reillyse

But they also protect you from more low level lawlessness and if the law situation inside and outside the wall are the same (because of stronger states) they stop being worth maintaining.

Think in the US, the cops wouldn’t survive against a couple of machine guns and a drone strike, but they are still useful for security purposes.

I’ve found it to be excellent at troubleshooting- recently had a hardware incident and it diagnosed the problem and migrated my cluster to a new machine super fast. I just give the agent access to kubectl and I let it investigate bugs and it does an excellent job - I would say way better than it is at normal coding.

The reason this is accelerating recently is agents are really good at spinning up k8s clusters. They've made devops work super super simple. Basically all the annoying stuff you know you should do but it's way too much hassle - using let's encrypt to create unique certs for every app in your cluster to enable zero trust, configuring permissions and security profiles for everything etc etc (never mind just standing them up in the first place) - it's all simple now.

I think the original comment was before the market sneezes. So we all know it will sneeze and the companies want to get in on this business cycle. The longer they leave it the more likely they will miss it.

All rallies do come to an end. The fact that we all don't know exactly what will cause this one to end is exactly part of the problem and 100% doesn't mean it won't happen. Usually some external shock spooks the market and a massive sell off happens.

So what could happen, any number of things. An obvious near term issue might be inflation increases dramatically in the US (on account of the oil shock), causing interest rates to increase - maybe dramatically - , which causes the stock market to retract. Also, the housing market is pretty much toast at the moment and an increase in interest rates might finish it off too causing a contraction there. So many ways things can break.

But honestly, I'll tell you after it happens and it will happen. Having lived through a few of these now when everyone tells you it's a sure thing and prices go up for ever you get an inkling you are near the pop.

Why does it remind you of that case? The two seem quite different.

It's been established many times in this thread that the US is not just refusing to trade but 1) Forcing trading partners to also not trade 2) Physically boarding and seizing ships that are attempting to go to the island with cargos of oil. Yet you just keep repeating the stuff about it being just about not trading with the US.

also physically preventing ships from delivering fuel to the Island. It's all even more cynical and hypocritical when compared to the strait of Hormuz debacle, how can the US pretend that Iran must allow oil tankers unobstructed passage (international laws, ships at sea bla bla bla) when the US is deliberately preventing oil ships to travel to Cuba.

but what has changed right now in this particular situation, is the fact that they are blockaded since January.

so, interested how many people are running higher end AI models locally? Figure if I'm spending $800/month on tokens I can build a pretty beefy local machine for the cost of a few months spend - what is people's experience with say a $5k server custom built (and only for) running an AI model.

I can't reply to the other comment because it's been flagged, but I just wanted to point out that I do not think employees should be treated like cattle. I was being sarcastic. I was using the language of tech bros to satirize the situation.

I'm actually shocked that people could take my comment at face value and not realize it was obviously sarcastic. That is eye opening.

Ryanair have been regulated into compliance very effectively by the European authorities- everyone knows they are scumbags and make sure they don’t get away with nonsense.

Literally how regulators should work. They look at the outrageous things they try to do and make laws to prevent them. It’s worked very well and also hasn’t ended Ryanair (which is the usual anti regulation argument , that we can’t have cheap things with regulations).

I personally never fly Ryanair because I’ve had to sue them (and won) in the past, they really do suck.

In retrospect I should not have made this comment, I was frustrated and replied rudely.

I think that there are many points to address in your comment, not least the definition of "open" and "closed" societies. But anonymous and non-anonymous do not correspond with open and closed. We aren't talking about "people being jerks" we are talking about nation-state adversaries controlling democracies by sock puppeting and astroturfing and other nefarious means of control. These were not attack vectors before we had social media (or at least were much less potent - a letter to the editor from a. non.) but they have become serious ways to influence populations and control narratives. This is bad. This is an existential issue for modern western democracies exactly because they are open liberal societies. If we lived in autocracies it wouldn't matter because we wouldn't have any influence.

This is a pretty incoherent comment. You realize you mentioned “we” first so calling me out for using inclusive language doesn’t really make any sense. As for the rest of it, it’s all super basic half baked ideas that even to discuss we would have to spend 10x the amount of characters defining what nonsense you are talking about.

You must be a pre 5.0 model so.

