HN user

robertwiblin

3,652 karma
Posts232
Comments101
View on HN
www.spencergreenberg.com 2y ago

Is every action secretly selfish? (2011)

robertwiblin
1pts0
blog.samaltman.com 3y ago

Sam Altman on the need for regulation of machine intelligence (2015)

robertwiblin
1pts0
marginalrevolution.com 3y ago

New pharmaceutical drugs are saving years of healthy life for under $3k each

robertwiblin
4pts0
80000hours.org 4y ago

Getting humanity to bounce back faster in a post-apocalyptic world

robertwiblin
250pts242
marketingreportoptout.visa.com 4y ago

Visa's marketing opt-out has been down for over a week. Is this a legal issue?

robertwiblin
529pts147
ourworldindata.org 4y ago

Oil Spills

robertwiblin
15pts0
thereader.mitpress.mit.edu 4y ago

Debunking the Myth of Small Business Job Creation (2019)

robertwiblin
3pts2
ourworldindata.org 4y ago

For the climate, focus on what foods you eat, not whether your food is local

robertwiblin
2pts1
www.sciencemag.org 4y ago

Fraudulent data raise questions about superstar honesty researcher

robertwiblin
1pts0
journals.sagepub.com 4y ago

The straw man effect: Partisan misrepresentation in natural language

robertwiblin
1pts0
www.theatlantic.com 4y ago

The Death Toll of Delay

robertwiblin
1pts0
conversationswithtyler.com 4y ago

Audrey Tang on the Technology of Democracy

robertwiblin
6pts0
mugwump.substack.com 4y ago

What would Saddam Hussein do?

robertwiblin
1pts0
ourworldindata.org 4y ago

Smallholders grow 33% of the world’s food, less than half what's often claimed

robertwiblin
4pts0
virginica.substack.com 4y ago

Vaccines for the Next Pandemic

robertwiblin
1pts0
nautil.us 4y ago

Perceptual Illusions (2018)

robertwiblin
150pts34
www.draliceevans.com 4y ago

Spain's feminist secret: the backlash against religious authoritarianism

robertwiblin
1pts0
www.fdd.org 4y ago

The Afghanistan War Is Over. We Lost. (2018)

robertwiblin
16pts2
www.cato-unbound.org 4y ago

The Conscience of a Human Being by Michael Huemer (2020)

robertwiblin
1pts0
fakenous.net 4y ago

One Cheer for Social Conformity

robertwiblin
2pts1
www.theatlantic.com 4y ago

US proof-of-vaccination cards are the wrong size to fit in wallets

robertwiblin
15pts8
scholars-stage.org 4y ago

Fighting Like Taliban

robertwiblin
215pts227
johnquiggin.com 4y ago

The Opportunity Cost of War (2015)

robertwiblin
1pts0
www.vox.com 4y ago

Can we save the planet by shrinking the economy?

robertwiblin
2pts0
www.cold-takes.com 4y ago

Does X cause Y? An in-depth evidence review

robertwiblin
1pts0
www.vox.com 4y ago

It’s hard to be a moral person. Technology is making it harder

robertwiblin
16pts2
www.worksinprogress.co 4y ago

The Daily Grind (Mexican women used to spend ~5 hours a day grinding masa flour)

robertwiblin
1pts0
www.thelancet.com 4y ago

Mortality risk attributable to high and low ambient temperature

robertwiblin
3pts0
mailchi.mp 4y ago

An End to Animal Cages in Europe?

robertwiblin
2pts0
80000hours.org 4y ago

Cal Newport on an industrial revolution for office work

robertwiblin
135pts59

A description of what you are supposed to be able to opt-out from on Visa cards is here:

"In some countries, Visa enhances card transaction data and uses it to generate anonymised and aggregated consumer spending and marketing reports and other data products that enable companies to improve their marketing efforts. These solutions help companies identify consumers that they can target."

https://www.visa.co.uk/legal/privacy-policy-opt-out.html

Hi Nostrademos — I was involved in this project. We asked a lot of questions and the answers to some others were quite a bit more controversial (we're going to release a new question each week or thereabouts).

But one thing we learned in the process was that seriously successful people doing their thing feel pretty gagged.

It's not worth it for them to write even things that seem uncontroversial to you or me, because someone out there might hate it, or misinterpret it, and start creating problems for them.

"I find this website absurd. Is it really just articles by random people which give high-level advice on how to have a career? ... This is garbage and just not redeemable."

Thanks for your feedback. If you look around you'll see it's almost all written by a handful of full-time staff - this piece from an anonymous contributor is almost unique.

Most articles we write at this point are less high-level than this one, though pages that focus on general advice which is applicable to a wide range of people naturally attract the most traffic.

