tsycho

That's....not true.

Maybe a few pros have been playing for 20+ years, but most of the top players (by championship wins) are young.

Hera, Lierrey, Vinchester, Lewis...are in their 20s. And even the previous #1 Viper isn't that old.

Is your argument:

- Only ship products when they are perfect against every possible edge condition?

or

- If Waymo fails in a few scenarios today after 20 years of effort, they can never succeed?

I keep seeing this over hiring argument everywhere. What's the evidence for that?

And weren't the layoffs of 2023-24 supposed to correct that?

In my experience, in every big tech company for the past two decades, almost everyone always complained that they were understaffed to meet their goals/okrs.

IMO, the real explanation is:

- Some unprofitable companies don't want to raise money in a high interest rate world, and are using AI as a partial excuse, partial ambition to do layoffs to cut costs. Eg: NET

- Other companies are investing heavily into data centers (eg: META) and need to cut costs elsewhere to offset that.

And in both cases, there's some real productivity gains that they have already seen due to AI that will offset, plus they expect to see more gains as the remaining people will work harder and be more motivated to increase their productivity for job security.

A lot of home computers are capable (with a large margin) to run a large amount of self-hosted services (eg: jellyfin, immich, minecraft, plex, karakeep, ... whatever people want to use).

And yet, less than 0.01% of the population (made up number, but I am more likely to be overestimating than underestimating) do so.

Running local models to do real work is likely to be another niche hobby.

...your shoe size

The funny thing is that a lot of Google's internal training content uses an imaginary product "gShoe", and discusses the privacy implications of data that such a shoe might collect :D

The parent poster is saying (and I agree) that Airpods and Airtags are only superior because Apple anti-competitively privileges their integration with iPhones. It's not that they are better at the hardware level by itself.

And since iPhones form the largest single company's device network in the rich countries, that is a pretty big advantage.

I would love 24 hour Waymo buses, running at a high frequency.

If taking a bus becomes easy, reliable and fast, more people will do it, and there will be less cars on the road.

I agree that this would be an awesome feature, and it would also significantly enhance iPads' value for me.

That said, having worked on account/identity systems at another FAANG, I think that the commenters saying that Apple is holding this back purely to sell more iPads are underestimating the complexity of this feature.

This is not a feature that you just bolt on to the top. It will require a significant ground up rewrite of iOS' fundamentals if you want to support account switching without a full shut down of the device (and even with that, there are complications with shared storage).

There are likely tons of singletons across the iOS codebase for the "current account", and switching between users will easily lead to bugs where the new account shares/accesses state from the previous account.....and these "violations" are much harder to detect via static analysis than you might naively imagine.

UPDATE: I wasn't aware that Apple already supported a bunch of this via MDM. My only point was that if they didn't already build this into the foundational layer of the OS, then this is a very difficult feature to add later. If they already have this, then I don't have any defense left for them.

Rediscovered this game a year ago, and am absolutely loving it.

The r/aoe2 community is also generally welcoming and helpful.

Do you have a link to a good one?

I presume the original videos of Feynman are lost, or never existed?

But setups get equally complicated, even with human software engineers. The approach that the OP is talking about applies only to experienced, good architect-level SWEs, and I suspect that the code quality and its problems are going to be the same whether they are directing LLMs vs a set of junior SWEs to write the code.

There is an inherent level of complexity in projects that solve some real world problem, due to all the code handling edge cases that were added incrementally over time.

> or raise 100% private by Google?

Isn't that what they are kinda doing? 13bn out of the 16bn is coming from Google itself.

I think the reason they are taking 3bn from outside high-profile investors is to validate the valuation, for legal or accounting reasons.

I do exactly the same as you. I wish that I didn't need windows for gaming, and things are getting better on that front, but my favorite game (AoE 2) works significantly better on windows than on wine :(

Evidence I can give in support of the article:

- very few teams have headcount, or expecting to grow - the number of interview requests get has dropped off a cliff.

