HN user

dynm

3,813 karma

dynomight.net

Posts111
Comments144
View on HN
arstechnica.com 2d ago

FCC plans ID mandate that could block anonymous use of prepaid burner phones

dynm
6pts1
dynomight.net 5mo ago

Why Read Novels?

dynm
4pts0
numpy.org 6mo ago

NumPy Enhancement Proposal 21: Simplified and explicit advanced indexing

dynm
3pts0
www.jefftk.com 9mo ago

Giving Up on Privacy (2011)

dynm
1pts0
dynomight.net 11mo ago

Heritability Puzzlers

dynm
2pts0
www.construction-physics.com 1y ago

Should the Federal Government Sell Land?

dynm
2pts0
github.com 1y ago

Steganography in floating point data with NaN payloads

dynm
5pts1
dynomight.net 1y ago

My 16-month theanine self-experiment

dynm
817pts435
www.self-experiments.org 1y ago

Self-experiment: Creatine and reaction time

dynm
1pts0
dynomight.net 1y ago

Counterintuitive Effects of Minimum Prices

dynm
9pts5
spectrum.ieee.org 1y ago

Minitel: The online world France built before the web (2017)

dynm
12pts1
en.wikipedia.org 1y ago

Historical Jesus

dynm
4pts0
en.wikipedia.org 1y ago

Domestication Syndrome

dynm
2pts0
plato.stanford.edu 2y ago

The Metaphysics of Causation

dynm
2pts0
en.wikipedia.org 2y ago

Mirror Self-Recognition Test

dynm
1pts0
mattlakeman.org 2y ago

Notes on West Africa

dynm
1pts0
parhelia.conorbarnes.com 2y ago

The Placeholder Girlfriend

dynm
204pts150
dynomight.net 2y ago

Underrated Reasons to Be Thankful

dynm
2pts0
dynomight.substack.com 2y ago

Underrated Reasons to Be Thankful

dynm
3pts0
en.wikipedia.org 2y ago

Hobby Tunneling

dynm
23pts13
dynomight.net 3y ago

Taxonomy of Procrastination

dynm
3pts0
gwern.net 3y ago

Cat Psychology and Domestication: Are We Good Owners?

dynm
3pts0
en.wikipedia.org 3y ago

Pet Bottle Recycling

dynm
2pts0
mattlakeman.org 3y ago

The 24 Hour “Do Nothing” Challenge

dynm
138pts140
eukaryotewritesblog.com 3y ago

There’s no such thing as a tree phylogenetically (2021)

dynm
304pts194
gwern.net 3y ago

Design Graveyard

dynm
1pts0
dynomight.substack.com 3y ago

Underrated Reasons to Be Thankful

dynm
3pts0
dynomight.net 3y ago

Underrated Reasons to Be Thankful

dynm
1pts0
dynomight.net 3y ago

Prediction market does not imply causation

dynm
2pts0
www.tandfonline.com 3y ago

I argue that studying the history of philosophy is philosophically unhelpful

dynm
94pts156
Muse Spark 1.1 13 days ago

Perhaps on brand for Meta, there appears to be no mention anywhere on this page or any of the docs pages, of any data retention policy. Maybe this is hidden in an agreement you need to sign when making an account? Has anyone actually done that?

The "nicer" sunscreens that use these ingredients often sneak in SPF boosters which are actually derivatives of other chemical sunscreens but are treated differently on the ingredients label, pretty much cheating the system.

Interesting, thank you for pointing this out. I had a little trouble understanding what the link was saying at first, but it seems to (correctly) state that many "mineral" sunscreens contain active chemical ingredients like butyloctyl salicylate. (And they're sometimes labeled as non-active ingredients?)

Before the law, I think the state government or local governments could (by passing a law) restrict computing for any reason, even without a government interest. Now, they'd have to repeal this first.

I think the main content of this law (https://legiscan.com/MT/text/SB212/id/3212152) is just two paragraphs. I'd suggest reading them yourself rather than relying on secondary description:

"Government actions that restrict the ability to privately own or make use of computational resources for lawful purposes, which infringes on citizens' fundamental rights to property and free expression, must be limited to those demonstrably necessary and narrowly tailored to fulfill a compelling government interest."

"When critical infrastructure facilities are controlled in whole or in part by a critical artificial intelligence system, the deployer shall develop a risk management policy after deploying the system that is reasonable and considers guidance and standards in the latest version of the artificial intelligence risk management framework from the national institute of standards and technology, the ISO/IEC 4200 artificial intelligence standard from the international organization for standardization, or another nationally or internationally recognized risk management framework for artificial intelligence systems. A plan prepared under federal requirements constitutes compliance with this section."

In particular, I think the reporting is straight wrong that there's a shutdown requirement. That was in an earlier version (https://legiscan.com/MT/text/SB212/id/3078731) and remains in the title of this version, but seems to have been removed from the actual text.

Not too interested in debating the semantics of "micropayment", but it sounds like if we swap in "news sites" in place of "LLM providers" everything should still still be possible? Consumers could pay tiny amounts of money for individual articles?

