edmundsauto

Famously, America has shown to be exceptionally skilled at getting the rich to help pay for society they sit on top of.

My read is that money changes transactions that are antithetical to the goals of this community. Money is such a concrete way to keep score that it warps interactions, making “winners” and “losers” apparent. It attracts people whose sole objective is to make more money at any cost.

Barter is like an intentional bit of friction, plus it obfuscates winners and loser scoring. Those are both beneficial in some ways that make sense to relationship based communities.

It also presupposes that open models will bridge that gap towards opus4.5, which was really when I drank the AI coding koolaid

The second option also incentivizes the seller, who is often a local real estate magnate, to pressure local officials to issue the permits.

Here’s my steel man. Wall Street hates the entitlement that they perceive from soft coders. They don’t like companies not constantly putting downward pressure on costs, which is why those other companies do it. Notice how these benefit reductions get a lot of coverage? It sends a signal to Wall Street that the company can control costs.

And Zuck doesn’t care about the stock price from quarter to quarter, except that a low stock price will cause a Dead Sea effect of the best and brightest. That in turn will cause a talent spiral.

So they make symbolic cuts so Wall Street keeps the stock juiced so the RSU incentivized employees stay.

Police are responsible for violations of the law, not immigration. This also requires due process.

And frankly, the per capita rates for crimes committed by unauthorized immigrants is much lower than for citizens. If these violations and murders are what we really care about, we should have an armed enforcement groups that only focuses on citizens.

But if that sounds absurd to you, then you’re starting to get it.

Isn’t it more dependent on how Trump is feeling? That makes it much more depressing for the leader of the country to be messing with our largest economy like this.

I have always heard that dopers are consistently ahead of testing regimes. I don’t think it is easier to tell than AI, which always seems pretty obvious to me.

It doesn’t always have to have consequences when it’s a curated access club like the Oscars. It’s ok to have cultural norms that aren’t enforced by consequences, at the very least some of the ethical participants will follow them. I know that I try to follow the spirit of the clubs I participate in, and if they don’t have these types of statements often I just don’t know what the community thinks is ok.

It breaks down when assholes join, or the overly self-interested. This mindset permeates America today, but there are still many collective organizations that don’t need punitive measures. These are less common but when you find them, it’s often a positive signal.

4.

Or we could acknowledge that everyone is pathfinding.

YMMV. I would still be very happy with Claude if it hard failed on 20% of tasks. You can always come back to it.

I say this as someone working for a tech company who does not have to foot the bill (in the >$1k per month bracket)

I also experienced and accept the 1990s levels of unreliability, which is my “internet generation”. My first access was lifting a handset and placing on a speaker/mic cradle.

Programmers these days are fucking spoiled. If it’s $220 worth of value for $200 - I get it. But I’m getting $100k of value for $10k and so I’ll put up with some shit.

It’s almost as if a group of 80,000 dynamic humans in a wild uncharted environment might mean decisions are made that have to be re-evaluated in a year!

This is demonstrably false. In the case of removing migrants, the court ordered the practice halt and flights get turned around. The court also found evidence of contempt from the federal government due to noncompliance, although another appeals court stopped the contempt investigation.

In the Kiyemba decision, the court identified a pattern of 96 violations across 75 or so cases. Detainees were held despite release orders

In family separation cases, courts have required legal representation reinstated and the government refused to comply.

In the case of NY vs Trump, courts ordered funds to be unfrozen and the administration refused to comply.

Ahh but intent to harm doesn’t mean thy aren’t doing harm. “The road to hell is paved with good intentions”

I can see a world where energy costs rise at a rate faster than overall inflation, or are a leading indicator. In that scenario then yes I could see LLM token costs going up.

Law enforcement has also burned its goodwill with the public, making everything harder.

HN sometimes talks about pathological customers who will never be happy. Boris is probably the single best rep in the community, possibly ever.

The way your tone and complaints come across reminds me of this. As a paying customer ($5k spend per month in my corporate job), I’d rather anthropic keep doing what they’re doing — innovating and shipping useful stuff at blinding speed — and not index on your feedback. I think the tradeoffs they would cost far outweigh the consequences.

The only reason he’s not constantly thinking about retribution is because he spends most of the time with his brain idle, or thinking of his next grift.

Isn’t the definition of official duties vague and left to the courts?

You are probably in the top 25%, depending on where in your 40s you are. Median is about 162k for Americans in their 40s.

This is also a feature of distributed economies; it’s just the communication overhead to make a change centrally means that bad decisions are less easily repaired. AI and electronic data feeds seriously could be tried to fix this. There are good advantages to a centralized economy… the trick is getting the objective function right.

And it’s not like modern capitalism has done a good job of that anyhow.

Being a police officer is not that dangerous. You are more likely to experience death or dismemberment in like 20 other jobs.

If you look around at the startup scene the past 5-10 years, has it really been any better?

Otoh, someone with a massive checkbook had to fund the hardware and optical research to enable the devices. Small gaming studios weren’t going to be able to do that. A lot of the smaller VR device companies weren’t able to build on top of core research or hire people that learned on Zuck’s dime.

Seems like maybe that mindset is where he won the hands of cards that turned into the money printer… so he just understands portfolio theory?

When you consider the rise in energy prices as well…

I think the point is to look at the US requirements compared to the cost and explore ways that a country could gain strategic advantages by building objectively worse products. (But cheaper/faster, gaining an asymmetric advantage in the offense/defense scaling)

I used to think the US dollars were well spent, because we felt it was morally important to deliver precision strikes which had higher cost requirements. Recent evidence demonstrates that is insufficient when the wetware making the targeting decisions is faulty.

These designs are so neat, I wish modern society would embrace the wisdom in them. Not applicable everywhere, but the modern desire to conquer the landscape instead of working with it seems like a core hubris that our modernity has imposed on our everyday life design.

For use cases where the increased value ~= 20%, the cost of the distraction with that low of a margin is a hard sell. (Just based on your intro, that was my read)

No disputation of the core idea, I think you are on the right track, but the pitch isn't compelling. People looking for these kinds of AI solutions tend to favor simplicity and ~80% is fine, because the overall perceived productivity improvement is 5-10x, with such wide error bars that the approximate gain is just not worth maximizing for right now.

You might be a few months-years early, or target people who have maxxed out because they cannot retrieve from their second brain effectively. Most folks I've talked to are just trying to keep up, optimization/efficiency is not on their radar.

In this case, the choice is between the two apples, so I’d pick the one less obviously rotten. Sadly that is the current administration that operates in pure lawlessness.