HN user

pseut

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Gray Calhoun. I teach Economics and Econometrics at Iowa State. Contact info: http://gray.clhn.co/about

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blogs.reuters.com 12y ago

Janet Yellen’s first FOMC statement, annotated

pseut
1pts1
pseudotrue.com 12y ago

Literate-style argument checking in R

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1pts0
www.businessinsider.com 13y ago

How To Use Math To Crush Your Friends At Monopoly

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17pts0
www.nybooks.com 13y ago

The Crisis of Big Science

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2pts0
bostonreview.net 13y ago

Much ado about MOOCs

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1pts0
www.nytimes.com 13y ago

How Much Hospitals Charge Medicare

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3pts0
pseudotrue.com 13y ago

Stevenson & Wolfers have no opinion on Reinhart/Rogoff, think you shouldn’t

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1pts0
www.economist.com 13y ago

Intrade in trouble

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2pts0
www.economist.com 13y ago

Voice quality: Can can you you hear hear me me now now?

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2pts0
www.economist.com 13y ago

Google and the European Commission: A flavour of utility

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2pts0
www.economist.com 13y ago

Exchange rates: Inside the Bitcoin economy

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1pts0
www.accessecon.com 13y ago

Low acceptance rates, commercial publishing... scholarly communication [pdf]

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1pts1
www.economist.com 13y ago

E-commerce: Quickly does it

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2pts0
blogs.reuters.com 13y ago

The promise of ripple

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7pts0
pseudotrue.com 13y ago

A new punctuation to highlight sarcasm¡

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1pts0
www.economist.com 13y ago

Microblogs: Small beginnings

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1pts0
techcrunch.com 13y ago

Why Facebook Home Is Potentially Brilliant

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2pts0
blogs.reuters.com 13y ago

Paywalls rise

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2pts0
www.economist.com 13y ago

Utilities: Google's Google problem

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5pts0
gist.github.com 13y ago

Csv files with game-by-game outcomes for the college basketball season

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1pts1
coding.smashingmagazine.com 13y ago

Customizing Bootstrap

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1pts0
jeremyduns.blogspot.se 13y ago

Nate Thayer is a plagiarist

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7pts1
www.nngroup.com 13y ago

Microcontent: How to Write Headlines, Page Titles, and Subject Lines (1998)

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2pts0
sites.google.com 13y ago

Effective emacs (2006)

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3pts1
www.nngroup.com 13y ago

QA & UX

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1pts0
blogs.smithsonianmag.com 13y ago

The Unsettling Beauty of Lethal Viruses

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19pts7
twitter.com 13y ago

Visualization of Super Bowl score over time (individual tweet)

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1pts0
www.salon.com 13y ago

"Jobs": That’s the Steve I knew

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2pts0
www.econbrowser.com 13y ago

How to Induce Explosive Debt Dynamics

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1pts0
www.slate.com 13y ago

(photos, artistic nudity) The Computer Thief Who Made an Artist’s Work Better

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3pts0

The one weak point of the landing page is that it didn't indicate who was not affected. I read to the bottom of the announcement and had to think a while on whether I had to update my laptop because, hey, this seems like a serious bug. Granted, I'm nontechnical... but that's kind of the point.

Edit: not sure why this was downvoted, but if it contains an error please add a comment pointing it out. If you just think it should be lower on the page, no worries.

I love Vim's digraphs!

In emacs it's

    C-| tex
then
    \phi → φ
etc, which can be quite a bit more typing but can be easier to remember if you already know the TeX instructions for everything.

Now we just need to convince other editors to add something similar...

Twitter spam wave 12 years ago

Yeah, I was just thinking that. About 90% of what I see on twitter I would consider spam if it were sent by email. :)

I more or less agree with your specific points, but in the larger scheme of things I'm more concerned that these hypothetical people don't understand the stats than that the tool won't scale or is badly implemented.

That said, it sure is a bitch of a language to try to develop for (since the consensus seems to be: write everything in C) and cran is a ghetto.

Nearlyfreespeech's homepage is infinitely more attractive and professional looking than tarsnap's.

And, no, the redesign in the article looks exactly like someone grabbed a $20 theme and didn't bother to swap in the image.

Things tarsnap would need to be anything like dropbox:

* Mobile support

* Windows support

* A web interface

* Any way of using it other than CLI

TFA left all that stuff in place. "tarsnap the software" does not change at all.

Unless I skimmed over part of the post, tarsnap is still run by crontab on a unix/linux box. So, still pretty geeky. And the idea that "affordable encrypted backup" can't be understood by "a suit" is silly.

From the first few graphs I've seen in the links, the shading is discrete and not continuous (e.g. p 40). Discrete shading does address my first point, and it can help somewhat with communication too. Personally, I prefer simulating from the implicit model and plotting, say, 1000 hypothetical sample paths; but I agree that discrete shading can be effective too.

1. If I want a confidence interval, I want to know the end points of the confidence interval. Trying to guess them from a plot like this is annoying and not helpful.

2. This doesn't work for bar graphs, lengths, etc. The uncertainty is often going to be symmetric around the point estimate, but your opacity forces an asymmetric representation of the uncertainty.

3. Box plots are great. If you want more detail than that, a thin vertical histogram or density is going to convey much more information than shading.

A priori, sure. After the fact, if you have detailed enough data it can be pretty easy to identify the timing of certain events.

It doesn't mean that the reaction is correct or that it won't be undone in the future. But there's a huge difference between "day to day fluctuations are unpredictable" and "day to day fluctuations are inexplicable."

Yeah, that's actually why I think it's important to point out who made the insight. Every time I've heard the anecdote, it's been presented as some sort of clever observation that we should all be expected to produce.

But, really, it's a clever observation that was made by a historically great statistician. And the anecdote leaves out the fact that he had probably been thinking about this problem before --- he was working as part of the war effort. So it was probably harder than it looks.