melenaboija

The post is a satire and when writing this I see it at #1 of the front page and the comment is #1 too. So I guess you are kinda wrong.

The US business model for commercializing LLMs seems unsustainable to me. We are saying that they are creating trillions of dollars in value out of:

1. A model that for the most part is public and available to anyone. 2. A situation where the model’s success mostly comes from throwing as much data and computational resources at it as possible.

It seems that either of those assumptions could crumble quickly and unexpectedly. What if the AI paradigm changes completely and we no longer need GPUs? Or what if someone with enough determination decides to create a better model and sell it more cheaply, or free?

I don't know man, this looks scary to me.

This is not shaped like any other IPO. Objectively, it’s the biggest IPO in history and was included in the Nasdaq unusually fast. More subjectively, a significant part of its value is tied to the vision and credibility of a single person. Which BTW happens to be the first trillionaire in the world if things go well.

An open pricing engine and app based on Quantlib.

https://quantra.io/

The other day I asked Fable about fasting for 16 hours, and it flagged my question.

Pathetic situation, this one, where we are supposedly building a superintelligence while at the same time thinking that fasting is a biological weapon.

Not having to use Stack Overflow or Git directly are by far the biggest improvements LLMs have brought to my life.

As much as they don’t, that’s why it’s spying. But given the budget for spying agencies the guess is they might be doing something and it wouldn’t be intelligent not to spy on Israel, something I don’t believe to be true even for this administration.

I obviously don’t know them personally, but what I get from this old school generation that have been a pillar of computer science and, why not, modern human history, is just a tiny little bit more humbleness than “influential” people nowadays.

Yes, which means that in the long run this looks ugly.

So much faith and money in this idea, and seeing how fragile it is, does not look good.

What if $10 million fine per X AV miles driven is an OK cost of doing business?

It’s the same cost/benefit we accept under current rules. Why have cars that can go 3x the speed limit? Why not require breathalyzers in cars before starting them? Why not fine logistics companies if one of their drivers breaks the law? And so on… Because it’s worth it

That is successful and makes tons of money.

The author is saying it explicitly, you can’t flex as normal people do so you have to feed your ego finding different ways such as anonymous posts. Or talking to an stranger being drunk.

The funniest thing is how Americans have been fooled with this stuff.

This version of AI is mostly taking a public paper from 2017, investing in GPUs, and feeding it as much data as possible. So with a few computer scientists, no respect for intellectual property, and tons of money to burn, you have all the ingredients to create this technology.

Sam Altman and friends did it, as did the Chinese. The difference is that the Americans have been hyping it up to the extreme with all these dramatic scenarios about what would happen if someone else got its hands on it.

The Chinese made it public, among other things to show how fragile this is as a business and as a large part of the US stock market

An open pricing framework for quant finance based on QuantLib:

https://app.quantra.io/

https://github.com/joseprupi/quantraserver

Super nice read.

The harder version is asking yourself: if my job title disappeared tomorrow, would I still be me?

This part, though, misses an important point: status and wealth. And I think it’s especially directed at those.

It can be beautiful to identify yourself with your job if you are a professor or a social worker. The problem is identifying yourself with the social status provided by your job (paycheck and power), not the work itself.

Well I guess let people vote and moderators do they work.

Maybe I need to see it at the top and then see it disappear to understand what I am looking at when reading HN first page.

Yeah tough choice right now, don't know which one is more autocratic and oligarchic.

Ok, since I moved to the US from Europe a few years ago my perception of wood has changed a lot, especially for construction. Seeing this reinforces my view.

Wood lasts for fucking ever under the proper conditions. Old construction in Europe often only had the beams made of wood, and I always thought that was orders of magnitude more durable than wooden houses, like thousands of years vs decades. I don’t think that’s true anymore.

And this might be one of the few environmentally friendly decisions that Americans got better than Europeans, I guess. Wood is still prevalent in construction here, and as far as I know concrete and cement production are quite bad.

BTW, I’m a total ignorant about all this so just intuition and probably wrong

I don’t understand why people pretend there’s no paperwork to do in the US. Not only that, but different states have different processes.

I think there are some misconceptions about the US and tend to over idealize, especially around paperwork and taxes. And I think it’s precisely that misconception that makes it appealing to foreigners and makes it an attractive place to be an entrepreneur.

And again, yes, objectively it’s easier, but I don’t think that’s the main reason the country is successful in this aspect.

I am a European living in the US and my god I am tired of hearing this over and over again. If your biggest hurdle to start a company is the paperwork you’ll have to do for one week, you better think of something else.

And yes, there are other way bigger issues in my opinion, such as financing and even social support.

Then I think you see an early indication not just of electric car dominance, but of the (very potential) rise of China as the premier automotive super power.

It’s done man. Americans are stuck in ICE engines because they’ve been told they’re “car enthusiasts” while the Chinese have been developing EV technology for years. Meanwhile, European makers are stuck not knowing what to do, make Americans happy or compete with the Chinese. The result: nothing has been done properly. And let’s be real, “car enthusiasts” are going to disappear in one or two generations. Practicality beats enthusiasm for 95% of car use.

Best car on snow ever. Like next one does not come even close.

My setup for development is a 16-inch MacBook running VS Code as my frontend, and a powerful Debian server at home as my backend.

Inside the Debian server I run pure LXC containers for separate projects, DB servers, experiments... I found this to be by far the best balance of performance, isolation and control compared to other solutions.

The only friction was managing the containers (IPs, start/stop, backups, iptables rules) via shell commands constantly, so I crated this thin UI to deal with it.

LXC containers on top of Debian in a specific work station just for this. I have one generic container to start everything, and then create specific ones if projects get bigger.

This is by far the best option to isolate and easily create development environments that I found.

I connect to the containers from VS Code running on Mac OS.

https://credit.quantra.io/

Historical public companies Merton Probabilities of Default.

A project just for fun and still having to finish a couple of things.

I plan to make the datasets public (everything but some raw market data as vendors don't allow that) and also about to add the explanation of what Merton PD is.

I will never forget Rust for...

Fuck, this made me feel old. It blows my mind that the learning path Rust then Python even exists.

When I started school in 2000, it was C, then C++, and then Java. Oh, and then compilers. It’s impossible for me not to think about allocation when doing anything, it’s just rooted in my mind.

Holy guacamole, common birds like cranes fly high.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_birds_by_flight_height...

Yes

I’m from Spain and have lived in the U.S. for 11 years. I 100 percent feel less punished here than in Spain while driving.

Just yesterday while taking my daughter to school, I was looking at my phone, the light turned green, and the car behind me had to wait a few seconds, it was a police car. He clearly saw me, and absolutely nothing happened. The police back home in Catalonia would have roasted me for that.

And I have seen wild things here in US besides tons of people using phones like brushing teeth or eating with a plate and a fork.

I don’t know, just intuition. Each crisis is different and impossible to predict, otherwise I’d be retired, which I’m not.

Completely agree, I’d expect all of those to take a big hit, and some more than others, but I don’t think Microsoft or Google would disappear. As for the SP issue, if this trend continues, people might start seeing the SP as the opposite of diversification (at least in the stocks market sense) and will have to start looking for something else.

BTW, I’m almost an all-in SP investor myself so I’ll have to navigate that dip too, lol

The good part is that the next financial crisis when OpenAI sinks probably won’t be a systemic one, it will definitely drag others down and the stock market will readjust, but hopefully the US economy will remain afloat