treis

This is also a datacenter. I imagine just about everyone living nearby knows its a datacenter. https://maps.app.goo.gl/wR4NgcWQVhJAy5Gy6

That's not much bigger than the two warehouses next to it.

Inference is profitable and demand can't be met. They might eventually overshoot the mark but it hasn't happened yet and doesn't appear to be on the horizon.

They aren't economical in the general sense. They are economical to provide frequency stabilization, grid efficiency, and maybe a few hours of demand shifting. They're not yet economical to store solar power during the day and discharge it at night. We are getting closer but I don't think we are quite yet there.

Not nearly big enough for data centers approaching 1 GW. Largest is 3 GWH which gets you 3ish hours.

Theoretically you can put as many batteries together but it'd be enormously expensive and run into the same supply chain issues.

Half the time you get 0 solar power.

Rude

Rude

I think you'd be better off getting 1% of a $40,000 card. Or maybe 10% of a $4,000 card is more realistic.

I think that's the problem at the moment. A much better LLM that doesn't use my battery is 20ms and <10mb of data away.

They won't have the years of chat history to customize the vacation.

ChatGPT is synonymous with non technical/work related LLMs. They're amassing a ton of user history. That history improves the product for the user because it has more context into the person. They can feed it back into model improvements and for advertising.

You can see a future where a user types in "plan a vacation for me" and ChatGPT coordinates everything from there. Those sorts of users aren't going to switch because model X is 10% cheaper or better.

I think this is off. LLMs are severely constrained by hardware and we've seen at least an order of magnitude improvement in flops since ChatGPT launched. Over the next couple of decades we are likely to see that level of improvement in memory capacity. There's likely at least a few step changes left.

Regardless, the point of the GP that we saw revolutionary changes in society within a few years of technology introduction is off. It took decades for the full impact of the pc, internet, or mobile to be seen. We're still in a very early phase of figuring out how to use LLMs.

Nothing contradicts AI psychosis psychosis by comparing a computer program to slavery

The first prototype of a cellphone was functional in the early 70s. Before that you had walkie talkies and farther back wireless communications.

We're just shy of 10 years since attention is all you need and just a few years past the first commercially viable LLMs. So in cellphones we are something like early 90s.

This isn't accurate. The first mobile phone came out in 1983. It took at least a decade before they started to become common.

You start by fixing the problem of people sleeping on benches and in tents. Then you go to those in cars, then those crashing on a couch, then those living 8 to a house, then families with small places, and so on. What the problem is keeps expanding until the resources allocated to it are spent.

It's not quite that black and white. You have fixed amount of policing resources and it goes to the most impactful crimes. If crime goes down then they start caring about petty stuff. If it goes back up then they stop.

This applies more directly to something like foster care. My state is going through a budget crisis and anecdatally the result is significantly fewer kids coming into and remaining in care. It moves at the margins so a borderline case that might have resulted in removal before now doesn't.

As you note it's unlikely that some problems can be completely solved. But our resource allocation is mostly fixed or varies based on circumstances beyond whatever problem is being solved.

Except for movie pass startups are marginally profitable on whatever they sell.

Ticketmaster sure but back in the day I could get tickets for a song on stubhub. That seems to be a relic of the past and the resale ticket marketplace is barely less than face value.

It's a bit of an interesting Chesterton's fence. For most of human history your job is whatever your dad's job was (with a large degree of hand waving). It makes sense because there's at least some genetic disposition there and you're likely willing to train your children for free. Instead we pay strangers massive amounts of money for make work training that is often only loosely related to productive skills.

Obviously a lot of reasons to do it this way. But you gotta think at some point not working for 4 years while paying ~2x median annual wage has gotta go the way of the dodo.

This is even worse for gas. Most months I pay more in sales tax on the fees than I do for the gas.

Of course that's not true.

Cameras do address that problem. We live in a country where people go to jail for life because two witnesses they swear they saw pookie shoot dee dee. Where cops beat the hell out of citizens and say they were resisting arrest.

That Pookie can show a video from a flock camera showing him somewhere else is a massive boost to his civil liberties. Same with whatever poor sap gets beat by the cops.

Everywhere people live is someone's neighborhood. So if everyone installs it in their neighborhood the cameras are everywhere.

Primary care doctors are performing heart surgery?

There aren't any practicing cardiology or nephrology which is the GP's point and my point.

I don't think that's really true. Big ones like medicine and law have very well developed programs. To the point where something like half of med school students attend class rarely or never. More esoteric and less explicitly goal oriented fields aren't going to have as developed options but I doubt there's any undergraduate degree that you couldn't fairly easily mimic with self study.

The difference is that software engineering more or less doesn't use a comp sci degree to gatekeep.

They didn't say license. They said certification which is issued by the relevant board. While theoretically a medical license gives you the right to perform heart surgery without the relevant certification no hospital will let you, no insurance company will cover you, and your license will be immediately revoked.

Are we talking about human teachers or LLMs here?

Ah interesting. We're still on the email/sms 2FA

At the risk of sounding really old can't you use your computer/laptop for that?