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gallerdude

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substack.com 1y ago

AI Art Turing Test Results

gallerdude
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www.museum-on-the-coast.com 4y ago

Predictions for September 2031

gallerdude
31pts41
axesslab.com 5y ago

Disabled Buttons Suck

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news.ycombinator.com 6y ago

Ask HN: How do you stop overthinking?

gallerdude
2pts4
jackmgaller.com 6y ago

“Interviews” with my favorite people using the GPT-3 AI

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news.ycombinator.com 7y ago

What can I do over winter break to improve my resume?

gallerdude
3pts4
news.ycombinator.com 8y ago

Ask HN: Do I follow my dreams by risking my college experience and wasted time?

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news.ycombinator.com 8y ago

Ask HN: What is your goal in life?

gallerdude
27pts25
news.ycombinator.com 8y ago

Ask HN: How did starting your business go?

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news.ycombinator.com 8y ago

Ask HN: What are your New Years resolutions?

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news.ycombinator.com 8y ago

Ask HN: How hard is it to live in Silicon Valley?

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news.ycombinator.com 8y ago

Ask HN: What is your life goal?

gallerdude
17pts35
news.ycombinator.com 8y ago

Ask HN: How has the smartphone changed your life?

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2pts1
news.ycombinator.com 8y ago

Ask HN: How did you meet your spouse?

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74pts71
news.ycombinator.com 8y ago

Ask HN: How do I get $2.2M dollars?

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58pts107
news.ycombinator.com 8y ago

Ask HN: Best books you read in 2017?

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84pts64
news.ycombinator.com 8y ago

Ask HN: Books you read in 2017?

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theoutline.com 8y ago

The algorithm is innocent

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news.ycombinator.com 8y ago

Ask HN: What obscure corner of the web do you frequently visit?

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news.ycombinator.com 9y ago

Ask HN: How do you know what you want in life?

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news.ycombinator.com 9y ago

Ask HN: How do you stay motivated on long-term, personal projects?

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news.ycombinator.com 9y ago

Ask HN: What's the smartest decision you made in life?

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news.ycombinator.com 9y ago

Ask HN: What is the best way to decide what books to read?

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9pts10
arxiv.org 9y ago

Controlling a Swarm of Robots with Brain and Eye Signals from an EEG Headset

gallerdude
2pts1
news.ycombinator.com 9y ago

Ask HN: What are the patterns of self-employment?

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2pts2
news.ycombinator.com 9y ago

Ask HN: Do you think AI will enact big change in how our world works?

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news.ycombinator.com 9y ago

Ask HN: Were we ever future-obsessed as we are now?

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22pts27
news.ycombinator.com 9y ago

Ask HN: Where is the intersection between Art and Logic?

gallerdude
15pts12

If the models were the quality of GPT-5.6, or Opus 4.8, would Meta really reap any benefits? Maybe in a zero-sum way, because OpenAI and Anthropic would lose. But I'm not sure they'd be that much more ahead either.

The original comment was “open models are what kill OpenAI and Anthropic”, which to me is as silly as saying “Android is what killed Apple”

Android has market share, but Apple makes all of the money! I find it really funny when people attribute Apple’s success to “oh, the only reason they succeed is design and marketing.” Yeah, I mean factually speaking design and marketing actually do matter a lot!

Us developer types like to pretend like specs are the only thing that matters? If you could have a 10x more powerful model you could only access running locally through your terminal, versus a weaker model through a clean web interface, normies will pick the web ui every single time. Product experience is simply everything, as much as we like to pretend like nitty technical decisions are the most important thing.

Even in the world where all models are basically equivalent (a thesis I don’t buy, but will grant you for arguments sake) - I believe there is much more to the AI business than just training and running models.

It’s a very new set of technologies, and understanding what is useful to customers and what isn’t is the whole game. Call it, product taste. There were a million cell phones before the iPhone took over the world. Why iPhone? Product taste. There are a million startups, and only a select few become unicorns. Why? Product taste.

