kaibee

iirc consumer grade GPS chips purposely become less accurate if they find themselves moving at high speed.

It still boils down to general guidelines that it’s impossible to know if you’re violating before the fact, and they will not even approve/reject proposals in advance. It’s basically “go read the act yourself, and ship what you think is compliant, and you’ll know whether we interpret the words the same way by whether or not we fine you.”

Companies want to know exactly where the line is so they can figure out how to comply with the letter of the law while doing as much as possible to get around the spirit of the law. This has been demonstrated over and over again. It isn't the job of the regulator to help companies with this process.

AHahahahah.

Yeah that's other part. What was PhD level computer graphics becomes table stakes a few years later and not only do you have to do that, but you have to top it a few years later.

Oh and all of these systems have to be aware of each other, because the higher fidelity they become, the harder it is to keep the seams hidden, because the seam between them become more jarring.

Sure, you have skeletal bone animation and all that stuff in 2003, but do your characters adapt their footstep placement to the terrain height? Does the run animation blend smoothly between states? Oh it blends smoothly but now player inputs feel unresponsive because you had the clever idea to make it inertial? Oh now do it all over a network at minimum latency because esports are a hundred million dollar industry.

Most humans don't have split brains, and without split brains you have quite a bit of insight into the thoughts in your brain. Its not perfect but its better than nothing, LLM have nothing since there is no mechanism for them to communicate forward except the text they read.

I can't prove it but this is almost certainly one of those things that is uh, less than universal in the population.

predictability

I'm giving this one to renewables.

frequency

I guess technically the weather is probably bad for solar or wind more often than geopolitical disturbances to the oil market but, if we go by when its bad for solar _AND_ wind, I feel like I'd need to see the data.

severity

Tied, maybe? Depends if we're including like, the 70s and if we're looking at just from a US standpoint or if we're including Europe.

mitigability

I feel lot more confident in my ability to add more panels than to negotiate reopening the Strait of Hormuz.

I still have hour long techno/house mixes that I downloaded from some dude who was trying to get into DJing in 2008/did house shows or something, because we played on the same garry's mod server. They don't exist anywhere else on the internet as far as I could possibly find. Searching his dj name doesn't bring up anything.

regardless of how smart one thing is, it cannot win towards infinite games of poker against 7 billion humans,

AI isn't one thing though. Really its kind of a natural evolution of 'higher order life'. I think that something like a 'organization', (corps, governments, etc) once large enough is at least as alive as a tardigrade. And for the people who are its cells, it is as comprehensible as the tardigrade is to any of its individual cells. So why wouldn't organizations over all of human history eventually 'evolve' a better information processing system than humans making mouth sounds at each other? (writing was really the first step on this). Really if you look at the last 12,000 years of human society as actually being the first 12,000 years of the evolutionary history of 'organizations', it kinda makes a lot of sense. And so much of it was exploring the environment, trying replication strategies, etc. And we have a lot of different organizations now, like an evolutionary explosion, where life finds various niches to exploit.

/schitzoposting

https://www.google.com/maps/@40.2243986,-75.3069926,3a,75y,1...

I got one of these tickets here. The bus was obscured until it was already stopped, by a truck to my left. I was in the furthest possible lane. Very cool ~$380. (For further context, because like in principle I agree.)

Oh and for fun, if you follow that sidewalk down a bit, you get to see this:

https://www.google.com/maps/@40.2281192,-75.3123541,3a,75y,7...

The sidewalk... just... ends because I guess crossing a bridge wasn't in scope?? and I'd pretty regularly see people and kids walking across it to get to the strip mall on the other side.

They're using AI Agents to do it in either case and using docker. There was no reason to choose SQLite.

Yeah a PG Docker container is basically magic. I too went down a rabbit-hole of trying to setup a write-heavy SQLite thing because my job is still using CentOS6 on their AWS cluster (don't ask). Once I finally got enough political capital to get my own EC2 box I could put a PG docker container on, so much nonsense I was doing just evaporated.

Great, so basically the tax payer is subsidizing your energy consumption.

Sounds like a fair system.

Yes, people voted for tax credits for solar/renewables. It is a fair system. You know what isn't a fair system? Fossil fuel externalities causing childhood asthma and rising sea levels requiring rebuilding coastal infrastructure globally.

"the government made me spend 37% of my income on saving when I wanted to use it to raise kids."

This is a particularly funny one tbh. A nation's kids _are_ the retirement plan. It doesn't matter how many numbers you put in spreadsheets dated for 20-40 years into the future, if in said future, there isn't actually anyone to accept those numbers in exchange for labor.

In my experience this is what Claude 4.5 (and 4.6) basically does, depending on why its grepping it in the first place. It'll sample the header, do a line count, etc. This is because the agent can't backtrack mid-'try to read full file'. If you put the 50,000 lines into the context, they are now in the context.

