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thisisdave

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This article uses the word “conceptions” throughout, but it sounds like the only data is about births. These births would have all occurred after the recessions started.

Did the original paper rule out the hypothesis that the recession actually affected births via an increase in miscarriages and abortions instead? I can’t access it.

voting could reduce the likelihood of the draft being reinstated

... only in the unlikely event that my vote changes the outcome of an election, and the candidate I voted for would also be able to affect such a big legislative change.

Millenials as a group might be worse off if many traded away their right to vote, but that's not the same thing as saying that individuals benefit in a tangible way from that right.

As a non-lawyer, I'd expect to miss something important from the legislative text.

Your point about relying on other organizations is a good one, though. I generally take this approach, but I wasn't expecting anything to have been published yet on such a new bill. It looks like the ACLU, NAACP Legal Defense Fund, and SPLC all issued positive press releases, though.

Reforming bail sounds like a good idea. I don't know why anyone would trust Harris on the issue, though.

If she wanted to shrink jails when she was California's Attorney General, she could have respected court orders requiring prisoners to be released.

Likewise, she could have stopped "defending convictions obtained by local prosecutors who inserted a false confession into the transcript of a police interrogation, lied under oath and withheld crucial evidence from the defense."

https://www.nytimes.com/2016/05/29/magazine/kamala-harris-a-...

Several of the universal perturbation vectors in Figure 4 remind me a lot of Deep Dream's textures.

I wonder what it is about these high-saturation, stripy-spiraly bits that these networks are responding to.

Is it something inherent in natural images? In the training algorithm? In our image compression algorithms? Presumably, the networks would work better if they weren't so hypersensitive to these patterns, so finding a way to dial that down seems like it could be pretty fruitful.

Not a great example. Apple's graphics layer on OS X is very closely tied to PDF, and basically uses the Adobe Imaging Model that PDF is based on. It actually does include a PDF-based scripting language for drawing and updating shapes on the screen.

To some extent, this could be addressed with standard error detection/correction techniques (e.g. error-correcting codes). But that would make the strings longer and often wouldn't help until they made it to a computer anyway.

In both models, there's an unobserved state that changes over time according to relatively simple rules, and you get indirect information about that state every so often.

In Kalman filters, you assume the unobserved state is Gaussian-ish and it moves continuously according to linear-ish dynamics (depending on which flavor of Kalman filter is being used).

In HMMs, you assume the hidden state is one of a few classes, and the movement among these states uses a discrete Markov chain.

In my experience, the algorithms are often pretty different for these two cases, but the underlying idea is very similar.