HN user
Hardly dangerous. The same disclaimer put on the Anti-Defamation League website applies here:
All the symbols depicted here must be evaluated in the context in which they appear. Few symbols represent just one idea or are used exclusively by one group. For example, 100% is often used as an amount or an expression and it is also used by some by some white supremacists as shorthand for "100% white."
I wonder if unconventional writing styles are becoming the signal for deliberate content. If text is too polished– or even using certain punctuation– can lead to readers questioning whether AI assisted in the creation of the text.
A quick search shows that others have made this connection between Altman and lowercase and non-AI authenticity: https://ted-merz.com/2023/12/18/writing-in-lowercase/
It looks like this particular blog previously used conventional capitalization from 2017 to late 2023. The first post in this style appears to hint at a kind of shift in identity of the author, so perhaps, in this instance it is more a signal of personal expression or tribalism than non-AI-ness. Then again, we may see the line between the two continue to blur.
This seems highly revisionist. Cancel culture isn't just about boycotting or being selective about what one consumes. It's not even about holding people accountable.
It's about destroying people and tearing them down in order to make examples of them. It results in antagonists showing up at people's homes, writing letters to employers, creating petitions, attacking people in the nastiest ways possible with out engaging with ideas or arguments.
It's the disproportionate and graceless reactions that distinguish cancel culture from past methods of accountability.
Wouldn't modifying current behavior be sufficient to justify the existence of pain? The mechanism can be a useful adaptation even if a single organism cannot learn. Maybe the default state of bacteria is pain and they can only relieve it temporarily. The ones that survive to multiply are the ones best adapted to relieving pain.
In addition to supporting GameCube discs, the Wii had physical ports for plugging in GameCube controllers and memory cards. So, not much of a stretch.
Netflix shipped DVDs from 1997 to 2023, predating Redbox by 5 years. This is essentially how we got to streaming. GameFly still ships movie and game discs as a service.
Interesting data! And very different from the anecdotes presented in another top HN discussion today, detailing fierce competition with software engineer job postings receiving 100x the number of applicants compared to just a few months ago.
"So why is reading books any better than reading tweets or wall posts? Well, sometimes it isn’t. Sometimes, you need to put down your book, if only to think about what you’re reading, what you think about what you’re reading. But a book has two advantages over a tweet. First, the person who wrote it thought about it a lot more carefully. The book is the result of his solitude, his attempt to think for himself.
Second, most books are old. This is not a disadvantage: this is precisely what makes them valuable. They stand against the conventional wisdom of today simply because they’re not from today."
Thank you for reminding me of this excellent essay.
SimCopter and Crazy Taxi are older titles that come to mind.
Red Notice
Also worth reading are Red Notice and Freezing Order by Bill Browder.
Nation Geographic's Trafficked has a fascinating episode on the stolen car market. The episode follows cars that are shipped out of the port of New Jersey to Ghana and documents just how organized the operations are.
https://www.nationalgeographic.com/tv/shows/trafficked-with-...
There are some good arguments that current hospitalization metrics are misleading and underestimate the healthcare workload. Delayed treatments or patients who cannot access treatment may be a more useful metric to measure how overwhelmed a healthcare system is.
See https://twitter.com/DellAnnaLuca/status/1486208081142947840/...
Conservatives are running the hardest hitting anti-Trump ads this election year (see The Lincoln Project). Conservatives are split into 3 groups: Trumpers, those hoping the Republican party will just return to its roots after Trump, and those advocating for a new conservative movement because the Republican party is beyond saving.
Ioannidis continues to push this evidence-based approach, but I have not yet seen an adequate response to critics such as Nassim Taleb or Yaneer Bar-Yam. They argue that one doesn't need raw evidence to act if the statistical evidence shows that the risks are catastrophic. They published a paper on January 26th which lays out arguments for why conventional risk management approaches are inadequate in these situations. [1]
This paper was met with disregard on HN [2], but the persistent reach of Ioannidis shows why Taleb's arguments have value.
Some on Twitter argue that the WHO statement on January 14th shows where Ioannidis' approach fails: "Preliminary investigations conducted by the Chinese authorities have found no clear evidence of human-to-human transmission..." [3] Authorities were looking for evidence before taking any action.
[1] https://necsi.edu/systemic-risk-of-pandemic-via-novel-pathog...
Point (https://point.com/) is another company in this space.