So BigTech is definitely hiring less IMHO.

That said, I am not sure if it's only or even primarily due to replacement by AI. I think there's generally a lot of uncertainty about the future, and the AI investment bubble popping, and hence companies are being extra cautious about costs that repeat (employees) vs costs that can be stopped whenever they want (buying more GPUs).

And in parallel, they are hoping that "agents" will reduce some of the junior hiring need, but this hasn't happened at scale in practice, yet.

I would expect junior SWE hiring to slowly rebound, but likely stabilize at a slower pace than in the pre-layoff years.

Short the stock, go long the appropriate index.

eg: If you think NVDA is overvalued relative to the overall tech sector, you could short NVDA, go long QQQ.

And if you have a more opinionated trade in the same currency, eg: you think AAPL will be fine if the AI trade pops, you can do short NVDA, long AAPL.

Finally, an even more advanced version would be to go long on something else in the same sector, but which is less overvalued in your opinion. eg: Short ORCL, long NVDA.

I totally agree with your sentiment, but can't you still do that with Android?

IIUC, you can still load apps directly via adb. Is that not correct?

The only reason I use Windows is for playing some old games (primarily Age of Empires II: DE) that only work well on Windows. In the AoE2 case, I also need CaptureAge that only works on Windows.

The point is that even though I have 95% de-Microsoftized my life for the past 2 decades, I still need to run Windows for a few specific flows, and I run into the same issues as the article author here.

Any meals/coffee/drinks outside, streaming subscriptions, gaming purchases, shopping, groceries, child activities, home services, mobile, gas + ev charging, home utilities, occasional cleaners, charity, hotels/flights, ubers....and there are probably things that I am missing.

Feels like a lot of work to me to track everything. And it's impossible to ask my partner to do the same.

Next year will be even worse.

This was the first year of Trump's new term and most of the anti-immigration executive orders happened in the last few months. By August, most international students had already accepted offers, made travel and stay plans, and likely paid some part of their tuition already, and just continued due to sunk costs and hope that things will stabilize.

However, at this point, I think a lot more people will not even apply to US schools for next year.

On iPhones, you need to pay Apple $99/yr+taxes to do even personal development. Yes, technically they have a free tier, but it supports a max of 3 devices, which you can't change, ever. It's so painful that it might not as well exist.

Is Android doing the same? Do you have to pay them money to install your own, or open source apps?

[I have no personal involvement to this project, but I'll defend it anyway. And I am sure you knew what they meant, but still chose to write a pedantic comment]

If you use Gmail, Google Maps, YouTube etc, you already share a lot with Google; this spreadsheet is unlikely to make any different. If have managed to de-Google your life, good for you. Don't use this product either.

Other finance apps (I used to use mint.com before they shut down) require direct connections with your bank and investment accounts, generally via Plaid or Yodlee, and sometimes directly. This product avoids all that.

Now I personally don't think it's useful to me, since there are just too many expenses to keep track of, and doing it manually is too much work for me to even attempt. But privacy to Google would be pretty low on my list of concerns when using a spreadsheet.

So according to you: they should give up their paid seat so that you don't have to pay for assigned seats, even when you know way in advance that you are traveling with a 3 yr old?

Let's ignore special cases where you didn't have a chance to buy assigned seats, and focus on the vastly more common scenario where parents can easily pay to ensure seats of their choice.

Yes, it's nickel and diming by the airlines to make all seat assignments paid. And hating airlines is completely justified.

But I find the entitlement of parents, that other passengers should accommodate their parsimonious preferences, just amazing.

Interestingly, I feel the opposite for myself, as an experienced senior engineer.

I am doing more side projects, and finishing more projects, and feel a much greater level of confidence in starting new projects since I feel more confident that I will get at least an MVP working. These are not commercial efforts, I am just tinkering and scratching my own itches.

I attribute 3 reasons to this change:

- Vibe coding helps me do parts of the tech stack that I used to procrastinate on (UI, css)

- Gemini helps me solve all the inscrutable devops issues that used to block me in the past.

