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dsomers

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Yes you do. I elected my European member of parliament, and I elected my EU councillor. The elected EU councillors select the commissioner, a bureaucrat, and the elected parliament can block anything the commission puts to a vote. That’s two elected offices, and one bureaucrat that’s appointed, but can’t act without consent of the elected officer. Just like many other democracies around the world. It’s democracy, just with some responsibility delegated to bureaucrats, who can still be overridden or removed by elected representatives. What’s so hard for you to understand about that?

I for one have built enough Linux kernels from scratch, and patched enough Linux drivers into working — thanks, so no one can call me an average Joe when it comes to tech. However, I mostly left all of that behind outside of work years ago, I’m desperate for time, not money, and I have way better things to do with my time than dick around with a custom android build, thanks. You do you, but Apple provides me with a ‘good enough’ service that saves me a lot of time.

Maybe, but the latest Fed action violates a 40-year downtrend in interest rates, so it was exceptionally improbable from a historical perspective.

imo this is very flawed thinking, a once in a 40 year event is almost 100% likely to happen in an average persons life — maybe twice. I think when it comes to either your life savings or gigantic amounts of money like banks manage it’s irresponsible to not consider economic cycles that even only happen once per 100 years because of how likely it is to happen once is your life and be absolutely devastating.

I stand by my statement, this is 100% on SVBs amateur hour monkey level thinking.

4. The old treasuries decline 30-40% in present value. Oops, they're not so safe after all if you need your money back before maturity, which is often decades away.

This is because they fucked up their duration risk handling, no one held a gun to SVBs head and forced them to invest so heavily in long duration bonds. If they bought more short duration bonds none of this would be a problem. Other banks didn’t make this mistake. So why did they do it? Greed, or who knows, maybe it was plain old ignorance/hubris. Still, it was 100% avoidable. SVB fucked up bad and pointing blame at the fed is just not making them accountable.

Like fuck, who are these dumb chimps running this place. When I help my parents plan their retirement I looked at 100 years of history of what normal fluctuations are in the bond or stock market. Looking up data like that takes an hour and should make anyone with basic math skills realize rate and the bond fluctuations that follow at 100% bound to happen given enough time. It was just absolute amateur hour at SVB.

As little as a birth certificate?

I get what you’re getting at, but in Canada birth certificates from the 80s had a wallet sized version that had no more information than a drivers license, but it didn’t even have a photo on it. It was just a little pice of paper. I remember that’s very different from modern birth certificates.

I also crossed into the U.S. with my health card that only had my name on it and a number that is meaningless to the US boarder agency, also no photo.

Exactly this. As late as the 2001 I could cross into the US from Canada with as little as my birth certificate, which I often did. That was just a cotton blended paper with tattered edges with some writing, and the crest of my province printed on it. There wasn’t even a photo on it! It was closer to writing, ‘I’m daniel plz let me in’ on a napkin, than it is to my passport of today with its photo, barcode, and RFID chip that they can cross reference their data base with.

Come on, I 100% realize that jetpacks will probably always be impractical/unsafe. Although, I think there’s a lot of allure in the same way that there is for motorcycles. I imagine you would get this sense of free flying, like a bird — it just seems fun. And if we somehow magically engineered past the energy and safety problems, you’d have mobility like a helicopter, but without needing the helicopter pad in cities. Like how scooters and motorcycles can be more convenient in cities because they’re easier to park. Dream a little, it’s fun.

Can you give evidence of a developed country where that’s the case?

Because I grew up right on the Canadian/US border, I have family and friends on both sides. It’s really easy for me to see why Canadians live longer than Americans. Poor Canadians have access to preventive medicine in a way poor Americans don’t because of our universal healthcare system. This prevents a lot of illness that are easily to stop in early stages but hard to stop in late stages from killing people.

But it’s a really common thing for Americans under the influence of their radical corporate propaganda to wave things like universal healthcare away and just say with no evidence that other countries are cheating with numbers. No need to disrupt the amazing profits of your corporate health providers just to do something silly like save the lives of poor people —- they should really have worked harder if they didn’t want to die of cancer anyways.

You know what my lived truth is? Before Canada had more advanced health cards and systems for keeping patient records, it was a common thing in my city for poor Americans to try to defraud our health system just so they could get basic treatment.

But yeah buddy, keep believing the lies that we’re just counting infant mortality differently.

“macro-optimism but micro-pessimism”

This is an interesting idea, I have I feeling I know the what they’re getting at, but if you have any examples of how they put that into practice I’d love to hear it.

