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I believe in the creation of a machine god

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o3 pro is really good, but the context is really constrained, so its hard to use and doesnt output enough. This makes it suitable for ideating on good abstractions, but cant really make broad sweeping changes. Grok will output a full file. If you use the o3 pro API, its actually great, but it gets really expensive.

I think its much better than opus. I would describe its code output as boring and to the point, no fluff. O3 Pro is better at abstraction, but grok heavy is better at bug hunting, and only doing exactly as needed. I swapped my openai pro license for grok, its good. Another big advantage is the context window size. Honestly I use these models all day long, and have felt that while sonnet 3.5 was ground breaking, but that anthropic is behind google, openai, and now xai.

For tools, I use repo prompt + grok website. Personally think claude code is overrated, and hand building the context by selecting the files is far better for complicated tasks

This is all going to be solved by better models. Building agents is building for a world that doesn't quite exist yet, but probably will in a year or two. Building some big heuristic engine that strings together LLM calls (which is what this blog advocates for) is essentially a bet against progress in ai. I'm not taking that bet, and neither are any of the major players.

I think this is the beginning of the end of early stage venture capital in b2b saas. Growth capital will still be there, but increasingly there will be no reason to raise. It will empower individuals with actual skill sets, rather than those with fancy schools on their resume

Inside view:

Amazon has a document writing culture, all of those documents will be written by AI. People have built careers on writing documents. Same with operations, its all about audit logs. Internally, there are MCPs that have already automated TPMs/PMs/Oncall/maintenance coding. Some orgs in AWS are 90% foreign, there is fear about losing visa status and going back, the automation is just beginning. Sonnet 4 felt like the first time MCPs could actually be used to automate work.

A region expansion scoping project in AWS that required detailed design and inspection of tens of code bases was done in a day, it would usually require two or three weeks of design work.

The automation is real, and the higher are ups are directly monitoring token usage in their org, and pushing senior engineers to increase Q/token usage metrics among low level engineers. Most orgs have a no backfill policy for engineers leaving, they are supplimenting staffing needs with indian contractors, the expectation being that fewer engineers will be needed in a years time.

Yeah ageism is a huge issue, even in early 30s, working as a regular programmer is met with suspicion and looked down upon.

Not only that, young engineers will be build whatever without questioning the value, business people prefer this. They dont want an engineer raising product questions

also, it is true that technology moves quickly, startups dont need experts in tech thats no longer bleeding edge. large old school companies still do, so the number of companies that are viable employers decreases

Some of the worst behavior ive seen in my life has been done by devout catholics. who themselves cant see the consequences of their actions. and im not knocking religion, i just had to live alot of life to start being alarmed by outspoken moralists.