qoez

With this being just "toy money" I predict it'll go as well in trying to copy the winners as threads did vs twitter.

I feel like most successful businesses have such a moat of required capital to compete with them that even tho in theory poor decisions like this is supposed to give opportunities for entreprenuers to hit when the big dogs make a wrong move, it doesn't end up happening.

I feel like types doesn't really make a difference in this context. Types are good for enforcing standards between in a multi human situation, but AI doesn't really make the same mistakes that warrants it.

Funny how it's less during weekends, as if by them working on it it gets worse and when they leave it alone it's solid.

We treat actual biological animals a lot worse in some cases so until we bump up the number of neurons significantly higher above what the lowest tier is below us I don't think we should stop the experiments.

As the CEO a much easier solution would be to just learn to delegate more and refuse more meetings.

Idk why this doesn't link to the original source instead of this proxy source: https://x.com/__tinygrad__/status/2039213719155310736

To me it just sounds like a bot comment which is against HN rules.

History doesn't have to repeat. There's barely anything else going on in terms of innovation, and AI is a real step function technology. We might be overspending but there's no way we're getting another AI winter like last time (remember last time investment in 90s AI had to compete for resources with the internet boom).

I agree the free money in like one month coded SaaS apps are in big trouble. But like there's no way I'm gonna have the vision to desire to play a game I made myself using AI for instance (just the fact that I prompted it into existence ruins some of the exploration of a game made by someone else). So at the low end of the extreme (easy to make SaaS apps with basic code and a db) AI is a thread, but at the other end of the extreme (requiring vision and where human attention is a bottleneck) there's definitely still tons of opportunity.

Makes me wonder how this would look/feel interactively if a game world was rendered like this

I'm not sure I buy the "everyone will be AI coding to replace things that cost money with their own apps" idea. I only have so much limited time in my day (and only so many tokens on my claude account per week). It's probably going to make more sense for me to buy a tool that's been given human attention over the span of weeks over something i prompt into existence in a few hours (especially if I need 10 such tools to accomplish something).

They totally are tho. And at the same time trying to win via the loophole if it doesn't close by launching their own efforts

It's probably stuff like this along with investor pressure that will make AI companies slowly make their AIs more profit maximizing (and the long term reason ilya etc was so against even going down that path)

Imagine how many 2001 era eggs he could have bought with that $101

Only 26 million is way way lower than I expected, especially given how much these companies make in profit

I'm actually a fan of his and on his side. But I also definitely do not believe these things are accurate enough to perform this kind of task yet.

"You're totally right, that was a hospital not a terrorist hideaway! My mistake!"

I think they just did that because of the energy around it for open source models. Their heart probably wasn't in it and the amount of people fine tuning given the prices were probably too low to continue putting in attention there.

There is none. It's just a way for coders to feel or be able to say they "work with AI" imo. Same with doing light wrapper coding to do agents stuff. The real AI work is on actual math and ML with the internet scale data, but only four big companies does that and this is the closest regular coders can get.

This is classic sama policy. With your words act with grace and counter to what observers will think you would. But in actions and behind the scenes take every step to undermine the competition.

It is most definitely against the rules of the sites and illegal, especially on kalshi

Never believe anything sam says

Makes me think that mass analysis of archive.org websites (on a much larger scale than 2000 sites) for color distribution from screenshots or other stuff like this is a cool project ripe for picking.

It took them two months, to develop chip for Llama 3.1 8B. In the AI world where one week is a year, it's super slow. But in a world of custom chips, this is supposed to be insanely fast.

LLama 3.1 is like 2 years at this point. Taking two months to convert a model that only updates every 2 years is very fast

Open router is highly subsidized. This might be cheaper in the long run once these companies shift to taking profits

I'm predicting some wave of articles why clawd is over and was overhyped all along in a few months and the position of not having delved into it in the first place will have been the superior use of your limited time alive

What surprises me is that this obvious inefficiency isn't competed out of the market. Ie this is clearly such a suboptimal use of time and yet lots of companies do it and don't get competed out by other ones that don't do this

OpenAI and google are too scared of music industry lawyers to tackle this. Internally they without a doubt have models that would crush these startups over night if they chose to release them.

Great read but damn those are some questionable curve fittings on some very scattered data points