IIRC the book ‘Common Sense on Mutual Funds’ has data going that far back with charts. I believe the period from the start of the 20th century until the 70s had similar inflation adjusted returns. However, for the early data I think it was really just measuring the largest companies in the country that made up the original Dow. Although, the author argues that’s a fine comparison because the 30 largest companies in the country represent the large majority of the top 500 index in terms of cap today— he further argues that over the long term small cap and large cap stocks give similar returns regardless.

A soldered SSD is especially bad because broken laptop = lost data. I never broke a laptop but I think that was just my luck. When it will happen, I want to be able to recover data from the computer.

Please reconsider your backup strategy if this is the case. If your data is valuable at all you should be able to drop your laptop in a shredder at any moment and not lose anything. 3.2.1. 3 copies, 2 types of media, 1 offsite.

To be honest, I live a two minutes walk from my grocery store and I’ve used these services a few times. Sometimes with discount codes they’re been cheaper than my grocery store, but we all know that’s just setting VC money on fire for customer acquisition. Thanks for the free beers VCs! When I don’t have a discount code I usually use these services if I’m feeling sick.

destroyed Libya

I guess you seem to forget the civil war that was happening before NATO got there. The one the was so atrocious that not even China or Russia vetoed it when the proposal of interfering was voted on at the UN.

This is not morally equivalent to what is being done to Ukraine, not even close. There is criticism to be put on the mission in Libya, but it should be that NATO didn’t stay long enough to stabilize the country and support peaceful nation building.

Or maybe you think war crimes are just fine and no one should ever try to do anything about them.

I’d like to see you defend that position to people that survived nazi concentration camps. Or a Rwandan who saw their family butchered over arbitrary tribalism.

You’re a cowered.

I don’t think google maps info was ever close to 100% reliable anywhere. Once in midtown Toronto there was a giant hole where google maps said a bank was, they where building a condo there. I thought I’d be helpful and submit a correction to the map — I later got a notification my correction was not accepted and they kept the ghost bank there years after it was gone.

There’s also no way they could reasonably think I was a spammer because I had a decades old google account that existed within months of gmail existing. They probably know what I’ve eaten every day for the past 20 years.

That’s all to say, google is a giant machine, and if it decides your version of reality is wrong, don’t bother, no human on their side will probably ever look at it because humans are expensive.

I know you’re going to disagree with this using some silly rationalization, I won’t respond to after this because it fundamentally sounds like you don’t believe is Ukraine’s right to self determination and you think that they should be bound by deals the US or Russia have made on its behalf in the past which Ukraine had no say in.

Here it is, NATO is fundamentally a defensive organization, and Ukraine is a democratic country they should be free to choose who they do deals with, I’d feel the same way if they freely and democracy decided to align closer with Russia.

I think saying NATO antagonize this is people treating Ukraine like a colonial holding of Russia and that Ukraine doesn’t have sovereignty. This is fundamentally wrong and goes against any countries right to self determination. I don’t care if it’s the US or Russia trying to dictate terms to a third country, it’s wrong either way.

What I really think this is about is Russians are fundamentally humiliated that other former Soviet countries like the Baltic states and Poland have a fair greater standard of living than Russia exactly because they embrace democracy and cooperated with western countries. Russia just wants to wreck Ukraine for aligning more with the West and improving their economy because they’re afraid of having another example of a former Soviet country prospering of their doorsteps making it ever more obvious how badly the rulers of Russia treat their people.

What an absolute joke. The United States has terrible class mobility compared to the Netherlands or Germany for example. You don’t have anything to support what you said other than a skewed perspective created by American centric media.

Edit: I guess the down voters here hate facts. The US scores lower on social mobility than the majority of European countries https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Global_Social_Mobility_Index

You're pulling this hypothetical figure out of thin air, it may as well be one in a hundred or one in a trillion.

I agree, but it’s just as had waving when I say maybe it’s low chance that there are false positives, as it is when you’re freaking out at it being a hypothetically high number of false positives.

That's not the problem here. If people want to continue to store photos of child exploitation on their iPhone, they can do it with the flip of a switch. Once you disable iCloud, Apple stops client-side scanning altogether.

If it’s so much under the users control why do you care or feel like this is an invasion of privacy then? I’ll say I feel like it’s still useful because criminals make dumb mistakes that incriminate themselves all the time — and this is a fine balance between being overly invasive and catching some people that store abuse images.

Oh, like they already[0] do[1]? iMessage has been wiretapped since 2013, it's an open secret at this point that Apple is deep in bed with domestic intelligence agencies. Denying this is just refusing to acknowledge a truth that has reared it's ugly head again and again and again.

Yes, everyone knows this stuff, but just because it’s happening does not mean it can be used to incriminate someone in court unless there is justified prior suspicion which a judge issues a warrant for. That’s where the transparency is, at the court level.

