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rcar

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Agreed. These meetings can certainly end up being as cynically founded as the version posed in the post, but they're often also useful opportunities for execs to make sure that communication of the ultimate intent that led to the proposed work has made it through to the folks who will be tasked with doing the work. Understanding the business goal of the work makes it much easier to accurately weigh the inevitable tradeoffs that come up in projects without needing to run everything all the way back up the chain.

Allbirds S-1 IPO 5 years ago

Their balance sheet looks very healthy for a growing company with a strong gross margin and very sustainable net losses relative to the capital they've been able to raise. As long as they can maintain their brand position in the space, the multiple they last raised at doesn't seem absurd to me at least.

Allbirds S-1 IPO 5 years ago

From their S-1, 2020 revenue was $219m. From that, $106m was cost of revenue, $87m went out to SG&A, and $55m for marketing. Presumably if they wanted to hit pure profitability, they could take their foot off the gas on the admin expenses and marketing, but since they're still seeing good growth and seem to be having an easy enough time getting capital, they may as well keep spending on additional growth.

Sure, everyone wants to get to the latent factors that really drive the outcome of interest, but I've never seen a situation in which principal components _really_ represent latent factors unless you squint hard at them and want to believe. As for gaining insight and explaining user behavior, I'd much rather just fit a decent model and share some SHAP plots for understanding how your features relate to the target and to each other.

If you like PCA and find it works in your particular domains, all the more power to you. I just don't find it practically useful for fitting better models and am generally suspicious of the insights drawn from that and other unsupervised techniques, especially given how much of the meaning of the results gets imparted by the observer who often has a particular story they'd like to tell.

PCA is a cool technique mathematically, but in my many years of building models, I've never seen it result in a more accurate model. I could see it potentially being useful in situations where you're forced to use a linear/logistic model since you're going to have to do a lot of feature preprocessing, but tree ensembles, NNs, etc. are all able to tease out pretty complicated relationships among features on their own. Considering that PCA also complicates things from a model interpretability point of view, it feels to me like a method whose time has largely passed.

I believe that the real intention behind the statement is that not all users of their product are going to have 5 working fingers if they've had some sort of accident or similar.

Agreed with all points. I often find that these sorts of observational studies with weak methods that provide evidence for something the unblinded study participants would want to support (e.g., this study, observational studies of the effect of reduced workweek hours on productivity, many of the observational basic income studies) are really hard to evaluate fairly. It becomes easy to latch onto the conclusions when the intervention is one you're predisposed to believe in and to latch onto the methodological weaknesses when it's one you start of opposed towards, and so I feel like they don't really advance science forward at all.

Fine, but you could just as easily flip the arrow or come up with a common cause to come up with a plausible narrative. In areas with low economic growth, lawyers are a high status, high earning potential field, and so why not go into that field? Maybe areas with autocratic leadership see both more complex laws and lower economic growth, leading to a necessity for more lawyers overall.

Observational studies like this are not sufficient to answer these sorts of questions even if you can use them to come up with cute, cheeky headlines.

STL files are the 3D models that you put into your slicer of choice (which converts the project into the thin layers that the printer will gradually put down).

There's a dozen things to print in the zip. I sliced 3-4 of them, and none seemed particularly heavy. Something like $0.50 of filament each for what I pay for PLA, which would put the whole thing at ~$6 of material. Perhaps the cost is being driven by some sort of print-on-demand costs?

FWIW, you could also buy an Ender 3 for ~$200, and $140 buys a lot of filament, so you could get into the 3D printing hobby for less than the quoted cost.

Overpayment in credit card terms is typically when you pay more than the full balance, not more than the minimum payment. Getting a refund under the given circumstances (1500 on a 15k bill with a 150 min pay) might be possible from some lenders, but would almost certainly involve a lot of time on the phone with customer service reps.

Still, he literally said "do skilled work and spend your money wisely", the former implying that he focused on developing his skills, and the latter implying that he didn't live beyond his means. Hard to characterize either as some sort of undue "privilege".

That's helpful; thanks. I guess coming from much more of a software background, having the ability to write C code (which feels like an acceptable veneer over the hardware to me and works well across chips) and having programmatic access to the pins feels pretty empowering and all-encompassing. However, it does make sense to me that someone coming from a hardware-first view of the world would feel those barriers to direct hardware access much more acutely and recognize the limitations that I don't.

I appreciate the thoughtful and detailed response.

As someone who has done a fair bit of tinkering with stuff like Arduinos, NodeMCUs, ESP32s, etc. along with Pis and similar, what sort of itch does this scratch for people that those wouldn't? From looking at the Rosco version, it doesn't seem like it's a cost savings or anything, and the hardware is certainly much weaker than modern options.

Part of the difficulty SO faces is that there's sort of two similar but distinct problems that it's meant to solve, and as such there is no one "community". It's simultaneously a place to ask programming questions and get answers to them, and it's a repository of commonly asked programming questions with curated answers. The heavily engaged section of the community represented by your linked thread tends to focus on the latter goal, and the things they do to benefit the site for it (e.g., the aggressive closed-as-duplicate patrol) tend to be the things that makes it a hostile feeling place for the "long tail" community of new question askers and occasional answerers.

AWS Snowcone 6 years ago

On behalf of future searchers trying to avoid the "nvm I figured it out" problem, what was the answer?

Lemonade files S1 6 years ago

Founders often get the opportunity to cash out some of their stake in the company in mid and late VC rounds.

“We’re too old to play those games,” Mr. Zhu said. “It’s too difficult for us. We were just looking for basic income.”

While I feel bad for the outcome these people have found themselves in, who looks at any sort of derivative as a source of "basic income"? There are very well established investment vehicles for generating safe returns, so why would someone expect that something returning some huge multiple on top of that to be a safe bet? I don't think that the ideal solution to this is to restrict access to certain investments behind something like the "accredited investor" designation, but that situations like this occur and the fact that Mr. Zhu is suing his broker over it make me understand why that designation exists.

Very cool project! I'm curious about the relatively small registers though. 3 trits feels pretty limiting, and though there's the 6-trit word example, it feels like it would get pretty cumbersome on the software side pretty quickly vs. something like native 6- or 9-trit registers. Perhaps something relating to complexities on the hardware side?