johnsimer

and that's assuming they are all in the same concentric plane as each other. you could stack them at different distances from the earth

for what it's worth it would take the equivalent of launching 60 trillion cars into low earth orbit to blot out the sky

If that is true, why is SpaceX 5-10 years ahead of all its competitors?/why are Elon's companies #1 in all their industries (with the exception of xAI)?

I don't know if it's just me, but the thoughtfulness of of the average HN comment has seemed to decrease in the last few years. Feels more populist/Reddity the last couple years.

Do you want anyone in the world to be able to synthesize dangerous viruses?

Permitting/regulation issues

Tesla Semi is in production

EFF doesn’t allow most people to reply to their X posts. Scroll on their profile right now and you’ll see you likely don’t have the ability to reply to their posts.

This will damage their view count according to the algorithm bc this limits their engagement

AI is incredibly useful for the entire population

It could be, formally, if they have a monopoly.

you have 2 labs at the forefront (Anthropic/OpenAI), Google closely behind, xAI/Meta/half a dozen chinese companies all within 6-12 months. There is plenty of competition and price of equally intelligent tokens rapidly drop whenever a new intelligence level is achieved.

Unless the leading company uses a model to nefariously take over or neutralize another company, I don't really see a monopoly happening in the next 3 years.

not if LTV is already only a little higher than CAC and all the marketing channels are already saturated

Private companies should have the freedom to ban/censor whatever content on their platforms they want. I’d prefer if they don’t, but we shouldn’t force governments to prevent companies from creating their own rules about how people can use their own software

Governments however should not interfere with citizen’s freedom of speech - there should be no fines/arrests for insulting politicians. Otherwise those governments are actually authoritarian and repressive.

There is a reason the founding fathers put freedom of speech as the first amendment

Insults should absolutely be protected speech.

In countries that make insulting politicians illegal, all a politician has to do to become a dictator is say that speech criticizing them/their behavior is insulting and therefore illegal

Would you like if Trump arrested anybody who insulted him?

I did not spread any lies

^ I did not say Robert Habeck was arrested

Re the other cases: in a good democracy, insulting politicians should not be a crime and there should be no investigations for someone insulting a politician.

Germany – Robert Habeck insult raids (2024–2025): Multiple citizens faced police raids, investigations, fines, or suspended sentences (jail risk if violated) for online posts calling Green politician Robert Habeck derogatory names like "idiot" or "moron," or sharing mocking memes, under Section 188 enhancing penalties for insulting politicians. https://www.dw.com/en/germany-greens-habeck-presses-charges-...

Germany – Friedrich Merz "Pinocchio" case (2025–2026): A pensioner faced criminal investigation (potential fine or jail under Section 188) for a Facebook post calling Chancellor Friedrich Merz "Pinocchio," prosecuted as an insult likely to impair a politician's public duties. https://www.facebook.com/60minutes/posts/dozens-of-police-te...

Germany – Ricarda Lang insult investigation (2024–2025): A citizen was investigated (potential fine/jail) for an online post calling politician Ricarda Lang "fat," charged as criminal insult under Section 185 protecting officials from derogatory remarks. https://nypost.com/2025/02/21/world-news/germans-cant-insult...

There are UK examples too

Parameter density is doubling every 3-4 months

What does that mean for 8b models 24mo from now?

“ Models don’t get old as fast as they used to”

^^^ I think the opposite is true

Anthropic and OpenAI are releasing new versions every 60-90 days it seems now, and you could argue they’re going to start releasing even faster

Both companies are making bank on inference

for what it's worth many solopreneurs on the X/twitter solopreneur committee were reporting their uploads to TikTok were failing, and I saw at least one conservative complaining that their (conservative political) videos were not uploading to TikTok either

A notes app, where you can create flashcards on your notes/pages directly

you can also infinitely nest your notes/flashcard decks, and turn each note into a dedicated page

spaced repetition coming soon

https://studybranches.com

truflation has inflation at 2% right now, not 10%

https://truflation.com/marketplace/us-inflation-rate

the fact that the majority opinion on this thread seemingly does not even agree with Claude (which scores ~88% on MMLU (a measure of reading comprehension)) is a topic worth discussing

I don't know why people are (reflexively?) downvoting our LLM summaries of the EO

These LLMs score pretty highly on reading comprehension

Correct. MSM+reddit reporting of Elon’s tweets is very different from his tweets themselves

Is there a sizable focus on safety? Last time I heard there was only like one safety person left on the team

IIRC you need ~300 plants to offset every one human in a house

Did they mention this in the gpt4o announcement video? I must have missed this

If worker leverage has dissipated then IMO that’s because they’re providing less relative value. If you can provide your employer more value they will pay you more

I don’t want seniority based pay. I want value based pay.

If I join a company and day one I’m the top performer I’d want to negotiate a better package for myself and I don’t want other people meddling in my negotiation unless I explicitly hire them to

If I decide to improve my skills and negotiate a 2x raise with my employer or another employer I don’t want to have to be limited by some additional bureaucracy trying to tell me what my employment contract should be