Azsy

We are well past sanction stories and moved into national security by banning export: https://tradingeconomics.com/china/exports-of-fertilizers

The only real solution i see is to stop feeding the animals with stuff humans could eat and make a point of global solidarity. I say this as a avid meat eater, but I'm not holding my breath.

Wheat is not the only problem, fertilizer prices are also disrupted and it might get worse.

Next to the deaths in Ukraine, we might thank Putin for 100 million plus deaths by famine within the 3 years.

How is this non-sense the top comment? I can't believe we get this level of ignorance on HN.

(1) the ruling power will eventually control all communication and remove any free speech.

You think people can trade child porn online because we allow them too? Anyone building a illegal operation ( i.e. a resistance ) knows that you can make anything carry information. Even IF they find what you are using to transmit it, that doesn't mean they can read whats in it.

(2) they will constantly find and kill leaders through electronic means which are now amazingly effective.

You are overestimating the Russian tech by a mile. And you are overestimating the ability to automate this process by another mile.

The Russians will eventually torture people for information on others. That is exactly how it happens in the past.

A guerilla will be spectacularly effective, even today. But it will be extremely bloody if the Russians decide that is okay.

Well consider me expanded. But id argue my first reason isn't that far off from his take on Putin's goal.

Its a little strange whenever i find media from before the invasion talking about Putins position.

I would simply start with: "You have to be more specific" and go from there.

And as a warning to your approach: don't take on the job to make dysfunctional people function for free. Either communicate that you are taking on a burden, or escalate to those whose job it is.

I would counter that some of the best software was built to simply fix a problem the dev had.

Although you could argue the market had at least one interested party.

Just to lay out the Russian side.

There are two primary reasons we think the Russians did it.

Putin has gone full conspiracy theorist, nostalgic, delusions of grandeur, fear of dying. He has locked himself away with alternative history since the start of covid. If Russia wants to defend its borders, capturing Ukraine decrease the length of the borders significantly. In a 100 years who knows? NATO might try to expand.

Personally, i don't see how anybody under the age of 60 can be persuaded with this logic. But it does explain part of the failure so far. Putin beliefs it had to be far easier and cheaper than it turned out so far.

I think the economic reason to do it is far more plausible. Ukraine as a sovereign nation is an existential threat to Gas/Oil Russia. Since 2012 it has become clear that they hold enough gas and shale oil that it would break Russia's monopoly to the EU. That's could half their state budget, in a time the social security for the baby boom needs to be paid out.

I personally think they could have figured it out, but Putin is obsessed with gas and oil. To him they are the foundation of a Great Russia.

What Russian elites? Nobody in Russia holds enough power over Putin to change his mind. Since the start of COVID he has closed himself off and basically only talks to a club of ideologues who read and write alternative history.

The US is more than capable of winning both and the Chinese know it.

In contrast to the Russians, the Chinese are completely dependent on international trade to keep people fed and the lights on.

Its a rather simple situation, they would never publish this if true, and wouldn't publish this if false. Period. Nothing to "ask for sources about". Simply choose which you belief or don't make a choice.

But please don't suggest lack of Chinese sources is a relevant data point.

There is certainly a factor of ego at play, but the more obvious reason is that Russia will fail both economically and strategically if Ukraine integrates with Europe, and the demography of Russia won't allow them to fight a human war within the decade.

You're right that the hopeful propaganda is giving a distorted view of the dire situation. Combined with the fact that the Russians don't carry their phones to show their victories.

Apparently RT expected to announce the capture of Kyiv on the morning of the 26's. Every moment Kyiv holds is an indication by what scale Putin's party has miscalculated.

Ukraine has a significant potential for gas and shale fields. One of the reasons the EU has been getting friendly with Ukraine. Putin knows his way of life, and the Russian budget to consider doing something like this, is gone when those become active.

The thing that's a little crass to say right now, is that: Russia imploding to focus internally, Putin gone, Ukraine integrating further into the EU, is like a full bingo card of items that was strictly in the 'keep dreaming' section 3 months ago.

Now it is the best outcome for the EU. Still unlikely, but not categorically impossible.

Germany was told to be supporting of pacifism by the Americans after WW2. But with the Americans signaling that they are no longer willing to play world police, a shift in that attitude is a matter of time.

That is, it works as long as you don't have to face any real evil.

Also, lets not conflate national interests with good and evil. That's the propaganda talking.

I'm not satisfied at all with Europe response so far, but i might be missing something here.

can I rely on these people who threw out every treaty for a want of sleeping without a blanket?

Why isn't the US sending troops? Because the risk of escalation and nukes are unacceptable. In case you forgot, Europe also has nuclear powers and the risk of escalation is higher if the EU as an organization openly acts on more then soft power.

And as far as i know, only the US and the UK are ignoring a treaty to offer security to Ukraine.

Again, I'm not satisfied with the response so far, but what exactly are you suggesting so that EU bureaucrats don't lose their credibility?