AI 2040: Plan A 12 days ago

I think the question “would China cooperate” needs much more investigation. Everyone online pundit seems to think “obviously not”, but they’re people too with clear positive and negative incentives. It’s possible they’ve found a very similar calculus that we have.

“Politics is the art of the possible”

Claude Sonnet 5 22 days ago

Of course. But is it really impossible that Dario’s directive to the marketing team is “try not to make us look bad, but also be honest about our models’ capabilities, so people can stay informed”?

So let’s say you’re in Anthropic’s shoes. You see that LLM’s are getting better and better, and it’s very possible that they will have some impact on jobs in the next few years, and a very meaningful impact on cybersecurity.

Is it more ethical to stay silent about these concerns, as you might have a bit of self interest? Or even if it looks a bit self interested, is it better to warn people ahead of time? I think the latter is obviously the better position.

I really liked Dario's metaphor that in the 80's, we could have said someday we'll have "supercomputers", which can do all the calculations we did except WAY faster. When, in reality, the AI's just get smarter over time, even if the frontier is jagged. AGI is just vibes only for "smart enough, consistently enough".

I was a baby when the Internet Revolution happened. I was in high school and college when the Mobile Revolution steamrolled everything. It’s been interesting to see this one, as an adult working in the world. I wonder how far it will go.

GPT-5.5 3 months ago

I actually have no problem with the 5.x line... but if Pro really was an entirely new pretrain, they did a horrible job conveying that.

GPT-5.5 3 months ago

If GPT-5.5 Pro really was Spud, and two years of pretraining culminated in one release, WOW, you cannot feel it at all from this announcement. If OpenAI wants to know why they like they’ve fallen behind the vibes of Anthropic, they need to look no further than their marketing department. This makes everything feel like a completely linear upgrade in every way.

I agree partially, but also misses the wonder he would have for: relaxing bathtubs, funny livestreams, wireless earbuds, huge libraries, and even globes.

And yeah, you could make a list of struggles we have today he never did. But that’s kind of my point - it’s complicated.

1. You can't understand the nuances, but there is a general pattern: new inventions may make us slightly less proficient at specifics, yet more powerful overall

2. Imagine a hunter gatherer is time travelled to 2026. You have lunch go to a cafe with him, and he learns that food is cheap, delicious, and abundant. He sees your house, and thinks it's amazing compared to his cave. He thinks that 2026 must be absolute paradise. You explain to him, well kinda, but also not really. Is the hunter gatherer right?

I’ve been thinking about AI robotics lately… if internally at labs they have a GPT-2, GPT-3 “equivalent” for robotics, you can’t really release that. If a robot unloading your dishwasher breaks one of your dishes once, this is a massive failure.

So there might be awesome progress behind the scenes, just not ready for the general public.

This would have been an amazing release 6 months ago. But the industry moves so fast, this is a trite release. Maybe it’s best for Meta to sell their superintelligence division. I don’t think Zuck’s vision is particularly compelling.

Gemini 3.1 Pro 5 months ago

My job may have become part of the training data with how much coverage there is around it. Perhaps another career would be a better test of LLM capabilities.

Gemini 3.1 Pro 5 months ago

We used to get one annual release which was 2x as good, now we get quarterly releases which are 25% better. So annually, we’re now at 2.4x better.

Claude Sonnet 4.6 5 months ago

The weirdest thing about this AI revolution is how smooth and continuous it is. If you look closely at differences between 4.6 and 4.5, it’s hard to see the subtle details.

A year ago today, Sonnet 3.5 (new), was the newest model. A week later, Sonnet 3.7 would be released.

Even 3.7 feels like ancient history! But in the gradient of 3.5 to 3.5 (new) to 3.7 to 4 to 4.1 to 4.5, I can’t think of one moment where I saw everything change. Even with all the noise in the headlines, it’s still been a silent revolution.

Am I just a believer in an emperor with no clothes? Or, somehow, against all probability and plausibility, are we all still early?

Claude Sonnet 4.6 5 months ago

I always grew up hearing “competition is good for the consumer.” But I never really internalized how good fierce battles for market share are. The amount of competition in a space is directly proportional to how good the results are for consumers.