georgeven

PCIE 16 gig is <300 dollars these days a piece

on eBay you can buy 4 of them for 1000. PCIE 16 gigs.

I have a 1500 dollar machine that can run it at 50 tok/s (3 V100s)

innovation requires monopoly is a Theil one liner -- probably true too

I wonder if you can sue him in civic court, could teach him a lesson.

The issue then becomes it writes insane one liners that are impossible to read. Would be difficult to set up an RL environment where the goal is correctness and readability.

the codex limits are actually pretty high too. You might want to check it out.

I have known about TBPN since early summer last year. They are widely known about in Cali startup culture at least.

its probably not even a conscious decision from dwarkesh to be hyperbolic. pod casters who are hyperbolic are just simply watched more

he was not sure, but if i recall correctly, he put the probability at something like 90 percent of being able to do non verifiable tasks.

it's 20,000 in 2026, with the price of tokens halving every year (at a given perf level), this will be around 1,000 dollars in 2030

Interesting. Everyone in my circle said the opposite.

It was actually nearly 5 years ago!

dude you are spinning up my models! Emailing you!

I found codex cli to be significantly better than claude code. It follows instructions and executes the exact change I want without going off on an "adventure" like Claude code. Also the 20 dollars per month sub tier gives very generous limits of the most powerful model option (5.2 codex high).

I work on SSL bio acoustic models as context.