phaedrusv; my proof: https://keybase.io/phaedrusv/sigs/u1A7hCAeLV0OyUb4ExY0GNu4KKqrqYniDRejZr3ofLw ]

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www.faa.gov 1y ago

FAA: Integration of Powered Lift – Final Rule

PhaedrusV
3pts1
www.journals.uchicago.edu 1y ago

Drug trials are 50% more effective when sponsored by the manufacturer

PhaedrusV
5pts0
therightquestion.substack.com 3y ago

SocratesGPT: A ChatGPT Prompt Supporting Self-Examination

PhaedrusV
3pts0
www.epsilontheory.com 5y ago

Bitcoin (Tm) and the Eye of Sauron

PhaedrusV
2pts1
hwfo.substack.com 5y ago

Geographic evidence that gun deaths are cultural

PhaedrusV
4pts1
www.epsilontheory.com 5y ago

Portrait of a Very Serious Investor (ET)

PhaedrusV
1pts0
www.epsilontheory.com 5y ago

You Can't Handle the Lie

PhaedrusV
8pts1
medium.com 6y ago

A brief retrospective on my year since deleting Facebook

PhaedrusV
2pts0
www.schneier.com 6y ago

Bluetooth Standard Vulnerability: Bias

PhaedrusV
1pts0
www.forgottenbooks.com 6y ago

Forgotten Books – 1,271,515 restored old books

PhaedrusV
3pts1
news.ycombinator.com 6y ago

Ask HN: Any experience with non-ACA compliant health insurance?

PhaedrusV
1pts0
medium.com 6y ago

How few questions can I answer on the 2020 census?

PhaedrusV
2pts0
medium.com 6y ago

How to talk to your Boomer about Covid-19

PhaedrusV
3pts2
www.baltimoresun.com 6y ago

The CIA backdooring Crypto AG was news in 1995

PhaedrusV
4pts0
news.ycombinator.com 6y ago

Ask HN: What aviation services do drone companies need?

PhaedrusV
1pts0
io9.gizmodo.com 6y ago

How to rig a clinical trial (or: why most nutrition findings are bunk)

PhaedrusV
1pts0
www.politico.com 7y ago

U.S. Navy drafting new guidelines for reporting UFOs

PhaedrusV
155pts142
www.mercurynews.com 7y ago

Facebook whispers notification of Instagram password loss on Mueller day

PhaedrusV
2pts0
www.epsilontheory.com 7y ago

Are you solving the problem, or just admiring the problem?

PhaedrusV
3pts0
reason.com 7y ago

Unconstitutional provisions of Washington 'cyberstalking' law struck down

PhaedrusV
2pts0
[dead] 6 months ago

Minneapolis Is Not Even A Close Call --A Lawsplainer On Officer-Involved Shootings

The technology hasn't demonstrated the required level of reliability yet. Several companies are getting close, and and early attempts by the companies listed in this thread have paved the way for the FAA to start rolling out the process for scalable compliance. Up until very recently it's all been "approval by waiver/exception", which is very slow, while the FAA figures out along with everyone else what success looks like.

Currently there's approvals in limited areas in the US for testing, and several companies are approved for significant steps towards our shared dream of 5 minute burrito deliveries to our back patios. Nobody has gotten approved for blanket deliveries yet; the safety levels aren't quite there.

Plug: End State Solutions consults and supports companies in developing the conops, safety case, and approval packages. Reach out once your drone company has a design you're ready to freeze for the approval process and we'll help you out. Our team got Insitu and Matternet the first ever commercial UAS type certificates issued by the FAA.

My biggest gripe isn't teams-specific, it's that MS office products still won't support multiple logins. With Google I can be logged into my 4 different work, personal and business accounts simultaneously and switching between the active one is a single button click.

MS won't even support two accounts, so 3 out of 4 times I get invited to a teams meeting I'm in the wrong account, and it's a huge pain to sign out and sign back in; there's no single sign-in (even in Windows!) that works for Outlook, Onedrive, Teams, etc. all at once. Ridiculous.

Good point. >1 date a week, when it takes at least a few weeks to set up a quality date, means that you never establish a credible commitment.

What if you tried limiting yourself to 1 new person a month? You'll evaluate them more favorably, and be more selective, and get less burned out

As an alternative I suggest just listing out deal breakers and following up with anyone who doesn't violate them.

Second pass is incongruence. The best advice I every got on hiring was to not hire people whose projected persona wasn't congruent; what that means changes from person to person, but it ends up being critical for close relationships.

Excellent turn/reaction based squad tactical combat. Think OG XCOM: UFO defense, only 2+ players. Frozen synapse is about the 70% solution but only abstract and pretty repetitive. More players, more varied units and terrain, asymmetric fights for score, etc.

I get the argument from the fed about hedonic adjustments and increased quality of life, but that's not how people measure their happiness. Subjective happiness is how you're doing relative to those around you. The hedonic adjustments are all about objective quality of life. Sure, my resources in my working class midwest neighborhood would be the envy of Louis XVI's court, but that doesn't matter to me when my neighbor gets a new car.

I wonder how difficult it would be to build a "Subjective Inflation" measure that was useful. Based on category consumption by income quintile you can figure out rough price inflation experienced. With the understanding that happiness is mostly about keeping up with the Joneses you can just assume away the hedonic quality boost and call it "subjective inflation".

The point from the inflation link about not being to eat ipads is critical. Increased resources are definitely nice, but the happiness derived from them is zero-sum, and at the end of the day they're taking more of my income.

This, coupled with the stagnation of median wages, means that:

    We're not getting any happier as a cohort, and

    The things we consume cost a bigger chunk of our earnings every year
I buy the link's argument that we should expect price inflation. Interestingly, this analysis is done with mostly pre-COVID data. COVID has amplified all these trends leading to price-inflation, and narrowed our demand into fewer goods and services. That further amplifies the inflationary forces that were already gearing up to make the 20's crazy.

Buckle up. There's going to be a lot of people who feel like their quality of life is crashing.

Inflation Truthers 6 years ago

This was a point I made when the pandemic shortages kicked off. The entire world's purchasing habits shifted towards guns, food, prepping gear, and TP. The prices of those items skyrocketed (when they could be found). I predicted at the time that, even though everyone was experiencing massive price inflation in the stuff we were actually buying, largely due to increased demand, it was not going to show up in the numbers because of the way inflation is calculated.

Put another way, if I'm in the market for housing, healthcare, groceries and gardening supplies, and the prices of all those things around skyrocketing, then it doesn't matter much to me if the price of cars is down 20% since the crisis began. The inflation measures, however, don't account for the shifts in purchasing demand, which should weight the measure heavily.

Inflation Truthers 6 years ago

I can't imagine that would go any better. I think I'll just pass on reading the author's thoughts.

Inflation Truthers 6 years ago

Also, all those changes were wrought by government fiat, and have been accomplished almost completely by reducing the weight of the cars, not by quality improvements as the article implies.