- A great open source tech stack that just works (Postgres, docker, node, ollama....)

AI helping me with the above has allowed me to focus on the "fun" parts of the side projects that I do. And the UIs also end up being much prettier than what I could create myself, which gives me the confidence to share my creations with friends and family.

Serious question: Why don't you pay for YouTube premium?

Isn't it hypocritical to want YouTube to offer you its content for free? If the content is valuable to you, you should be willing to pay for it. If not, just stop watching YouTube.

Because of disproportional risk.

Landlords generally can't suddenly increases rents. It happens only at the end of lease, and everyone knows when the lease is going to expire, and you have 1-2 months at a minimum to negotiate the lease renewal. If a landlord suddenly increases the rent by a lot (although most leases, or city laws, cap max rent increases), it will be disruptive to you. But your worst case scenario is to move to another market price rental in 1-2 months.

For a landlord, a tenant who stops paying rent, damages the place, etc is a much bigger financial and logistical risk. In most places, it's a lengthy, high-effort process to evict a bad tenant even when you have documented evidence. This is a very difficult scenario for a mom and pop homeowner, hence rules should be different for them at least, compared to large corporations.

And in your good (but overzealous) intent to protect the general majority of good tenants, you're not realizing that thenet result of the above is:

- Landlords are hesitant to rent their places or ADUs unless they really need the money, which reduces supply, thus increasing rents

- Landlords have to charge higher to account for the risk of a bad tenant, as well as for a complex eviction process, thus increasing rents

Rent control like laws benefit current renters, in their current properties, while harming both landlords and importantly for your pov, future renters, including current renters in their next rental. But since this cost is diffused to the future, it's easy to ignore and forget.

Anthropic has been on-and-off available on EquityZen. I personally find the valuation expensive, but you do have the opportunity to invest if you want.

I found Shogun the show to be relatively disappointing, after having read the book before. The book has a lot of nuanced explanations of people's motivations and philosophical/intelligent dialogue that the show just skips over, since they wanted to cover a huge tome in just one season.

This series deserved to be 2X longer to cover those imho.

Valid points. Is there a known solution to this, even if it's too expensive today?

Would it make sense for local electricity companies to go full solar with large battery backups? Or are batteries too expensive, or don't last long enough, for this to be feasible?

What about a wind+solar combination? Both of them are unlikely to go offline at the same time.

I see articles that the cost of wind and solar keep going down every year at a rapid rate, and the same for battery tech too. How far are we from where the costs are low enough for cities to have their own reliable grids composed of renewable energy?

I am less sure about the Figma acquisition[1] in particular, but overall, I strongly agree with the general point that blanket blocking nearly-all acquisitions by Big Tech (except Microsoft for some reason) is wrong and short-term populism.

More startups and more innovation gets created when founders have higher hopes of a positive exit, and in turn, this is good for the world at large.

When a startup becomes FCF positive quickly, and can sustain their growth, they generally don't want to get acquired (eg: Facebook, Snap...) and generally aim for an eventual public IPO. But this is a high bar, which only a small number of companies reach.

The ones that do choose to get acquired, often do so because they are not as optimistic about their own sustainable growth as outsiders might think. If they can't make a reasonable exit via an acquisition, then their equity becomes zero and their years are wasted.

From a founder point of view, acquisitions act as a significant floor of value for the time and effort that the founders and employees are risking. This negative Expected Value risk taking drives innovation and growth for all, significantly curtailing acquisitions makes it severely more negative EV. Worse, the impact of this will not be felt immediately so the new FTC will be able to claim political and populist wins; it will show up in reduced startup creation in the years to come.

[1] Figma feels like it has a reasonable chance of surviving on its own, and become genuinely disruptive to Adobe in the future. But if it dies and goes to zero, then I will feel sad and unhappy that the acquisition was blocked.

Does it support options, or only stocks?

How do you get current market prices for investments?