Cleaning Radar Images using Neural Nets and Computer Vision

http://blog.forecast.io/cleaning-radar-images-using-neural-nets-computer-vision/

by jparise • 13 years ago

94 20 13 years ago

blog.forecast.io

Maxious• 13 years ago

See also Making Clouds Go Away on MapBox Satellite http://mapbox.com/blog/improving-mapbox-satellite-by-making-... https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=5475571

thegrossman6• 13 years ago

Seeing this on HN, I realize I didn't go into a lot of technical detail in the blog post (we still aren't quite sure who our audience is with the Forecast blog). So if anyone has any specific questions, ask away.

MBCook• 13 years ago

I thought it was great.

Could you comment on why all the radar noise in the sample image seems to be almost perfectly confined to the eastern half of the US? Is that just an artifact of the time of day (perhaps the sun was setting the in middle of the US at the time)?

I'd love to know more about the neural network too, but I have no experience with them so I'm not even sure what to ask.

thegrossman6• 13 years ago

Exactly. Those enormous Bagel Blobs tend to occur after the sun goes down (and only in the warmer months. Two months ago, they weren't there).

The image was generated around 10:30 PM EST, so they hadn't had time to propagate further west.

Regarding neural nets, I have to admit that I didn't have much experience with them either before working on Dark Sky. They do, however, seem to be a little more forgiving than other kinds of classifiers (Support Vector Machines, and the like).

Check out the examples for the FANN C library: http://leenissen.dk/fann/wp/

Or in ruby: https://github.com/tangledpath/ruby-fann

geofffox• 13 years ago

The color scale is reduced, but that seems to be ground clutter caused by a temperature inversion. It forms after dark and usually breaks up after a few hours of daylight.

I am a meteorologist and have used radar for nearly thirty years. I have yet to see a foolproof system -- and I've looked for them.

Game_Ender• 13 years ago

Did you try any other ML algorithms on your data before using neural nets? I know neural nets are getting trendy again but a simple SVM or a linear classifier can provide very good performance.

thegrossman6• 13 years ago

We did, but they didn't work quite as well. But that could absolutely be my lack of experience with how best to normalize and format the input vectors.

In the end, NNs seemed less "fussy", if that makes any sense.

m_mueller• 13 years ago

Hey there. I've done a GPGPU implementation of a physical weather prediction model[1]. I'm interested in how you get your weather data. Do you use WSM for modeling? Also, have you considered licensing out Dark Sky for data assimilation purposes to weather agencies? What I hear from the weather researchers this is one of the hardest aspects of this field. I think that once you have a product that's able to integrate an automated feedback loop into existing weather models for all kinds of weather data, you've basically won the weather game.

[1]https://github.com/muellermichel/Hybrid-Fortran

saidajigumi• 13 years ago

Regarding data, have you looked at the API[1] they provide, also used to power Forecast.io and Dark Sky?

[1] https://developer.forecast.io/

josephhardin5• 13 years ago

This is neat, though there are far better methods for doing this type of thing. Now that the Nexrads are dual-pol, you can look at the correlation between the horizontal and the vertical polarizations to filter out the vast majority of the noise.

The noise you are filtering out is primarily insect returns. If you watch it, it will get worse at some times of the day rather than others. If inversions happen, you'll also see some beam bending that can cause you to pick up powerlines/roads, etc. You can verify it is mostly bugs by looking at the differential reflectivity. The differential reflectivity(difference of horizontal and vertical returned powers) will be somewhat random for ground clutter, and higher values for bugs.

With this approach, without knowing exactly how you do it, I'd be worried that it would have the tendency to filter out initial formations of stratiform clouds, and just leave convective formations. I can point you to some theory on how a lot of the filtering is done for research in atmos if you'd like, feel free to message me(I'm working on my Ph.D. in weather radar).

josephhardin5• 13 years ago

Also I didn't see it mentioned, but are you pulling in level 2 or level 3 data?

thegrossman6• 13 years ago

Dual pol wasn't deployed when we first started Dark Sky. Now that it's becoming available, it's definitely going to make our job a lot easier!

Not knowing much about it, though, it'll take some time for us to become comfortable with the data.

josephhardin5• 13 years ago

Well it's very impressive that you got that performance without using any dual-pol parameters. Abstract submission for the AMS radar conference is next week, and I'm sure they'd be interested in this. http://www.ametsoc.org/MEET/fainst/201336radar.html

graupel• 13 years ago

Meteorologist turned HN junkie here: this is really cool and I love the commenter suggesting using dual pol data to do the heavy lifting for you.

My question about your radar data is this; it's beautiful but I absolutely hate the color palette you are using, from a weather perspective - why not just stick with the 'standard' green-to-red colors we all know and love? The purples are different, for sure - but really hard to make sense of!

thegrossman6• 13 years ago

The color palette of the images in the blog post was adjusted to highlight areas of precipitation at the expense of intensity discrimination. Dark Sky itself uses a wider range, but it's still a similar blue to purple to salmon to yellow color table.

The reason we went with that over the standard green-to-red color table is because I personally find the standard colors to be jarring and more confusing to the casual user because of the increased contrast between intensity bands (at least, it certainly was to me back when I was a casual weather app user!)

The tradeoff is that there isn't as fine an intensity discrimination at lower intensities. In theory I can see how that can be a problem, but I haven't noticed it in practice.

davidw• 13 years ago

Interesting... as part of a little site I threw together, I have a ton of radar data for the region of Italy where I live, and have always thought it'd be fun to do something with it:

http://www.meteo-veneto.net/

Cleaning Radar Images using Neural Nets and Computer Vision

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