How do we know that? Honest question. Anonymity is just not a feature of normal political or civil life in most countries. In fact it can often be contrary to civility. I don't see why removing Anonymity and preventing foreign meddling in ones country is a bad thing.

Excluding foreign influence is still a huge win.

Having external actors take control of your democracy is the nightmare scenario - which Ancient Greeks had first hand experience of.

But the us gov already knows everything you type online - Snowden told us that years ago - they have a direct pipe from all the major internet companies.

So this is just attempting to regain control of the internet for democracies that are not the US. It’s not going to fix Russia or the US but maybe it will fix Greece at negligible cost.

Yes but for Greeks it will have an impact and we can determine if it’s beneficial.

This will be very interesting to observe. Social media is a cesspool and getting worse by the minute. Even hacker news is being inundated with bots. On controversial topics tons of new accounts appear arguing divisively both sides of the argument.

It’s clear that nefarious regimes have won on social media.

It would be interesting to understand the ratio of real human posts to manipulation on twitter for example - I’d imagine it has long ago tipped to majority bot.

Tackling this problem is existential for western democracies. This seems like a reasonable idea. There might be other options (like validated but anonymous) but we have to try something.

It’s worth noting too that many strong western democracies have laws around hate speech and libel that are being broken by anonymous people online - and the citizens of those countries are perfectly happy with those laws.

But you can run most of the glue on your own dedicated instances.

I run k8s on a bunch of dedicated servers that are super cheap and I have all bells and whistles - just tell your coding agent to do it. You can literally design the thing you would never do yourself and it works brilliantly.

Postgres running on dedicated hardware replicated and with wal backups - easy just tell codebuff (my harness of choice) to do it. Then any number of firewalls, load balancers, bastion servers, etc. if you can imagine it , codebuff will implement it.

In the US if I want to see my primary care doctor I need to wait 2 months for the appointment.

I pay $500 per month for the privilege (and a $50 copay)

So I’m paying $1000 in the time period where I’m getting no service.

My car hits the api for my power company and knows how much charge it needs and plans out its charging schedule, always avoids peak.

But we really don’t have to “draw the line” anywhere, it’s not an issue. It’s a nothing burger. Any benefits such as they might be fall well within the standard deviation of females and so the argument that’s it’s unsafe or unfair doesn’t fly, nobody talks about excluding large or tall girls from girls sports. Besides, as they say in the article once the girls have gone through gender affirming therapy and their hormones have reached normal levels nearly all of the benefits have disappeared.

The problem for this argument is that there is no actual data that trans kids and specifically trans girls are any better at sport than other girls.

Literally no trans athletes winning anything. I think hacker news skews scientific so we can do the math, if say 1% of the athletes are trans we would expect them to win 1% of the medals in a fair contest. As it is, they don't even come anywhere close. There has not been a single olympic medal won by a trans athlete, so clearly they do not have some kind of magical advantage, in fact (and common sense would make this pretty obvious) they seem to have quite a statistical disadvantage.

Putin is very popular in Russia. As a Russian you have to be aware of that right? As for Prigozhin what happened to him? I didn't see a lot of mourning or protests when he got knocked off. Propaganda in the US likes to focus on the idea that politicians and leaders in other countries are not very popular and your comment doesn't really help that. The reality as you well know is that Putin has a strong base in Russia among Russians.

Instead of a cluster of grenades think many drones, the numbers start looking pretty bad when you have 100s of drones rather than a couple of missiles.

A terrible idea, you think the Russians are going to appreciate you killing their leader?

A better idea is to try to get Russia to join the EU and use an open market to exert control over the more extreme behaviors and tendencies in Russia. A lot of Russian behavior is based on paranoia (completely justifiable paranoia when you see the way the US is behaving) so perhaps having them in the European fold will chill them out a bit - obviously this is far fetched but it's at least a way to fix this long term.

I think you are failing to understand how (some) people think in the US. Expensive oil for some means that we should drill more oil wells. There is money sitting under the ground and we stick a pipe down and get it - AMAZING.

That is how people think about high oil prices.

If oil was to go to zero people would stop pumping it and burning it (for that to happen the alternatives have to be cheaper/better). That is what will fix climate change in the US.

Ok, so I guess the litmus test is asking someone born in 1814 did they think they were living in a place that was changing fast - and I think you'd find a very similar answer, thats my point. Industrial revolution - was a very very big deal and changed society permanently including the Cotswolds.