Unfortunately, they are written by IDE-devs for non IDE-devs.

Cheat Engine doesn’t modify the binary. Ghidra can.

To clarify for other people who may not be familiar, (though I'm far from an expert on it myself) you can inject/modify asm of a running binary with CE. I'm not sure if there's a way to bake the changes to the exe permanently.

Yes, but this assumes a finite amount of software that people and businesses need and want.

A lot of software exists because humans are needy and kinda incompetent, but we needed to enable to process data at scale? Like, would you build SAP as it is today, for LLMs?

Storage/compute/etc were orders of magnitude more expensive at the time, so the fact that it was 3-4 million is uh, pretty impressive? You could host a Matrix server for your 1,000 closest friends for basically no money.

We've come full circle to banning advertising. It seems like we have good reason to believe that people will create the infrastructure for the communities that they _want_ to exist and fund them. So just banning advertising will probably be fine. Worst case scenario, we gradually loosen the ban. The advertising hellscape will grow back immediately, nothing of value will be lost.

Use 0.01% of brain power? How is it that Fox News always has the buy/sell gold ads? Hyper-segmenting society into advertising bubbles is about the same as if you hyper-segmented your body into cell clumps. You need unintentional cross-pollination, otherwise there is no more society.

Isn't that what a well run company does

How many of those do you see around?

but then don't give it the review that an outsourced human would get.

Its like seeing a dog play basketball badly. You're too stunned to be like "no don't sign him to <home team>".

It reminds me a lot of 3D Printing tbh. Watching all these cool DIY 3d printing kits evolve over years, I remember a few times I'd checked on costs to build a DIY one. They kept coming down, and down, and then around the same time as "Build a 3d printer for $200 (some assembly required)!" The Bambu X1C was announced/released, for a bit over a grand iirc? And its whole selling point was that it was fast and worked, out of the box. And so I bought one and made a bunch of random one-off-things that solved _my_ specific problem, the way I wanted it solved. Mostly in the form of very specific adapter plates that I could quickly iterate on and random house 'wouldn't it be nice if' things.

That's kind of where AI-agent-coding is now too, though... software is more flexible.

Guess I’m just desperate for an article about how organizations are actually speeding up development using agentic AI. Like very practical articles about how existing development processes have been adjusted to facilitate agentic AI.

They probably aren't really. At least in orgs I worked at, writing the code wasn't usually the bottleneck. It was in retrospect, 'context' engineering, waiting for the decision to get made, making some change and finding it breaks some assumption that was being made elsewhere but wasn't in the ticket, waiting for other stakeholders to insert their piece of the context, waiting for $VENDOR to reply about why their service is/isn't doing X anymore, discovering that $VENDOR_A's stage environment (that your stage environment is testing against for the integration) does $Z when $VENDOR_B_C_D don't do that, etc.

The ecosystem as a whole has to shift for this to work.

Same dynamic seems to be shaping up here. Except the AI juniors are cheap and work 24*7 and (currently) have no hope of growing into seniors.

Each individual trained model... sure. But otoh you can look at it as a very wide junior with "infinite (only limited by your budget)" willpower. Sure, three years ago they were GPT-3.5, basically useless. And now they're Opus 4.6. I wonder what the next few years will bring.

Well, a terabyte of text is... quite a lot of text.

In some way, the US won the cold war by spending so much on military that the USSR, in trying to keep up, collapsed. I don't see any parallels between that and China providing infinite free compute to their AI labs, why do you ask?

The problem with this example is scale. A person is rational, but systems of people, sharing essentially gossip, at scale, is... complicated. You might also consider what happened in China during the last time there was a leader who riled up all of the youth, right? I think all systems have a 'who watches the watchmen' problem. And more broadly, the problem with censorship isn't the censorship, its that it can be wielded by bad actors against the common good, and it has a bit of ratcheting effect, where once something is censored, you can't discuss whether it should be censored.

"Ex-post facto? No, you see, the message was still in the Discord chat history and you did not delete it, despite having years to do so."

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2025%E2%80%932026_Iranian_prot...

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Survivorship_bias

On a long timescale gold is way more stable than the dollar.

This is a nonsense claim. How many flat screen TVs could you buy for a pound of gold over a 'long time scale'? Cancer treatments? Acres of land in midwest? Hours of a normal person's time? The fact of the matter is that you cannot actually store labor or time for later, so the amount of stuff you can get your gold is gonna vary wrt the broader economy. Economic reality on the ground is what actually determines the 'value' of your gold. And look, if you want some asset that you're pretty sure you could still trade for bread after the apocalypse or whatever, gold isn't the worst choice. And its deflationary, as the amount of gold isn't increasing at pace with the productivity of the global economy. And people like to hoard it when the future becomes less certain, because of the aforementioned 'tradeable for bread after the apocalypse', so I guess its an okay speculative hedge?