hackandthink

Berlin was divided.

Like Berlin, Vienna had occupation zones, but there was never a wall between them.

Mearsheimer was right: Putin wrecks Ukraine.

https://www.mearsheimer.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/06/Why-t...

It is neither obvious nor intuitive. But it is logical possible that we all are Zombies.

In my regard the weak link is our understanding of materialism. It is to simple minded. (though panpsychism sounds really crank)

Chalmers: “It is natural to hope that there will be a materialist solution to the hard problem and a reductive explanation of consciousness, just as there have been reductive explanations of many other phenomena in many other domains. But consciousness seems to resist materialist explanation in a way that other phenomena do not.”

"A landscape of consciousness: Toward a taxonomy of explanations and implications"

https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S007961072...

That would be a good fit for a prediction market.

I think Restraint usually loses. In times like these, though, warmongers have a harder time, and those two are truly creepy characters.

the law of the excluded middle, which says something can't be true and false at the same time

This is the not excluded middle, it is the "Law of noncontradiction"

Excluded middle means: either p is true or the negation of p is true

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Law_of_noncontradiction

I don't care about gas prices either. But next winter is going to be expensive. I don't have the option of switching from natural gas to a heat pump.

But of course, electrification as soon as possible.

I guess, a high oil price is a good thing for the oil industry, especially when producing oil domestically becomes more expensive.

But I also don't believe in some conspiracy by the American oil industry to eliminate other suppliers in order to fleece Europe.

(the article is not by Henry Farrell itself, it seems to be below his niveau)

https://shalemag.com/peak-oil-production-in-the-us/

I had to undress back then.

But anyway:

"The Clash - The Call Up (Official Video)"

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-ScaGjwkg2Y

I checked the blog, You have a point. Brett Devereux was more cautious.

"If you are trying to follow the War in Ukraine, I strongly suggest watching the War on the Rocks podcasts for the times they bring in Michael Kofman."

I’ve been caught up in “guilt by association” here. Michael Kofman always struck me as a cheap propagandist. (but I should shut up now)

That all makes a lot of sense. Mr. Devereux is being more realistic this time than he was at the start of the war in Ukraine.

My takeaway from the war in Ukraine is: it’s going to get worse and last longer than anyone ever imagined.

Long version

https://www.jungewelt.de/artikel/519683.j%C3%BCrgen-habermas...

Habermas was a decent guy. He stood for a liberal and social democratic Germany. I respect that he didn’t fully go along with the shift towards crusading liberalism and militarism in Germany.

He was always part of the establishment. His writing was rambling and boring, and I always thought he was naive. RIP

thanks

fourty

(1945 - 1949 it was split in 4 occupation zones)

"The study examined different scenarios, from a "best case", in which the war ended in 2023 without significant further escalation, to a "worst case", ending in 2025 after further escalation."

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demographics_of_Ukraine

It is Burali-Forti 1897, predating Russel's paradox.

"the new AirTag is 50 percent louder than the previous generation, enabling users to hear their AirTag from up to 2x farther than before"

Can that really be true?

Someone else wants a piece of the national security propaganda pie.

This is a lecture for a broad audience.

"Poland, with the tacit backing of London and Paris, refused transit rights to Soviet forces even to defend Czechoslovakia"

Mr. Sachs could have elaborated:

"Other East European countries were Germany’s allies, and indeed Poland and Hungary gladly took part in the dismemberment of Czechoslovakia."

https://branko2f7.substack.com/p/javais-toujours-raison

There are also pleasant experiences when traveling by train, but rarely in Germany.

The Swiss railways are excellent and friendly. In Milan, I was unable to catch the reserved train to Zurich, but the conductors on the Swiss train that was just departing even accepted my ticket for the Italian railway.

Read his book a while ago, worth reading.

"Volodymyr Ishchenko is a sociologist from Ukraine currently affiliated with the Institute of East European Studies, Freie Universität Berlin, and author of Towards the Abyss: Ukraine from Maidan to War."

"The war began on April 12, 1861, when the Confederacy bombarded Fort Sumter in South Carolina"

170 years ago is 1855.

Mearsheimer was right in 1993 (nukes).

https://www.mearsheimer.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/07/Mears...

He was right in 2014:

https://www.mearsheimer.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/06/Why-t...

And he is still right:

https://mearsheimer.substack.com/p/who-caused-the-ukraine-wa...

This feels like 1979.

Some progress:

https://evantangen.wixsite.com/tiot/fellows

"they're cutting jobs because they know AI spending will pay off."

They think they know.

"UBIOS will be further discussed and revealed by the Global Computing Consortium at the 2025 Global Computing Conference in Shenzhen this November. For a country looking to both bolster its own domestic computing ecosystem and step away from American systems that constrict non-standard hardware implementations, the development of UBIOS may prove to be a major win for China. However, whether UBIOS becomes widely adopted and championed like the open standard RISC-V, or widely abandoned like LoongArch, remains to be seen."

https://news.mydrivers.com/1/1081/1081504.htm

There is a lot of censorship in Germany. People do not care.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Censorship_in_Germany

https://www.lto.de/recht/hintergruende/h/russia-today-verbot...

Huffner is Haffner:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sebastian_Haffner