mr_00ff00

What about the constitution specifically?

You are saying this like there are other of nations that didn’t need to struggle for equal rights, workers’ right etc.

This is well thought out and a good point, it does feel like though there should be some “special case” for donating land to keep for public use as a park.

You are right though, how long can someone who doesn’t own that land, have authority on how it is used.

Maybe a bit out of scope for this article, but seems like in every country “Younger millenials and Gen-Zers” are turning to gambling online while traditional gambling (like Vegas) dies.

I feel like this might be a net negative from the pure speed and access in which you can lose money online vs real life, but idk.

In regard to number 1, it really is such a hard problem to get money and aid to those that need it. Autocrats and every person with power along the way is happy to pocket it.

“Tbh they could've just hooked up zig translate-c to c2rust”

This doesn’t work like you think it does. These things are full of errors and make the code very verbose and hard to reason about. It works with small apps, not entire rewrites.

Having dabbled with both Zig and Rust, they do things so fundamentally differently, it isn’t possible to do exact lines like that.

Because you are worried about bills or are concerned about waste.

If we design an AI to do work, it won’t innately care about not working to preserve power.

Saving energy is something we are biologically trained to prefer.

Computers won’t necessarily have the same drivers.

If evolution wanted us to always prefer to spend energy, we would prefer it. Same way you wouldn’t expect us to get to AGI, and have AGI desperately want to drink water or fly south for the winter.

Not saying you are wrong, but you could argue they made their big move with the Metaverse. Then again with those crazy AI contracts to ML people.

Maybe Meta missed on those big plays and now there’s too much pressure to make another.

I don’t know if I believe that, but worth considering

But traders weren’t just active on Polymarket: there were similar surges of oil futures trading activity just hours before Trump announced updates to the conflict that would lower oil prices.

Prediction markets are all the buzz, but banning them isn’t fixing the problem. This has happened forever. Let’s not forget there was an unusual amount of put option buying right before 9/11: https://ideas.repec.org/a/ucp/jnlbus/v79y2006i4p1703-1726.ht...

I don’t know if just one instance means direct democracy is bad. For example, in the US referendums have been used a lot for issues that are popular for voters, but politicians won’t touch.

(Weed legalization in many states, Abortion protection in Missouri I believe)

You could also argue Brexit. Ultimately, most of the UK was okay with shooting themselves in the foot to feel more independent like the good olds days. Maybe was wrong long-term, but if it’s what the people wanted, then maybe it’s good. Politicians never would have done it despite the people wanting it.

Layoffs.fyi maybe? Not sure if that’s the data you are asking for

Untrue for polymarket. True for kalshi. No bookie fees on polymarket

12 trading ships from Black Sea ports made desperately incompetent efforts to dock alongside the harbour walls. Then the reason became devastatingly clear; very few of their crews were still alive. The living were emaciated skeletons, covered with black boils that oozed blood and pus.

Can’t imagine what that must have been like to witness in medieval Italy.

That’s like having your security on the frontend.

If someone owns the keyboard then they can fake those metrics and tell the server it is happening when it isn’t.

That will be easy to beat.

My understanding of vibe coding is when someone doesn’t look at the code and just uses prompts until the app “looks and acts” correct.

I doubt you are making regex and not looking at it, even if it was AI generated.

It’s trained on mostly internet content, right?

If it learned language based on how the internet talks, then the best way to communicate is using similar language.

Anthropic is a good example of my point, judges are blocking that action.

The president has always had these powers, starting wars hasn’t been a congressional power since World War II. Korea, Vietnam, Iraq twice were all police actions by the president.

For the most part he can do what he wants at first, but the system eventually pulls back. It’s happened with ICE, it’s happened with Anthropic, it’s happened with interest rates and pressure to effect fed reserve chairs.

Had this conversation with a friend, but I think as an America you can be very optimistic about the institutional strength of democracy in the country.

People are very pessimistic recently, but if anything, we are seeing that our system works well. A person got into power that a majority voted for, but when he oversteps, the courts and other institutions (even judges and fed reserve chairs he picked!) seem to hold him to the rules.

I get the pessimism, but for the most part, I kinda think the system is working.

Are you saying this is specific to the US?

I think you would be hard pressed to find a country that didn’t get involved in some war that had nothing to do with defense.

What are some of the biggest EU alternatives for US big tech?

When I Google this I find a lot of options, but not sure which are actually mature tech companies vs start-up hopefuls

This reminds of a fun fact I remember learning in university.

Elasticity is the relationship between demand and supply, and there are actually very rare instances where it can be negative (where demand increases with price).

These are called Giffen goods.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Giffen_good

Explanation (that I remember)

Inelastic demand is when a good is demanded so much, that an increase in price has little affect on the total quantity (people still demand it, think like addictive substances)

So a perfectly inelastic product would be a straight line where any amount is demanded at any price.

So having the curve keep going it would get a positive slope, where higher price makes demand go up.

If I remember the example I was given was food during a famine. Supply is already low, but an additional pressure on price is the known shortage. The idea being that as the price goes up people see it as harder to get.

It’s been so long since I studied the subject so I might have gotten some things wrong here.

1. I believe you can bet on this

2. If it’s only banned in the US, yes it pays out, you just need to get a VPN or go to another country.

Also even it’s banned everywhere, the markets are blockchain contracts so you should be able to access it without the website, which is just the frontend. (this is where my technical expertise breaks down, someone who knows blockchain is a better expert)

Yeah I guess that’s fair, but I wouldn’t say that predictions aren’t the point of the market. My point was more that the predictions must be the point, because people are paying polymarket to get that data.

They don’t make money by taking a spread, they make it by providing information.

And people bet on emotion for sure, but “wisdom of crowds” suggests that generally that will balance out to somewhat accurate odds.

Sure, but some people would get out, right?

Surely you aren’t saying that because prediction markets can’t save every single life, that it’s somehow useless to save a few.

Another example, if odds jump on a missile strike on a particular city, you might have the chance to move out of the way.

The idea is that prediction markets show the “odds” of an event occurring (that’s why it’s percentages after all).

So if a war with Iran is going to happen, and so a general bets that it will, the odds will jump and go very high.

Now at least theoretically, people in the Middle East can see the high odds, and travel elsewhere.

After seeing how many people got trapped in the UAE, I might check these prediction markets in the future for similar things.

I am familiar with this but thought it was for separating prosecutors from judges?

Is this some indirect effect of that?

Damn, is anyone an expert that can speak to the criminal law involved here?

It’s crazy that executives can jump around the law and not face any criminal charges, then the company picks up the bill (although I’m not ignorant thinking this isn’t usual)

I’m just curious to learn more about how often this is the case and you usually what happens with people afterward

Doesn’t this kinda create a problem though? Like a recession implies economic slowdown, but social wellbeing can decrease while the economy is fine.

For example, a plague or severe weather might make the average person have a worse standard of living, but if the economy isn’t net affected, it seems wrong to say we are in a recession.

"Excluding new era investment, the other 89% of real private spending rose by only 1% with no job creation," the strategist wrote.

That isn’t what a recession is