jamilton

There's a couple "AI forecaster" companies now, Preseen and FutureSearch. My understanding is you give them a query and they research every possible relevant factor and give an estimate of the likelihood of your query, and supposedly they're comparable to if you asked a human to do the same thing, but they're new enough that they're not really proven yet.

It’s entirely possible that Mojang has a blog somewhere with more detail, or maybe a dev tweeted something, that would be the type of useful info that could exist that someone more familiar with Mojang might know.

To clarify, I object that any of these things matter much for general outcomes. If the article had immediately supported these claims, maybe I'd be more accepting, but as is it appears I'm supposed to have taken it as a given.

That is a point that could be made in the essay! I don't think it's a given, but it's treated as one. My experience is that children who are ESL assimilate pretty heavily.

It's trying not to be that, but it still reads like that to me. The deliberate non-naming of heresies but specific callout that "heretic-hunting" is coming mostly from the left naturally leads to that conclusion.

Sure, it's just such an odd bundle of claims that were not fully interrogated in the essay. 1. That these things have changed from "small minority" to "significant minority" in public school populations, 2. they haven't changed similarly in private school populations 3. these things increasing are bad and undesirable for you and your child, and 4. there are not cheaper ways to fix this than sending your child to public school (the obvious point to me is if you don't like that there's a significant ESL population, or your community, move somewhere else!).

For example: an American family in 1975 could send their children to public school on the assumption that the vast majority of other children would belong to intact families, communities like their own, and would speak English as a first language. Now, realistically, many parents must turn to private schooling for the same reassurances.

It was hard to take the rest of the article seriously after reading this.

But LLMs go through post-training that gives them a style distinctive from most human writing. It's certainly detectable.

This reads as heavily LLM generated/edited to me.

The slime art is nice. I watched it for a long time. It's neat how you can open any frame up as an image. The controls in the description didn't work though.

I don't hear anything from the examples in Firefox or Chrome, on Windows 10.

What is bad about "effective charities"? It's probably mostly for malaria nets!

I read his contention as “the people who wrote AI 2040 are nerds who are so ungrounded from physical reality they wouldn’t even know how to change a bike tire if given instructions”. Which I think is also wrong but has a genuine criticism in it.

Uhm, those lonely people need to get out and start talking.

Great, what is being done to help that happen?

Hm, I think there’s more to it than that. It is often the case that someone will do something and regret it without having necessarily gained any new information, which is in a sense irrational, right? If you didn’t gain information, you could have known to just not done it to begin with. Something about experiences, perhaps?

Yeah, I'm interested too. My guess for the reason, if not purely to eke out more performance, is so they can cleanly gather real-world data on this kind of usage.

@grok is this true

A lot of video game and console ads are much more sensationalized.

Script is linked at the end:https://github.com/JCLemme/wiggle-wiggle

And the hashing library used: https://pypi.org/project/ImageHash/

Rolling average including vacant months as $0? And if that isn't smooth enough, add some smoothing factor, count vacant months as 10% of the last paid value, or maybe the first vacant month as 50% with further months decaying. Or some other fancy accounting that makes more sense than the current method.

Why do banks calculate it that way? Do they all do it that way, is it legally compelled? It seems obviously incorrect.

1m^3, right? I can picture what you mean, but I'm not sure it works technically, since I think the splats for a given region are not actually bound to the region they represent. Like, for example, reflections work by having the reflection being physically behind the reflective surface. And they're all transparent, so it'd blend together.

Most scientific research does not take into account who the beneficiaries of that research would be.

I would consider that apathy.

According to the author, it's been optioned to Lord Miller Productions, the same group that adapted Project Hail Mary.

Somewhat related, check out https://github.com/wordbots/wordbots-parser, a digital card game where you write the cards and the engine parses them to determine what they do. It's fun to mess around with.

You gotta zoom into the center to see the main chaos. And if you zoom in elsewhere, you can see all the generation differences from different versions of the game.

No, sorry, I was saying I do know what it does based on the description.

I thought "A decentralized music tracking and discovery platform" and the features list was plenty descriptive. I don't think you have to use Bluesky to use this, I think Bluesky is like the backend, and otherwise it's a Last.fm alternative?

Neat. I wonder if a allowing the models to inspect pixels or pixel regions, instead of fully relying on the VLM, would help at all. The spatial reasoning required might be too complex though. In general the VLM seems to be a limiting factor, so I wonder if there's some way to usefully augment it or sidestep limitations.

Like, instead of being in pseudo-MSpaint, pseudo-Photoshop with manipulable layers and bounding boxes. They struggle to add an outline to something previously drawn, but that's something that could be done programmatically. The limitations are obviously part of what makes this interesting, but different limitations could be interesting, too. Maybe additional complexity would just result in more uninteresting failures though, I don't know.

I noticed that the feedback/strengths/suggestions outputs are clearly also given the initial image's prompt. It could be useful to additionally have an output that's not given the prompt, so the LLM knows what the VLM sees without bias?

Why do you think so?

I think it's a mistake to view any politics as bolted on. I think it's unlikely some people were interested in "mindful and resilient and ecological use of computing" completely apolitically, with no other political or ideological background.

This principles page doesn't seem to have any irrelevant politics to me.