Countries like China…

This is a silly example, it makes me sad to say, but people in China are going to have their personal freedoms violated in very harsh ways regardless of Apple operating there of not. Unfortunately that’s the reality of living under totalitarianism — I don’t know why you’d even bring this up when I am clearly stating that what really protects people is living in a free democratic country with a well functioning court system.

If they actually cared about those things, they'd divert some of the national budget to addressing those issues. Instead, they take that money and invest it in surveillance. Billions of dollars get poured into black budgets every year, with margins that constantly expand. The NSA regularly backdoors encryption standards, the FBI regularly designs exploits and incorporates them into US infrastructure.

I don’t wholly disagree, but I don’t see the connection with the original point. Also, you’re talking about governments as a monolith, which is a mistake. Any government is made of may departments and people, when you say ‘if they actually cared’, who’s the ‘they’? I think it’s really silly to say no-one in any part of the FBI cares about stoping child abuse for example. Sure I get that the CIA does not care, but that’s just not their job either.

If any of our surveillance programs want to backdoor an iPhone or introduce vulnerabilities into iPhones, Apple has no recourse.

Maybe, maybe not. What is your hypothetical scenario for this? Can you explain how you think they’d do this where Apple has no recourse? Also who is the ‘they’? When you just say ‘they’ in a handwaving general way you sound conspiratorial. Are you saying they’d do it and apple could not detect it? Or that they’d coerce apple and apple would have no legal way to stop them?

A much more appealing effort is to keep tabs on everything you do, everywhere you go and everyone you talk to. That way, if you become a legitimate threat to the state they can zero you before you cause any real damage. Make no mistake, every government is only out to save their own skin. You may disagree with it, or find it silly, but that's realpolitik for you.

This is where we depart the most. I’m European, In my opinion, America, with its two party non proportional system is a very poor example of democracy that is quite susceptible it corruption because of it’s concentration of powers. Just because you guys don’t live in a well functioning democracy does not mean that’s the case for the whole world — you’re projecting a bit here. I guess we agree in our mistrust of the US. Hopefully you guys don’t slid more on that totalitarian scale even more I guess.

There is no way that we're living in a world where our government lacks the competence or resources to effectively monitor us at every corner.

I guess you don’t know about off grid log cabins that have no cell signal ;-)

Apple is given a black-box list of irreversible image signatures that the government themselves consider harmful, and there is literally zero transparency that goes into this process. We have quite literally no idea how any of this works,

I think this is the point you’re wrong here, if there is a false positive I believe even in the US that you’ll be able to simply exhibit the source image that caused the false positive in court, if it even gets that far, which I think probably not, and prove innocence. The hash match is not the proof that you have child abuse images — it just starts a process of review. I think in practice it’ll start a process where a manual review will happen where someone will look at your source image and say, oh yeah, that’s clearly a false positive, and then it’s done. I’m sure we’ll know more where the first people get cause with this mechanism because it will still have to be prosecuted in a public court and at that time we won’t have to speculate so much.

There are types of hashes that aren’t for finding exact matches. My thesis in school way back when was building something for image near-duplicate detection using a sort of hash made out of the image features detected. The output of a neural net run on an image is also a sort of hash in a (maybe) semantically meaningful vector space. And then you can look for similar or nearby vectors. This isn’t just useful for finding one type of image.

What's the point you're trying to get at here. I think it's well understood that there can be false positives -- but can you tell me at what rate of false positives it makes this type of child abuse detection unjustified? Also can you tell me what rate Apples system would cause a false positive. If for every one billion people(hypothetically of course) that are caught with child abuse images, one innocent person is asked to unlock their phone to prove that it's a false positive to a court, I think that's a fine trade off to make. I understand it's unpleasant for that one person, but I don't think you're correctly weighing the suffering to children this could help stop.

It’s because it makes it easy to create a population-wide dragnet for other things. It’s not hard to apply something similar to find photos taken at a protest, for example.

This is in my opinion where thinking of people on your side is wrong and fundamentally dealing with these hard and nuanced issues on the wrong conceptual level. If the government wants to create a population-wide dragnet there are a lot of other ways to also do that. If for example an iPhone was a literal perfect privacy machine it would simply be forbidden from being sold in totalitarian countries that wanted that type of dragnet.

The thing that you're fundamentally missing the point on, in my opinion, is that the thing that protects me is not the technology, it's that I live in a democratic country that has laws to stop such thing as being prosecuted for just attending a protest. The police can listen to my phone calls and read my mail _right now_ but what keeps that kind of thing from being used against me in an unfair way are the courts. Fundamentally I don't think any technological solution can save any of us if we live under a totalitarian government.