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oa335

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Agree 100%. Costco exemplifies american dream... recent immigrants perusing well-stocked aisles, friendly employees, ample parking, cheap tasty hot dogs, etc.

it costs >1000% to run inference

do you have a source for this claim? i thought LLM providers earn high margins from inference (charged by token). is this no longer the case?

"Our most likely estimate is that replacement costs are approximately $91 billion. Military and strategic assets — nuclear facilities, missile and drone production infrastructure, air bases, naval vessels, and air defense systems — make up roughly half that total, at approximately $46 billion, which is equivalent to 4-6 years of Iran’s pre-war defense budget"

How exactly did they arrive at this estimate? I would like to see a building-by-building breakdown, or at least a methodology. Feels very vibe-researched tbh.

8 queries implies 8 tables, which is well under the limit for both Postgres and MySQL where the planner may give up and choose a suboptimal plan.

I'm not sure thats true for Postgres. optimal join ordering is np-hard, and finding an optimal join requires exhaustive search through n! combinations (n=number of joins) - thats why postgres generally uses heuristics to figure out join order. 8 is also the default value of "join_collapse_limit" setting in postgres, so it can't ever reliably optimize over 8 joins at a time. Additionally, postgres starts using "genetic algorithms" aka testing random combinations of joins with 12 joins by default (geqo_threshold setting).

I generally agree its better to use database to its fullest, but I would say 8 joins is probably the "limit". Internally at work I've advised teams to try to avoid anything more than 6 joins for "hot-path" queries.

Those numbers also show why the “wealth transfer from India” is mostly fake. India and China were both at a subsistence level. There was no meaningful wealth to transfer.

Can you expand? What was the EIC doing in India?

Not an Elon fan, but markets dictate the value, not analyst reports or "fundamentals". The stock is simply worth whatever people will pay for it. The fact that people are paying an implied valuation of 2T for it currently is a strong signal IMO.

People really need to read their history.

agreed.

but i bet i can make a bunch of confounding factors appear.

from 1800 to 1870 gdp per capita growth rate was about 1.1 percent.

from 1870 to right before great depression growth rate was about 1.6 percent.

from start of great depression until 2022 it was about 1.8 percent.

economy and standards of living have gotten better faster as the state has gotten more bureacratic.

source: Maddison project database, see excel file here: https://www.rug.nl/ggdc/historicaldevelopment/maddison/relea...

excellent article.

The key correctness insight is this: any two majorities of nodes must overlap in at least one node. So between any two consecutive global state changes — whether two commits, two leader elections, or one of each — at least one node participated in both.

intuitively makes sense, but would be nice to see this result explicitly derived or illustrated the same way the fano planes were.

yes, there is counterparty risk with both etfs and mutual funds. in general, stick to the well regarded issuers or fund managers. vanguard is the best imo, they do a lot to protect their shareholders.

The number of ETFs isn't as relevant as the total % of funds invested in passive funds as opposed to single stocks or active funds.

https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=5259427

Passive capitalization-weighted index funds now surpass active management in aggregate investor allocations. Flows into passive strategies cause unrelated stocks to move synchronously, undermining diversification and potentially increasing systemic risk. New flows into passive products mechanically overweight overvalued stocks and underweight undervalued stocks due to market-price weighting, exacerbating momentum-driven price distortions. Rebalancing at the stock level to non-price-based anchor weights may mitigate these distortions and enhance long-term returns.

This is likely why large-cap stocks have outperformed over past decade.

I’m not. I have a Bangladeshi sense of the flow of time, I have basically traditional beliefs about family structure, raising children, social obligations to elders, etc.

Why don't you live by your principles and return to Bangladesh? To use your own argument (not mine), your culture is both inferior to the American culture and Americans have voted to not have "your kind" here.

One way or another, you are being disingenuous, either through your words or your actions.

i understand the purpose of the senate and believe that bicameralism is a good idea and populism is generally bad.

you seem to not understand my point so ill give it one more try:

senate was indeed formed as a bulwark against populism, but the founders didnt anticipate a 68 to 1 population difference between the largest and smallest states (california vs. wyoming), nor the vast differences in composition of their populations. when a tiny fraction of the population holds that much disproportionate veto power, the senate no longer checks populism, it actively empowers a specific, rural populist minority to override the majority.

It was explicitly created as a way to balance sovereignty of the states against populism, such as that enacted by MAGA or leftists.

that only works if the smaller states are not representative of the larger majority of the population.

instead, nowadays the smaller states are actually over-representative of the populist mass - e.g Wyoming is 80% white.

... you read an awful lot into that comment, I think you are being a bit uncharitable.

Though I agree with many of your points, what I think the OP was gesturing at was the idea that billionaires are more avaricious than the average person; hence we shouldn't be surprised that Paul Graham is wary about paying an effective tax rate that would put him on par with majority of tax payers in this country.

This isn't an new or particularly controversial observation: e.g. "Money never made a man happy yet, nor will it. The more a man has, the more he wants. Instead of filling a vacuum, it makes one." Benjamin Franklin

"The love of money grows as the money itself grows." Juvenal

Having worked for several billionaires and seen them in their day-to-day, those quotes resonate with me.

I was in Iowa a few years ago, and the food is awful. I don’t think the food in Iowa used to be great “100 years ago before modern factory farming,” etc. I suspect it’s always been awful, and people just don’t care about it very much as long as they get the calories they need.

I've observed the same thing; But my theory is taste in food is shaped by how recently a families lineage transitioned to processed foods and industrialized agricultural practices. e.g. I've observed a deterioration in taste in South Asia over the past 20 years, which I attribute to the same effect.