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yaroslavvb

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I had similar experience, Claude made report of MRI for achilles tear, it measured the gap, but it was completely hallucinated. Achilles tendon is black on the MRI, it instead measured 13mm distance between two completely different things (looked white), the radiologist looked at and saw no gap at all

The difference is that for some assets you can calculate value based on fundamentals. IE, humans need shelter, hence estimate future value of shelter (real estate) based on migration trends and other factors. How do you estimate future value of bitcoin? Lack of predictability is probably why serious investment funds don't go into crypto

Realistic simulation of neurons is expensive. Back in my grad school days we ran Genesis and could afford at most 10k neurons - each neuron needs a lot of work to model the corresponding differential equations. However, it's unclear how to translate this into requirements for artificial neural networks -- the type of computation is too different.

A different metric is a more relevant goalpost -- number of synapses. If each of 125 trillion synapses in the brain can adjust its strength independently of others, it loosely corresponds to a parameter in a neural network. So if we get 100 trillion parameter networks training but still no human intelligence, we'll know conclusively that the bottleneck is something else. Currently training 1T parameter networks seem feasible

I was an engineer in Google Books in 2011 and got an impression that this effort turned out to be not as useful as expected. This took away energy from the legal fight. Having access to every printed book seemed amazing in principle, but it didn't translate to amazing demand for the service. My theory is that it didn't lower the barriers to knowledge much -- there's not that much useful information left in offline-only storage.

I've been using Mathematica since 1995 and Jupyter/colab for 5+ years. Most recently I've been using them both in parallel. While Jupyter is probably the future in terms of mass adoption, there are still some areas where Jupyter is lagging.

1. Mathematica has an easy way of sharing notebook. I just run "deploy" command which turns notebook into publicly accessible webpage, hosted by wolfram, here's an example -- https://www.wolframcloud.com/objects/user-eac9ee2d-7714-42da...

2. Mathematica has more active community. Mathematica-specific questions are likely to be answered within an hour by experts on https://mathematica.stackexchange.com/

3. Mathematica has better tools for simple interactivity. I like to throw in "Manipulate" for a simple graph with a draggable constant, or go to http://demonstrations.wolfram.com/index.php for an idea for more complicated demonstration to use in a presentation

4. Mathematica has more options for advanced visualization, and interfaces are more uniform since graph drawing, 3D drawing, and other kinds of visualizations are developed within a single system. Some examples https://www.wolfram.com/language/11/new-visualization-domain...