This is a good article. I just wanted to take issue with this claim: "Twitter is a public company, funded by investor money; they thus owe a legal duty to make as much money for their investors as they can."

This is a common misconception. While public companies have some duties to shareholders they are not required to maximise profits as such: https://www.nytimes.com/roomfordebate/2015/04/16/what-are-co...

It's important to be aware of this so that corporations cannot use this excuse to get off the hook for otherwise immoral behaviour.

As some commenters point out, it's not clear whether that's a good or bad thing. But approval voting would broaden out the conversation by allowing more heterodox parties to attract a significant fraction of the vote, reflecting their actual support, rather than just an artificially low 0-3%.

"...there's actually a really good track record in the US for passing ballot initiatives on single winner voting methods, so we expect the likelihood of winning some to be pretty high.

The way that we look at it is instant runoff voting has been passed as a ballot initiative in a number of cities, but we see approval voting as producing better outcomes, and having better political dynamics compared to instant runoff voting. Approval voting is also so much easier, and it avoids a lot of the problems.

If instant runoff voting can win, then surely, a simpler voting method that produces good outcomes and has good dynamics should also be able to do it."

That paper disagrees with the established view, but helpfully lays out what the established view is. Scanning papers on the topic it seems like there's mixed results war to war, and it depends what other things you try to control for - I think you could get to saying it's neutral but not that there should be a strong presumption that a war will suicide.

"the argument of "increased social cohesion" against a foreign enemy is not applicable to a civil war"

You'd get increased social cohesion among each of the ethnic groups which is in conflict with the other.

In any case this focus on the Sri Lankan civil war specifically isn't that interesting - I posted a review article above which includes controls and studies a wide range of cases across different countries, and concludes pesticide control has large effects.

"Prevention of suicide with regulations aimed at restricting access to highly hazardous pesticides: a systematic review of the international evidence:

FINDINGS: We identified 27 studies undertaken in 16 countries-five low-income or middle-income countries (Bangladesh, Colombia, India, Jordan and Sri Lanka), and 11 high-income countries (Denmark, Finland, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Ireland, Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, UK, and USA). Assessments largely focused on national bans of specific pesticides (12 studies of bans in six countries-Jordan, Sri Lanka, Bangladesh, Greece [Crete], South Korea, and Taiwan) or sales restrictions (eight studies of restrictions in five countries- India, Denmark, Ireland, the UK and the USA). Only five studies used optimum analytical methods. National bans on commonly ingested pesticides in five of the six countries studied, including four studies using optimum analytical methods, were followed by reductions in pesticide suicides and, in three of these countries, falls in overall suicide mortality. Greece was the only country studied that did not show a decrease in pesticide suicide following a ban. There were no high-quality studies of restricting sales to people for occupational uses; four of the seven studies (in three of the five countries studied-India, Denmark, and the USA) showed sales restrictions were followed by decreases in pesticide suicides; one of the two studies investigating trends in overall suicide mortality reported a fall in deaths in Denmark, but there were also decreases in suicide deaths from other methods.

INTERPRETATION: National bans on highly hazardous pesticides, which are commonly ingested in acts of self-poisoning, seem to be effective in reducing pesticide-specific and overall suicide rates. Evidence is less consistent for sales restrictions. A worldwide ban on the use of highly hazardous pesticides is likely to prevent tens of thousands of deaths every year."

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/28807587

The standards sociological finding is that suicide is more likely to decline than rise during a war:

"Suicide rates are thought to fall during wartime. Durkheim [1] suggested this was due to increased social cohesion, while others have suggested that competing outcomes may be important, with individuals who might otherwise have died by suicide being more likely to die of other causes [2]. Neeleman [3] cites this as an example of contextual effect modification, with suicide risk modified by the likelihood of dying of other causes.

Examples of reductions in suicide rates in times of war have been described for several time periods and cultures [4-9]. Marshall [10] argued that the reduction in suicide rates reflected a reduction in unemployment, a recognised risk factor for suicide [11], rather than a direct effect of war, an argument offered some support by Lester and Yang [12]. Stack [13] suggested that the suicide rate decreased as the proportion of the population employed in military roles increased."

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC1526726/

"One of Galinsky's more surprising findings centered around a question she posed to both children and parents: "If you were granted one wish to change the way your mother's/your father's work affects your life, what would that wish be?" Some 56 percent of parents anticipated that their children would want more time with their parents and for their parents to spend less time at work, yet only 10 percent of the children actually wanted more time with their mothers and only 16 percent wanted more time with their fathers. A far larger proportion, 34 percent, wished that their mothers would be less stressed and less tired, and 28 percent wished this about their fathers."

http://econlog.econlib.org/archives/2008/05/listen_to_the_c....