> When the number of "moving parts" created by your abstractions outnumbers the actual bits its abstracting, then you know your design took the wrong turn somewhere.
This is an interesting point which I agree with and is usually where I end up. In the past I've started from the opposite end, creating multiple modules, class hierarchies, etc. This future proofing has made things harder for me to follow/understand when reading at a later date. It has become tiresome and now I consciously start at the other end, making the simplest thing that could work. Layers of abstraction then come naturally as needed.