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rishabhaiover

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This is a great guide. However, the economics just do not work in my favor at all. Even if I were to spend $2k, I get much more flexibility of model intelligence and choice from a provider for $20/month.

I don't think so. I think this is a common narrative in Hackernews when layoff news are shared. All the people I talk to in the industry positively confirm a boost in productivity. Its contribution to actual revenue could lag but it is present and confirmed by many.

A recent one is the RCA of a hang during PostgreSQL installation because of an unimplemented syscall (I work at a lab that deals with secure OS and sandboxes). If the search of the RCA was left to me, I would have spent 2-3 weeks sifting through the shared memory implementation within PostgeSQL but it only took me a night with the help of Opus 4.5.

To me, that's intelligence and a measurable direct benefit of the tool.

just a random token generator based on token frequency distributions with no real thought process

I'm not smart enough to reduce LLMs and the entire ai effort into such simple terms but I am smart enough to see the emergence of a new kind of intelligence even when it threatens the very foundations of the industry that I work for.

It has nothing to do with the context window. Reasoning brought measured approaches grounded with actual tool calls. All of that short-circuits into a quick fix approach that is unlike Opus-4.5 or 4.6. Sonnet-4.5 used to do that. My context window is always < 200K.

I would have not believed your argument 3 months ago but I strongly suspect Anthropic actively engages in model quality throttling due to their compute constraints. Their recent deal for multi GWs worth of data center might help them correct their approach.

Claude Code Down 4 months ago

The downtime forces me to relook at my utterly dependent relationship with agentic assistance. The inertia to begin engaging with my code is higher than it has ever been.