The point is somewhat undermined by,

A: using artificial intelligence when statistics would have been enough ( or a failure to explain what part made it AI )

B: Using Chinese tiktok as the title.

On a side note, Telegram is the nexus of raw information. For every video going viral on other sites, the other 99 stay on telegram and aren't very interesting for an outsider. Its going to be Russia's downfall if it doesn't have a way to control it.

The risk of NATO intervening by art 5 are zero.

Putin is delusional about history and his place in it.

But he's not about to literally destroy everything he owns and then some by triggering art 5.

but everyone would think "Oh it's Facebook they'll get back in the game soon, better buy now"

Not everybody. I've been in the "Facebook is overvalued" camp for many years.

It has never been a forgone conclusion that Facebook is an institution that would be relevant for decades. Something its share price would suggest.

Its core product (high value & high volume groups to advertise too) can largely disappear within a year, and the only semi-effective coping mechanism it has displayed is buying new brands.

I'm extremely curious what you think her job is and what her job actually is. I don't know either one. But I must be waaaaaay of base if 2m+ is a reasonable salary for the workload and responsibility.

And if we want to get conspiratorial, If she thinks her main job is getting the most money out of the Google deal, then Google would be more than happy to pretend shes doing great in the negotiations and pay 5m extra.

The sooner Mozilla loses its dev culture and talent the more power Google has.

Of course its going to fail in consumer electronics.

For a majority of content, an 'unbreakable' DRM layer drastically decreases its value.

In our pandemic world i can simply say : The R value plummets.

Or in simple terms. Bob doesn't care if a show is mediocre, but he does care about what the other kids are watching.

But this shits going to dominate in the H(ardware)aaS b2b world.

As a counter argument ( and i'm not 100% sure it holds up ).

The cache failures was because the cache was to small. Whereas now we care about CPU OP data dependencies.

This is a rather shallow and naive way of looking at things.

Put bluntly, nukes don't matter, and armed forces are only used to suppress societal discontent. Ukraine sees the regressive authoritarianism Putin creates and didn't like how the pie is cut. Putin is throwing a temper tantrum because he's a dinosaur. He can only look back, and on his deathbed he will look back on a Russia that could and should have been much more.

There is a reason for his party to do all this, but its fear of facing their own failure birthed in greed and paranoia, and not any military strategy in the face of satellites, drones, and hyper-sonic nukes.

I think they just meant that in this context them is ambiguous, meaning they are forced to clarify in this case. A regression in API. One that would be nice to see fixed in the next release.

The Pareto distribution applies to software development.

And aggravated in my experience because:

- Its really hard to work with multiple people on the same project ( and when you do: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Conway%27s_law )

- People Managers usually think they are buying bus-factor insurance and throughput for each additional developer. Additionally they want more devs to indicate they are an important team.

So this all conspires to you being in the 80% doing the remaining 20% of the work without getting payed less or being called out.

I don't think the comparison holds well enough. The vast majority is in it in the hopes to get richer.

its closer to tulip mania with a 'distributed' MLM pyramid scheme twist.

Async await at the language level isn't a scam. Its an attempt to build an alternative to statemachines( large switch statements) and nested callbacks.

It just so happened that we were trying to break 100k connections on a single machine at the same time, which requires you to avoid thread switching. Something which an async executor is also doing.

Those two goals got combined into to "the great next thing that's better in every way" when in reality, 99% will never hit that bottleneck, and the people who write good async code could write it in either of the two other forms as well.

I was nodding along with the first paragraph. But then,

The greatest threat to Emacs, [..] is a paradigm change in how software gets built or run

Is a little to far into scify land.

First it requires software to no longer be text based, and then it requires virtually all software to switch to this non-text based solution.

In that world a single user can keep Emacs up to date and compatible by asking our AI overlords to do it.

You're missing a lot of background on how these markets work. And i'm not remotely qualified to explain them.

But, very broadly and simplistically speaking.

We are not even remotely close to living in a "We have too much power" world. ( Markets will change drastically then.)

All the nuclear supply has already been sold and is being constantly used 100% of the time. It never makes sense to turn off the nuclear power plant.

There is more demand then that, not meeting the demand is catastrophic.

If a popular sports is on TV and halftime everybody boils water, or the wind is unexpectedly low, or some part of the grid is having trouble.

We must still meet the demand.

Turning on a gas plant is the cheapest solution we have at the moment.

$20/mo would have got you enough to get started.

What? Have you forgotten what your first time was like?

There is a huge difference between thinking:

"I build my first shitty website, if i leave my PC on everybody in the world can use it. Who knows what will happen?"

And instead being required to go:

"I'll spend 20$ a month to maybe entertain a couple of people for a couple of minutes by using someone else's hardware"

The RoE analysis is decent, but it wouldn't be HN if every now and then someone really wants to sell the idea that your average business owner and your average S&P 500 business are all in this together with taxes as their enemy.

Taxes don't apply equally. Taxes are a good thing. Taxes can work.