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john_max_1

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One thing I always wonder is bury vs cremation.

Hindus, 1/6th of the world population usually cremate their dead.

The bodies are gone.

And the bones are washed away into ganges.

I would guess Hindus in USA or Europe would do the same.

An archeological study of skeletons in 4000 AD would drastically undercount groups that cremate their dead. Or won't it?

Companies don't hire people.

Managers do.

If I am a Director of Engineering with 5 reports and you are a Director of Engineering with 10 reports then you are going for the VP of Eng role on next promotion.

Like it or hate it that's why every company bloats up over time.

Company pays salaries.

And you enlarge your status.

I was once interviewed by Lyft and I told them that a 64 GB Mac Book Pro is sufficient to run the core business.

The interviewer didn't believe me.

I did the calculations in front of him.

This was the time, I just learned Rust.

I did the full analysis and showed him that QPS is great.

Of course, my design didn't include 500 microservices, 50 deployments of Hadoop, Kafka, Elastic, Mongo DB, and 500 slightly different dashboards that different teams in Lyft probably use. Most modern tooling in ZIRP phenomenen.

Someone's Hadoop experience - https://adamdrake.com/command-line-tools-can-be-235x-faster-...

If world poulation halved we'd still be at 1975 population levels .. a time when the world functioned.

The prosperity was much lower than. The scientific advancement even lower.

The world population is collapsing at a rapid pace.

Our economic growth is based on a growing productive population.

Our economic prosperity is based on a growing productive population.

Different parts of the world are dealing with population collapse.

Look at Japan, a xenophobic country facing population collapse. The total GDP has remain stagnant over the past 20 years.

Look at UAE, a country facing population collapse and acknowledging reality by handing our long-term residency permits to affulent immigrants, mostly Indian Hindus. They are even building the first Hindu temple in Islamic middle-east in Dubai!

Look at Africa, where the population growth combined with sectarian warfare is making for a troublesome living - https://pudding.cool/2018/07/airports/ South Africa is even regresssing. Rich businessman of Asian Indian origin who have lived for generations are already heading for UK/Canada. And with them tax base would collapse like Uganda (90% tax revenue came from Asian Indians in Uganda in 1972 - https://www.bbc.com/news/world-africa-36132151).

Look at USA/Canada/Australia, all of them have low birth rate but compensate by being genuinely immigration friendly. They will grow while sucking even more productive population out of rest of the world.

The Europe would keep importing cheap labour (by choice) and welfare-loving immigrants from middle-east & Africa (by virtue of proximity). And they would transform Europe, how they tranformed Lebanon - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WubIe3c5NGc, further imagine how the voting blocks would look like when whites are rich & old while non-whites are poor & young. Why would they not demand higher taxation and lower welfare policies?

China would have same fate as Japan. Xenophobia with a collapsing population. China would appear a lot of more timid.

12,000 years ago, when sea levels rose, Tasmania lost connection to mainland Australia, and this lead to decline of knowledge and tools over time.

We might see the same in our world.

So, I believe population collapse is a huge problem.

NPE was created in 2017. Facebook had "Labs" in 2011-12. The same idea keeps showing up again and again every few years thanks to a hugely profitable ads business.

Read my comment again, I am asking for a single standalone product that's fully incubated inside Facebook and that's successful.

Here are a few massively successful standalone projects built inside Google

  1. Google Cloud - 50+ services with varying degress of success
  2. Gmail
  3. Google Apps for work
  4. Google Chrome

To add more examples of standalone apps that failed

  1. Facebook Gaming app - https://techcrunch.com/2022/08/30/meta-shutting-down-facebook-gaming-app/
  2. Facebook livestreaming app - https://techcrunch.com/2022/08/05/meta-testing-livestreaming-platform-influencers-super/
  3. Facebook Events - https://www.theverge.com/2016/10/7/13192918/facebook-events-app-ios-android

Instagram is good at improving their app experience by incorporating features. However, it is not good at launching standalone apps either. Consider

  1. Boomerang - https://www.niemanlab.org/reading/instagram-launches-a-standalone-app-boomerang-that-turns-photos-into-a-1-second-video-loop/
  2. Shopping app that was never launched? - https://www.theverge.com/2018/9/4/17819766/instagram-shopping-app-e-commerce
  3. Layout - photo collage app https://www.stuff.tv/news/instagram-launches-layout-standalone-app-your-photo-collages/

Instagram is good at improving their app experience by incorporating features. However, it is not good at launching standalone apps either.

Consider

  1. Boomerang - https://www.niemanlab.org/reading/instagram-launches-a-standalone-app-boomerang-that-turns-photos-into-a-1-second-video-loop/
  2. Shopping app that was never launched? - https://www.theverge.com/2018/9/4/17819766/instagram-shopping-app-e-commerce
  3. Layout - photo collage app https://www.stuff.tv/news/instagram-launches-layout-standalone-app-your-photo-collages/
  1. Bonfire - HouseParty clone https://www.theverge.com/2019/5/3/18528317/facebook-bonfire-shutdown-group-video-chat-houseparty-clone
  2. Poke - Snap clone https://www.vox.com/2018/2/17/17022586/facebook-snapchat-poke-clone-mark-zuckerberg-evan-spiegel-billy-gallagher
  3. Slingshot - Snap clone https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2017/mar/10/snapchat-clones-facebook-copies
Note: Can't seem to find the one for IRL