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gdpq11

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Yeah, this is actually a good example of why it's important to add a bit to the raw Matrix Profile. The point is anomalous with respect to the pattern preceding it (the "sawtooth"), so in this case one needs to consider the whole Matrix Profile. It's a good callout in that the graph isn't a complete anomaly detection system; it more demonstrates how a single anomalous point can impact the Matrix Profile value.

The nice thing about how the Matrix Profile is built is that you can slice up different regions of time to focus on your use case. To build the MP you start with an NxN matrix that lists the distance between every point (or technically N-m+1 x N-m+1), then find the overall closest distance for each point. However, we've found that first "updating" the NxN matrix allows you to do analyses like your two anomaly example.

In that case, you'd create a parameter "w" that specifies the boundary between when two matching points are a pattern, or if enough time has elapsed so that they should be considered two anomalies. In the NxN matrix, for the ith row you'd then set every value outside the i+w/i-w boundary to infinity. In that way, the resulting Matrix Profile would account for your situation.

Due to the algorithm's speed we do often sweep over multiple values, but try to use domain knowledge where we can. And for alerting, we sometimes have labeled data that we can calibrate the threshold to, but often times that's a matter of customer trial and error.

I'm not affiliated with UCR, though I am a product of the UC system :)

I agree with Keogh that Matrix Profile can help solve a very wide range of problems, but you usually have to go a little bit deeper than just calculating the topline Matrix Profile. A good example of this is that if you calculate the Matrix Profile for something with daily seasonality (say, in-store retail sales), you'll see the same daily pattern in the Matrix Profile. The straightforward fix for this is to normalize by time window (say, only compare the Matrix Profile at the same time each day).