hhmc

git worktrees are the canonical solution

What is a ‘wicked’ problem?

For 99% of users, we gladly accept these more "invasive" anti-cheats because it means less cheating in the games we enjoy.

The modal user likely doesn’t even know anti-cheat exists, and if they did, wouldn’t care at all. They just want to play the game.

Most of us were able to earn money to buy a pizza or some additional snack betting on teams, or trading keys.

Unless I'm missing something, this is zero sum -- so it follows that a bunch of people mostly lost money (perhaps also during their childhoods)

Sure theoretically. Outcomes are dramatically better if someone else is around

I once did a course with a paramedic on basic aid. We were discussing choking, which is a condition that really needs a 2nd party to intervene. Someone asked what to do if you live alone (with no close neighbours) - the answer was essentially ‘good luck’

Thanks, this is a fascinating note.

You’re right that really it’s collaborative production that’s the heart, and there’s no real benefit to LLMs.

It does feel like some classical explore/exploit algorithms could be interesting, but I imagine the challenge to any effort is really just getting enough high quality contributors

I always thought there was decent promise in gwerns (gpt-3 era) proposal of a meta-llm CYOA: https://gwern.net/cyoa

Wonder if anyone ever took a crack at this

Because the numbers are less than 1 sqrt pulls them towards 1 (the edge)

There’s a now quite dated comment from Merlin Mann: "Joining a Facebook group about productivity is like buying a chair about jogging.”

It’s fuzzy - but my recollection was Mann was a fairly renown productivity influencer (although I guess we wouldn’t have called it that then), who had an apostasy about it all.

Given this is 4 years old; did any sites take on the feedback?

Home runs, walks, and strikeouts now dominate baseball, with 35% of plate appearances ending without involving seven defensive players. This has reduced balls in play by 20% since 1980, creating longer games with less action

Do baseball fans ever discuss potentially changing the rules or game setup to mitigate this?

I feel like you want some higher moments on these. At least the standard deviation would be useful on top of the expectation.

The share value is price x shares, so there’s an effective dollar numeraire.

It’s easy to imagine a well performing stock that neverless loses due to a currency shock. Indeed this is why one would typically hedge currency risk if trading a name outside of accounting currency

This is heterodox opinion to modern financial theory. You’re welcome to hold it, I’m not interested in trying to convince you otherwise — I think it undermines the larger point I’m trying to make in an unhelpful way.

For all practical purposes you can - and the world broadly does - consider e.g. TBills to be risk free (or take your favourite interbank lending rate etc etc).

There is no risk free investment that will return you 12%. In a year where you are down 30% are you still contributing 5% on initial capital? If not, you are just constructing an instrument where you only pass through downside risk

I don't think the switches connecting to any real exchanges support this

There's no competition that's running on copper -- even competitors without latency sensitivity with still be running over fibre because that's just the baseline infrastructure in datacentres, transatlantic etc.

Of course, yes, the HFT firms will be using also the standard tricks of microwave towers, shortwave radio, weather balloon etc, to beat the fibre route.

Right the energy is exponentially, but I’d claim that fatalities are saturating.

Also worth considering is that, even if higher limits reduce the rate of accidents, accidents at higher speeds are almost universally more severe.

Obviously this is true, and especially important at low speeds, but I wonder how much difference there is between 70 and 80 — I would have assumed they are both typically fatal

technically it's the EU working hours directive that's binding (or being opted out of) in the UK

when they're the largest video game distribution platform on PC

And just adding on to this, they also a have a stable of some of the most successful (and presumably lucrative) games released in the last 20 years: dota 2, cs:go (admittedly, not in-house to start), TF2.

Granted, a lot of these are towards the autumn of their lifecycles, but it can't be discounted.

You also can use the fact that for any distribution, the median is never further than 1SD away from the mean.

If you can consistently make more than 10% you don’t need to hamstring yourself with this terrible deal, you can just get investment on typical terms.

Why would anyone take the other side of this bet? It's an incredible financial instrument, that anyone on the buyside would buy in an instant (as formulated -- ignored fees/tcosts etc).

Waking in the middle of the night is caused by stress around a problem

I don't think this is universal. For example: rotating shift workers can have a mostly physiological insomia, due to various disrupted rhythms.

Is the correct number 0 or >1?

Why is this conspiratorial? It’s simply a theory, no?

Not in the UK (passthrough sugar tax)