jujube3

The eZ80 is still manufactured even though the original Z80 is not.

These guys aren't aware of all the "impossible" problems Elon already solved. They're too invested in the propaganda about him being a big dumb idiot who accidentally fell backwards into a pile of 1 trillion dollars.

RIP.

Graeber was a confabulator with a very loose grasp of the facts, though.

Sir, this is a Wendy's.

The city doesn't want commercial real estate values to collapse either, since buildings are taxed based on their value. If extend and pretend is ending, tax revenues are about to take a nosedive.

Person 1: give me an example of someone who was kicked out of academia for uncomfortable truths.

Person 2: [gives examples]

Person 1: oh ho! But those people are not in academia any more! They're not "practicing scientists"!

Person 2: ...

(2026 Googler, struggling to answer an interview question)

So, it would be morally abhorrent to enslave them if they were conscious, and therefore they must not be conscious? Sounds a bit like "saying the quiet part out of loud", pal.

My understanding is that the various anti-encryption proposals don't prevent the government itself from using encryption, just their subjects. So it's not really an "argument against" from the state's point of view. They will be safe.

By turning the crank on the slop machine.

Well--well look. I already told you: I deal with the god damn customers so the engineers don't have to. I have people skills; I am good at dealing with people. Can't you understand that? What the hell is wrong with you people?

https://www.reddit.com/r/ProductManagement/comments/uy1ot1/w...

Corvid-19 ?

Uber's not really a good example because they deliberately incentivized their engineers to spend as many tokens as possible, which was silly. But even assuming that every developer uses the full $1,500 a month of tokens that they are now allowing, that's actually not a lot of money relative to the cost of a single developer for them. It's less than 1/10 of a junior engineer's fully loaded salary.

Where I would expect to see people invest in local models is in cases where a company has regulatory requirements to keep data local, or where they're doing some specialized kind of work. Neither of those really apply to Uber. In 2026, it would absolutely be irresponsible for a taxi company to try to build a better Claude than Claude.

Now what this looks like 5 or 10 years from now, it's hard to say. A lot will depend on whether China keeps releasing open weight models and whether people can still run those open weight models on commercially available hardware.

You appear to be assuming that frontier LLM models will be more expensive than outsourced developers. That seems like a crazy assumption to me. Even with current prices of about $1000 a month, that's still just $12,000 a year, which you cannot live on, even in Eastern Europe. Maybe some people in India could live on that, but probably not the people you want writing your code.

You're using the future tense, but all of those things already exist. Google exists, Amazon Bedrock exists, DeepSeek's cloud product exists, etc. etc. But this isn't relevant to what the post you are replying to said, which is that "cloud-based, metered AI being a dominant work mode [is a] fad". Since all of those things are cloud-based, metered AI.

I mean, there's an "enormous incentive" for people to run their own data centers rather than using AWS. And yet, cloud is growing and on-premise is shrinking.

While I hope local AI continues to exist, I'm skeptical that it will take over, for the same reason running your own servers hasn't taken over. It's just hard, and involves spending huge sums of money up front.

It's also not really clear how much tokens are being subsidized. The discussion reminds me of Uber. For years people on HN claimed that Uber was going to collapse once they ran out of VC money. Then... that never happened, and everyone just moved on to discussing other things.

Outsourcing comes with significant costs. One of them is that it takes time to communicate with the outsourced team. For example, if you want to talk to someone in India, you might have to send an email that they read the next day, because they're almost 12 hours separated from you. So exchanges that would have just been 15 minute chats with a US-based developer turn into multi-day back-and-forths. If you are hiring someone to be the architect of your system, don't you want to be able to talk to that person? That's why even the most outsourcing-obsessed companies usually did not outsource architects.

Another issue is that there are cultural barriers. People in India or elsewhere may say "yes" when they really mean "hmm, probably not" because saying no to a superior could be considered rude.

If you replace a big team with a small team and LLMs, you are actually saving money overall because LLMs are much cheaper than humans. But you may actually need more skilled humans than previously, not less skilled ones, because they need to be able to manage a large volume of code being generated. LLMs are not good news for outsourced developers. They are the opposite: a cheaper substitute for the grunt work that they had been providing.

It's cope. People desperately want to believe that AI coding is going away so that they can go back to partying like it's 2020.

So there's a huge number of HN posters claiming that the price of tokens will go UP over time rather than down (that's how Moore's Law works, right???) or that code bases that AI contributes to will spontaneously combust, or something.

My point is that current-year LLMs are a better replacement for low-skilled developers than high-skilled developers. For example, if your mental model in 2016 was that you would have a senior engineer write a specification, and have an outsourced team in India implement the specification, in 2026, an LLM replaces the outsourced team in India, not the senior engineer. As a bonus, everyone is now in the same time zone, and there are no language or cultural barriers.

Because if I want a low-cost, low-quality dev, and Claude fills that role better than an outsourced dev, such people will "decrease in numbers" due to supply and demand.

You're not supposed to use it as a urinal.

Are they willing to work for less pay than Claude?

They don't need US crash or safety standards. Just get an e-bike instead.

If you buy a cloud-on-a-cloud, you're a clown-on-a-clown.

The solution turned out to be to send it all to China.

I am heavy developer guy.

To me it's dishonest to write an article like this without mentioning the reason why Spirit's employees and customers are in this situation: because the owners realized that it wasn't a viable business but were blocked from selling their company by the government.

It's not like the article doesn't go into the history of the company either. There's a paragraph that starts with "Spirit has been unprofitable since the pandemic..." To deliberately leave out one of the most important parts of that history is extremely deceptive.

Control-F "antitrust". Zero hits.

Why no discussion of "yet another victory" for antitrust? Was 2024 really that long ago?

https://www.justice.gov/archives/opa/pr/justice-department-s...

  Companies often expect employees to give advance
  notice of termination of employment, but employers
  do not feel beholden to their employees to
  reciprocate. This is unreasonable.

Nobody can force a worker to work, but an employer is often forced to employ someone they'd rather not. Maybe sometimes this makes sense, but it's actually the exact opposite of what you're trying to claim.

  Many companies showed improved productivity when
  people were given flexibility. Claims to the contrary
  are often not backed up by actual data outside of
  cherry-picked results chosen by those in managerial
  positions.

  MTG is a creative endeavor, and its output is
  protected by copyright. Copyright is, so far
  (thankfully), only enforceable when the media
  is produced by humans. Protections against the
  use of generative AI are not only good for 
  workers' long-term productivity, but also 
  for legal purposes

  I think maybe you should stop licking boots and
  start understanding why any of our society works
  today at all.

  As a hint, every protection you have
  ever enjoyed (40-hour work weeks, pensions or retirement
  funds, health insurance guarantees, mandatory paid time
  off, health and safety regulations, and so on) was paid
  for in blood by someone a company decided was not more
  important than profit. Unions are a fundamental  capability
  by workers to ensure their own safety. Shockingly, I think
  it more reasonable to rely on the interpretations of those
  working in these jobs who want to unionize than some random
  person online who thinks "no wait, but think of the poor
  endangered company! :("