Everything you say makes sense. But can you help me understand why this doesn't also apply to the LLM service I use today? Doesn't that service, in effect, makes a "micropayment" to the LLM providers every time I make a query? Is the key difference that there are only a small-ish number of LLM providers? (Not doubting, just interested!)

There is a lot of hate for the idea of micropayments here, so I'd like to offer a counterpoint. I use a service that provides access to a bunch of different LLMs. Each time I call an LLM I, in effect, pay a $0.001 - $0.05 for the response. (Technically, this is implemented as me having to renew earlier.) Each time I make a call, I don't know if the answer will be useful. I don't even know how much it will cost! And in practice, the answers are often garbage, and I have to pay anyway. I find this annoying, but--to my surprise--only very mildly annoying. This has made me much more open-minded about micropayments for news / articles.

What I find puzzling about these proposals is that it SEEMS like they could be designed to achieve 90% of the stated goals with almost 0% of the loss of privacy.

The idea would be that devices could "opt in" to safety rather than opt out. Allow parents to purchase a locked-down device that always includes a "kids" flag whenever it requests online information, and simply require online services to not provide kid-unfriendly information if that flag is included.

I know a lot of people believe that this is just all just a secret ploy to destroy privacy. Personally, I don't think so. I think they genuinely want to protect kids, and the privacy destruction is driven by a combination of not caring and not understanding.

When you have lots of non-randomized dropouts from a randomized trial, that greatly weakens the causal link. The results are effectively non-randomized.

Meanwhile the evidence from actual drinking levels was much stronger (far fewer dropouts) and showed zero effect. Before this trial was done, you may have predicted that there would be positive results for the lab experiment but zero results in ecological conditions. But I think that prediction would be quite unusual. For anyone who expected results in ecological conditions (like me), this was disappointing.

The results for how much people actually drank in daily life were basically zero. No effect at all. The effects you're talking about are for a weird lab experiment where they sort of had people sit there in the lab and drink (or not). A huge percentage of people declined to participate in that experiment, too, which makes causality non-obvious.

I think this is the main content of the law. (Everything below is quoted.)

---

Section 3. Right to compute

Government actions that restrict the ability to privately own or make use of computational resources for lawful purposes, which infringes on citizens' fundamental rights to property and free expression, must be limited to those demonstrably necessary and narrowly tailored to fulfill a compelling government interest in public health or safety.

---

Section 4. Infrastructure controlled by artificial intelligence system -- shutdown.

(1) When critical infrastructure facilities are controlled in whole or in part by an artificial intelligence system, the deployer shall ensure the capability to disable the artificial intelligence system's control over the infrastructure and revert to human control within a reasonable amount of time.

(2) When enacting a full shutdown, the deployer shall consider, as appropriate, disruptions to critical infrastructure that may result from a shutdown.

(3) Deployers shall implement, annually review, and test a risk management policy that includes a fallback mechanism and a redundancy and mitigation plan to ensure the deployer can continue operations and maintain control of the critical infrastructure facility without the use of the artificial intelligence system.

Strange, right? Take a look at figure 4 here: https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamapsychiatry/fullarticle/...

This is as in the abstract:

1. drinks/day declined in both groups and somewhat more in the treatment group but wasn't statistically significant 2. number of drinks/day basically wasn't different at all 3. drinks/drinking day didn't change in the placebo group but did decline in the treatment group

(These are all actually regression coefficients computed on non-random samples but nevermind.) Somehow it seems like what's happening is that 3 rises to statistical significance even though 1 doesn't.

OK looking at the original abstract:

Semaglutide treatment did not affect average drinks per calendar day or number of drinking days, but significantly reduced drinks per drinking day (β, −0.41; 95% CI, −0.73 to −0.09; P = .04)

So they didn't find any reduction in (1) drinking, or (2) in the number of days that people drank, but they did technically find (3) a reduction in the number of drinks that people consumed on the days that they drank. So I guess what they said is technically correct... but I still think it's very odd not to mention the headline result that there was no actual reduction in drinking!

A more recent RCT showed that low-dose semaglutide reduced laboratory alcohol self-administration, as well as drinks per drinking days and craving, in people with AUD [72].

I think this quote is... wrong? Or at least extremely misleading? Here, citation 72 refers to a paper by Henderson et al. That paper did (sorta) reduced laboratory alcohol self-administration, but did not find any reduction in the amount that people drank. https://dynomight.net/glp-1/

This is a bit of a tangent, the whole concept of "domain reputation" can be infuriating. For example, my blog has been marked as suspicious by spamhaus.org: https://check.spamhaus.org/results?query=dynomight.net

As a result, some ISPs apparently block the domain. Why is it listed? I have no idea. There are no ads, there is no user content, and I've never sent any email from the domain. I've tried contacting spamhaus, but they instantly closed the ticket with a nonsensical response to "contact my IT department" and then blocked further communication. (Oddly enough, my personal blog does not have an IT department.)

Just like it's slowly become quasi-impossible for an individual to host their own email, I fear the same may happen with independent websites.

You seem to be responding as if I claimed that population-level correlational studies are bad, or that I claimed that air pollution is not bad for you. But I did not claim either of those things.

What I claimed is that this press release takes a population-level correlational study and presents it in a misleading way that implies causation was established. Which this press release most certainly does.