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juvvel

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This reminds of sensitivity vs. specificity for medical tests. You essentially have a 2x2 matrix: Error vs. non-error on one axis, and detected vs. not detected on the other. If we assume that a reviewer LLM has 95% accuracy, meaning that it produces the correct result 95% of the time it (identifying errors as errors, and identifying non-errors as non-errors), you get the following: Of 100 cases, the output of 5 is wrong, and the output of 95 is correct. Of the 5 wrong outputs, the LLM correctly identifies 4.75 (95%) as wrong. But it will also create 4.75 false positives (5% of 95). Of the 95 correct ones, the LLM correctly identifies 90.25 (95%) as correct. Therefore it creates 0.25 false negatives. So the positive predictive value is low: When the reviewer LLM flags an error, it's actually only an error 50% of the time. On the other hand, the negative predictive value is high, so in ~99.7% of cases, there will be no error if the reviewer LLM didn't catch one. All of that is assuming that the actual accuracy of the reviewer LLM is truly a flat 95% and that the base error rate is truly only 5%. I think that in reality, LLMs perform better with a certain type of tasks / errors and 5% error rate is just an average.

Oh, the joy was never fully lost to me. I still listen to bands so obscure that Spotify and Youtube Music don't have them, so I have no other choice. I'm slowly reverting back to my tech use of the late 2000s and early 2010s, with the added bonus of being able to access my own music collection from anywhere. I've seriously been considering getting an MP3 player again.

DIY Soft Drinks 3 months ago

Kombucha is the best "natural" soft drink for me, too. It's not entirely sugar-free, though (even though you can get it to low-sugar with longer fermentation).

DIY Soft Drinks 3 months ago

Ah, good old Dragonspice.de, they have provided me with supplies for many of my experiments as well. I have many of the essential oils already, I might try this! Thank you for posting your recipe.

I don't know the exact reason, but when they don't share the process or prompt, it seems like they're trying to gatekeep their results – which is very ironic from someone using a tool made possible by ingesting other people's work without their consent.

That's interesting to hear, because my impression was that software/web development is a field full of people who are self-taught or at least very enthusiastic about learning new tech. I am personally pretty undogmatic when it comes to languages or tools and I assumed most developers who care about solving problems are the same way.

Much better than last year, which is what I had been hoping for. There's still a ways to go, but it seems the worst is behind me, finally. It was a long and dark period with extremely crippling anxiety. Ironically, what helped most was to stop trying so hard to get better, but not letting myself go either. A very tricky balance to achieve that mainly hinges on your ability to talk to yourself in a kind, encouraging way. As someone who has an avid aversion to advice that seems to be superficial feel-good fluff I rejected the "be kind to yourself" concept for a while. Which, I realize, was my inner bully hijacking my logical brain making me believe I was doing something "right" by being cynical and unforgiving with myself.

This might not be the answer you're looking for, but I've frequently heard that charities are in dire need of people willing to do hands-on work instead of the "comfy" administrative stuff. Someone who is willing to guard the entrance to a DV shelter, for example, or someone to come in and do a few loads of laundry. I know we want to help with the skills we have, but it seems charities already have enough supply of people wanting to do some low-key work. Meanwhile the real problems go unsolved.

You can ask it to specify or point out any logical errors you observed and it will correct itself. If there's a contradiction I know that the information might be incorrect. I'm also just using it as a starting point to prime my brain, of course as of today we still need other sources to verify the knowledge.

It can explain stuff to you in exactly the way you need to, and walk you through problems. You can ask it to create quizzes / guided questions for you which helps in organizing your own thoughts. Another application I find quite remarkable is asking it for good prompts for image generation models. The biggest benefit is that you're not starting from zero when entering a new problem space / domain.

However do note that capitalist entities have infiltrated the government and have huge sway over it's regulatory policies meaning that anti-business regulatory policies are unlikely to occur.

Maybe this is the case in the US, the EU is known for being much more strict in its regulations, which is often ridiculed by the rest of the world. Those same people are going to hope for regulations once we see the effects of the current Wild West that is AI.

If we truly live in a world where those in power seek to eliminate all other (non-powerful) humans from the equation, then maybe that's our real problem. For the record, I don't actually believe this is the case. Some people might work toward this goal but I doubt that most powerful people would voluntarily want to give up their influence over the masses. Which is what they'd do if they leave them to fend for themselves while the bots run their businesses. At some point, when you have enough money already, you don't actually seek more money, you seek more influence, and money is just the vehicle. ETA: btw, if a truly autonomous money-making machine is invented, that's just going to cause inflation, making it all worthless.

Oh, I do believe programming as a profession is at risk and will change a lot, if not rendered obsolete. What I'm talking about is this idea of "just get used to the fact that there is no human skill that won't be replicable by AI in 2-10 years". It's a very bleak view of the future and our own biological complexity. We need to remember that we are the ones inventing the AI in the first place. We are limited by our imperfect ability to understand ourselves. It will get better, sure, there will be emergent properties, but there's no need to reject the inherent value of humanity even if it happens to produce less economically viable output.