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rogerkirkness

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Personal: https://rogerkirkness.com

Work: https://convictional.com

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Around 2002 there was way more internet bandwidth and infrastructure available than utilized, eventually (not immediately) leading to business models like Netflix current one. I do think a lot about what the AI analogy will be.

Our startup implemented four day work week without changing comp, and submitted various data as part of a recent Boston College study. Both wellbeing and output increased in statistically significant way with a team of only 15. Hard to avoid confounding with agents adoption, but overall highly recommend it.

It makes no sense to do broad layoffs during sweeping technical change that affects you, your customers and your competitors all at once. Makes way more sense to cling to your best people and re-train them in order to preserve your soul and institutional knowledge. I think deep layoffs + regret as opposed to re-training is actually uniquely American culturally and not a thing elsewhere.

Maybe I'm not smart enough to be a customer, but the testimonials is the most contemptful thing I've ever read.

If you're so smart, why can't you explain why this is useful with smaller words?

We're a startup working on aligning goals and decisions and agentic AI. We stopped experimenting with decision support agents, because when you get into multiple layers of agents and subagents, the subagents would do incredibly unethical, illegal or misguided things in service of the goal of the original agent. It would use the full force of reasoning ability it had to obscure this from the user.

In a sense, it was not possible to align the agent to a human goal, and therefore not possible to build a decision support agent we felt good about commercializing. The architecture we experimented with ended up being how Grok works, and the mixed feedback it gets (both the power of it and the remarkable secret immorality of it) I think are expected outcomes.

I think it will be really powerful once we figure out how to align AI to human goals in support of decisions, for people, businesses, governments, etc. but LLMs are far from being able to do this inherently and when you string them together in an agentic loop, even less so. There is a huge difference between 'Write this code for me and I can immediately review it' and 'Here is the outcome I want, help me realize this in the world'. The latter is not tractable with current technology architecture regardless of LLM reasoning power.

I think there's an argument where if Claude had the knowledge map of your personal one liners and a tool for using them, it would often do the right thing in those cases. But it's definitely not as able to compress all the entropy of 'what can go wrong' operations wise as it is when composing code yet.