NationalPark

This made me wonder, are there any public examples of codebases written entirely (or almost entirely, with human curated parts noted) by GPT-4?

Can you hedge against it with interest rate swaps? It seems interest rate risk is probably one of the more manageable risks of a small business that is fundamentally dependent on other people's money - how do you know it's going to succeed in the first place even if rates don't increase?

The problem is for every good article on the tech, there are dozens and dozens of submissions from crypto-grifter-turned-AI-expert or yet another "platform play" instead of something actually practical. Let's see more of the gold and fewer of the shovels, please.

Here's a good one you can add: https://www.wired.com/2010/01/ancient-seafarers/

Somebody got on a boat and ended up in Crete 100k years ago!

(Also you forgot the ice age, heh)

Do share!

LLMs not existing isn't the reason we don't have UBI or free healthcare, or stipends to pursue passions. I think most people are understandably concerned that the benefits of these new tools will primarily accrue to the tiny elite who can afford to control the compute resources and therefor mediate access to the models.

If LLM replaces a bunch of $DAYJOB you won't have people learning violin, you'll have widespread unemployment and the civil unrest that accompanies it.

Can we predict weather that well? The 10 day forecasts my phone gives are mostly ok, not great, and often change at the last minute.

Weird, does he say what the item was anywhere? I wonder if there are some things that are technically allowed but trigger fraud flags when newly created accounts buy them with certain payment providers. Either way, terrible customer service...

I think it's more of a sovereign citizen "hail Mary" type move to get her out of jail. Even in states that don't have a constitutional notion of "fetal personhood", a pregnant inmate is still entitled to adequate prenatal care, and that's the relief they should be seeking, not habeas corpus for the unborn child.

Well, there's an example of their roadmap changing in the last 20 years. Warzone came out in 2019.

Godaddy is a crappy company for many reasons, but this seems like something that's trivially testable. If they were really front running domains, anyone could spend an hour typing domains in and see a bunch of them mysteriously registered by godaddy the next day. Has nobody done that? Why can't I find any blogs where this was attempted?

https://mcrumps.substack.com/p/my-own-dimes-square-fascist-h...

Many of the suggestions so far are assuming you have taken undergraduate linear algebra and calculus. I'd start with those two subjects, you really can't build a foundational understanding of modern AI techniques without them.

Those generative AI companies aren't exactly lean on energy usage either. It's about capturing the IRA money, which to their credit they are very up front about. Maybe something good will come out of it, after all, that's the point of the government spending! If they save the world purely out of self interest then we still get the saved world...

Children can't enter into contracts either, we actually do not give them many of the same rights we give adults. This is because children are considered immature and unable to act in their own self interest. There have been "childrens rights" movements in the past though, it's not an uncontested subject...

I think there's actually some risk of too much time at Elon twitter making your resume toxic. It's no secret what kind of environment he's fostering there, and many companies simply don't want to hire the type of person who thrives in that situation, regardless of how technically skilled they are.

Out of curiosity, what's the largest scale distributed system you've ever been on-call for?

The VCs all seem really giddy about the situation. I think it's because the labor power tech workers represents terrifies them. They know that technology can be built without venture capital just slowly and perhaps in different directions, but venture capital alone needs tech workers to realize its visions. These guys can't get rich without the consent of the "laptop class" they talk about so spitefully. Finally they get to watch a bunch of those people suffer for no reason. PG is just enjoying the cruelty here.

The difference, of course, is that Amazon's market cap has actual assets and cash flows behind it. The liquidation value of all of crypto on the other hand is approximately $0.

https://www.reuters.com/markets/deals/saudis-kingdom-holding...

Here, official Saudi statement that they are maintaining their $2bn stake in the company because it is in the long term interests of the Kingdom. So, maybe just business partners, not finance partners, although that's $2bn of cash that Musk won't have to pay out. Anyway, the substance of the point remains intact - there are many plausible reasons the current owners of twitter could want to continue operating it that are not in the classic corporate raiding plan.

Taking a company private via LBO, firing a quarter of the staff so you can afford the debt payments, and then streamlining and flipping the profitable parts of the business is the classic corporate raid playbook. So far he's done the LBO part, and is apparently doing the layoff part. Of course, he's the richest person in the world and his finance partners are well connected Saudis, so there are obviously many plausible reasons to operate it at a loss and never do the actual looting part of the corporate raid.

It's Shellenberger so you can safely assume most of the blog is ranting about how the woke leftist cultural marxism blah blah blah. Red meat posting for people with the same priors, nothing of substance worth analyzing for certain.

The NLRB found that the dress code was a de facto ban on pro union shirts. The way the law is written (and decided), the dress code change is assumed to be an illegal de facto ban on pro-union shirts unless Tesla presents evidence that it was necessary for other reasons, which they were given an opportunity to do but failed to satisfy the majority-Democrat NLRB. I guess you only get so many characters in a headline.

Can you link some sources here? Call me skeptical, but if the evidence is as convincing as you make it sound, then it implies a pretty widespread conspiracy among experts (of many countries and affiliations) who would understand the implications yet are deliberately mis-communicating via their podcasts, news appearances, papers in famous journals, etc. Are there any papers published on this or is it just in the book that the authors of this article are selling? I'm not sure if I'm confusing this author with a Matt Ridley who seems to be an eccentric but minor British noble who writes about fringe climate change ideas?

Edit: Ok I figured out the source of the claims, it's the Alina Chen (I didn't realize she was co author) stuff. And it is indeed the Viscount Matt Ridley himself!

You might want to delete these tweets and respond later when you're less hot under the collar, it comes across as pretty dismissive and juvenile.

The original point I was making, "republicans are a minority", is true, and the data shows that. This isn't a tribalism thing, it's a question of data analysis. Also, I take umbrage at your patronizing tone. Personally attacking me does not change the data.

I think your summary is obscuring some of the nuance in that data. What it shows is that independent voters self-identify as "lean rep"/"lean dem" based on their approval of the current president, which is low right now. Historically though, self-identified independents lean dem more than they lean rep (data in your link). Consider that the last time a Republican presidential candidate won the popular vote was in 2004, and before that was in 1988. It's well known that conservatives tend to vote Republican, and also tend to have much higher voter participation rates than progressives, so if your belief is that there are more Republicans and Democrats, you would expect to see more popular vote wins in elections with generally high participation (relative to other American elections - obviously American voter participation is dismal overall). So what accounts for that discrepancy?

If you're willing to dismiss polling out of hand for selection bias reasons, then why would you put any more weight onto intuitive arguments that rely on an even smaller and less systematic sampling?

We have some relatively recent public polling data on this phenomenon: https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2021/08/20/republicans...

For what it's worth, the decline of trust in institutions is primarily among "Republican/lean Republican" respondents, who are a minority of American voters and likely a minority of American non-voters as well.

Well yeah, of course you would be concerned if that stopped happening, even more so if it means the CEO is suddenly compelled sell a bunch of his stock at a discount to avoid violating his debt covenants. You don’t get any upside from the twitter deal, so unless you think Musk will use Twitter to boost Tesla’s price (suppressing bad news?), it seems like all downside for current Tesla owners.