Or as Bill Browser described it:
"This whole exercise was teaching me that Russian business culture is closer to that of a prison yard than anything else. In prison, all you have is your reputation. Your position is hard-earned and it is not relinquished easily. When someone is crossing the yard coming for you, you cannot stand idly by. You have to kill him before he kills you. If you don’t, and if you manage to survive the attack, you’ll be deemed weak"
Agreed! The labs are very informative and fun. One of my favorite undergrad courses used this book/labs ~10 years ago. Glad to see it is still being used!
Depending on the rates and down payment, it's not uncommon to need >10% gains in the invested difference for the 30-year to beat the 15-year mortgage. The 15-year mortgage has proved to be much more advantageous in my case.
See https://www.mtgprofessor.com/A%20-%20Term/30_years_or_15.htm
Utah has passed legislation to protect lemonade stands and other childhood businesses. This has spurred weekend child entrepreneur markets.
See https://fee.org/articles/lemonade-stands-legalized-in-utah/
Yes, the Strong Towns organization has a unique perspective on this. They make a convincing argument that local governments in the U.S. are trapped in a "growth Ponzi scheme." [1] Without continuous growth, most of them will never cover their liabilities. Strong Towns also provides interesting insights on how to avoid and correct this pattern.
That's a surprisingly dismissive reading. The first external source cited is Abramson. Every other source cited in the letter was also cited by Abramson in his original thread [1].
The letter summarizes Abramson's allegations: "The facts point to a coordinated effort by some in the FBI to change the course of the Clinton investigation by leaking sensitive information to the public, and by threatening to leak additional information after the investigation was closed."
There are no two ways about it: Either Abramson is onto a huge story that hasn't been reported elsewhere -or- sitting members of congress take investigative actions based on the ramblings of an irresponsible conspiracy theorist. Both are concerning.
[1] https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/939432544008921088.html
Yet he has been cited [1] by and contacted by congress for his research on pro-Trump FBI agents leaking to True Pundit.
It seems that the media can't make up their mind about him either: At times, discrediting him; other times, recommending his work. [2]
[1] https://democrats-judiciary.house.gov/sites/democrats.judici...
[2] https://twitter.com/SethAbramson/status/971909060294561792
I have used Lingotek (https://lingotek.com/). They offer human translation, translation memory, custom workflows, and integrate with various platforms.
An interesting counterpoint: Early Mormon settlements in western North America had a 90% success rate. In Utah, the success rate was 94%. [1]
Renowned urban planner Andrés Duany has praised the design of these communities. [2]
As I understand it, FiveThirtyEight's models reflect current and past uncertainty, but do not properly take into account future uncertainty. This greatly undermine's their models for use as a prediction, a probability, or a forecast.
At one point, FiveThirtyEight was forecasting/predicting that Clinton had a 66% chance of winning the election. If there were infinite parallel universes that veered off from that moment in time, their implication is that she would win the election in two out of three times. Taleb is saying that is nonsense, that there is more variability than that.
Of course, Taleb's model wouldn't drive page views or get people excited. FiveThirtyEight gives voters a reason to check-in daily on how their candidate is doing in polls, but it is misleading as a forecasting tool.
Nassim Taleb has rigorously shown that FiveThirtyEight did not accurately account for uncertainty in their models.
proven, reality-based statistics
Nassim Taleb has been calling BS on FiveThirtyEight's methods and models for months: https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/762032883414556674
He's now gone as far as calling FiveThirtyEight "clueless" and posted further comparisons of his model with theirs: https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/50282823/binary%20foreca...
There was a lot of excitement about VR in the early 90's, but it was not driven by the game industry. I had the rare experience of using a VR hang glider simulator that was exhibited at SIGGRAPH in 1993. I was just a kid then, but it was far more impressive than any gaming system.
Looks like the hang glider simulator is mentioned in this book, "Sex, Drugs and Tessellation: The Truth About Virtual Reality, as Revealed in the Pages of CyberEdge Journal" [1]
SIGGRAPH has been called "the original VR meetup." [2] Much of the VR technology back then was used for military training/simulation and wasn't shown to the world [3].
[1] https://www.amazon.com/Sex-Drugs-Tessellation-Revealed-Cyber...
[2] Siggraph's VR Pioneers Panel – https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kdB8k_qn7qM
Yes, I think you are right. Here is an analysis that places the 30-year lifecycle costs of a road at $8.63 per square foot: http://www.strongtowns.org/journal/2014/7/10/fiscal-impacts-...
This research seems more thorough, but still concludes that low-density developments often require much more than 30 years to pay off a road's 30-year lifecycle.
Edit: Looks like OP's calculations are based on how much of the collected taxes actually goes to the road budget.